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Billionaire Cuts Investment in Nvidia, Says AI May Be Overhyped

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“We’ve had a hell of a run.”

Dial It Back

The AI bubble isn’t bursting just yet, but one insightful investor is suspicious it’s overhyped.

During an appearance on CNBC‘s Squawk Box, billionaire Stanely Druckenmiller — the founder of the Duquesne Family Office hedge fund — revealed that his firm had cut its investment in the AI chipmaker Nvidia earlier this year.

As the financier explained, he’d decided to invest in Nvidia after one of his firm’s young partners told him about Nvidia in 2022 and predicted that AI was going to be even bigger than the blockchain.

“I didn’t even know how to spell it, [but] I bought it,” Druckenmiller said. “Then a month later, ChatGPT happened. Even an old guy like me could figure out okay, what that meant, so I increased the position substantially.”

The rest is history. Last May, Business Insider reported that the Duquesne Family Office had spent a combined $430 million on Nvidia and Microsoft in its big AI bet — but by November, the firm had already begun trimming the fat.

While he didn’t go into specifics about this latest Nvidia load-lightening, the investor seemed to suggest that he saw the writing on the wall when the AI chip company’s stock jumped up to $900 earlier in the year.

“We did cut that and a lot of other positions in late March,” Druckenmiller said. “We’ve had a hell of a run. A lot of what we recognized has become recognized by the marketplace now.”

Break It Down

Overall, the billionaire investor said that he simply needed a “break” from AI as it started to look a bit “overhyped” — even while saying that he remains “bullish” on the industry and that it might be “underhyped” in the long-term.

“As we go through all this capital spending, we need to do the payoff while it’s incrementally coming in by the day,” Druckenmiller said. “The big payoff might be four to five years from now.”

He went on to suggest that while other investors may have held onto their Nvidia shares to watch what happens — but Druckenmiller is not, as he said, the type to “own things for 10 or 20 years.”

“I’m not Warren Buffet,” he joked. “I wish I was Warren Buffet.”

And speaking of the Oracle of Omaha: the Berkshire Hathaway founder suggested over the weekend that AI is an incredible growth market, but a scary one at that.

Buffett described during a shareholder call seeing a deepfake video of himself that was so convincing, it could have gotten him to “send money to myself over and over in some crazy country.”

At the end of the day, though? The money men can make all the pronouncements they want, but what actually happens is anyone’s guess.

More on the business of AI: In Latest Sign of Dot Com Style Bubble, Startup “Hires” Goofy AI Version of Alan Turing

 

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Tesla shares soar more than 14% as Trump win is seen boosting Elon Musk’s electric vehicle company

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NEW YORK (AP) — Shares of Tesla soared Wednesday as investors bet that the electric vehicle maker and its CEO Elon Musk will benefit from Donald Trump’s return to the White House.

Tesla stands to make significant gains under a Trump administration with the threat of diminished subsidies for alternative energy and electric vehicles doing the most harm to smaller competitors. Trump’s plans for extensive tariffs on Chinese imports make it less likely that Chinese EVs will be sold in bulk in the U.S. anytime soon.

“Tesla has the scale and scope that is unmatched,” said Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, in a note to investors. “This dynamic could give Musk and Tesla a clear competitive advantage in a non-EV subsidy environment, coupled by likely higher China tariffs that would continue to push away cheaper Chinese EV players.”

Tesla shares jumped 14.8% Wednesday while shares of rival electric vehicle makers tumbled. Nio, based in Shanghai, fell 5.3%. Shares of electric truck maker Rivian dropped 8.3% and Lucid Group fell 5.3%.

Tesla dominates sales of electric vehicles in the U.S, with 48.9% in market share through the middle of 2024, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Subsidies for clean energy are part of the Inflation Reduction Act, signed into law by President Joe Biden in 2022. It included tax credits for manufacturing, along with tax credits for consumers of electric vehicles.

Musk was one of Trump’s biggest donors, spending at least $119 million mobilizing Trump’s supporters to back the Republican nominee. He also pledged to give away $1 million a day to voters signing a petition for his political action committee.

In some ways, it has been a rocky year for Tesla, with sales and profit declining through the first half of the year. Profit did rise 17.3% in the third quarter.

The U.S. opened an investigation into the company’s “Full Self-Driving” system after reports of crashes in low-visibility conditions, including one that killed a pedestrian. The investigation covers roughly 2.4 million Teslas from the 2016 through 2024 model years.

And investors sent company shares tumbling last month after Tesla unveiled its long-awaited robotaxi at a Hollywood studio Thursday night, seeing not much progress at Tesla on autonomous vehicles while other companies have been making notable progress.

Tesla began selling the software, which is called “Full Self-Driving,” nine years ago. But there are doubts about its reliability.

The stock is now showing a 16.1% gain for the year after rising the past two days.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 100 points, U.S. stock markets mixed

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 100 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in base metal and utility stocks, while U.S. stock markets were mixed.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 103.40 points at 24,542.48.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 192.31 points at 42,932.73. The S&P 500 index was up 7.14 points at 5,822.40, while the Nasdaq composite was down 9.03 points at 18,306.56.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.44 cents US on Tuesday.

The November crude oil contract was down 71 cents at US$69.87 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down eight cents at US$2.42 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$7.20 at US$2,686.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.35 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX up more than 200 points, U.S. markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 200 points in late-morning trading, while U.S. stock markets were also headed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 205.86 points at 24,508.12.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 336.62 points at 42,790.74. The S&P 500 index was up 34.19 points at 5,814.24, while the Nasdaq composite was up 60.27 points at 18.342.32.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.71 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was down 15 cents at US$75.70 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down two cents at US$2.65 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$29.60 at US$2,668.90 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents at US$4.47 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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