Over the past year billionaire wealth has reached record highs. Now comes the real estate boom as they blow their newly-earned cash on $10 million-plus properties.
So far this year, 785 properties worth more than $10 million have been sold in New York, Los Angeles, Hong Kong, London, Sydney, Singapore and Dubai. Knight Frank, a real estate consultancy, estimates that figure is more than double last year’s and up 52% on 2019’s.
In total, wealthy buyers around the world spent $13.8 billion on homes valued in excess of $10 million during the first six months of this year. “We expect super-prime sales to end 2021 on a high,” comments Liam Bailey, global head of research at Knight Frank.
New York has seen the biggest increase in the super-prime category, with 202 sales above $10 million this year. The city has just clocked its most expensive property listing ever: A penthouse at 432 Park Avenue valued at $169 million.
The penthouse might just sell for its asking price: Already there have been 220 penthouses sold in Manhattan this year, according to Corcoran market research. A separate report from Douglas Elliman and Miller Samuel shows the median price for Manhattan apartments hit $999,000 in the second quarter of this year, a new record.
After New York, Los Angeles has seen the biggest increase in super-prime sales. Transactions of $10 million-plus properties this year are three times higher than the same period last year, which Paddy Dring, global head of prime sales at Knight Frank, says is down to “lifestyle advantages, such as beaches and green space.”
But there is more to this real estate boom than lifestyle needs. The rich have amassed a record amount of wealth in the past year, and, with Covid-19 restrictions easing, they are desperately seeking somewhere to put it.
During the first 12-months of the Covid-19 pandemic, wealth hit record highs. By October 2020, billionaire wealth surpassed $10 trillion for the first time ever. Forbes’ list of billionaires, now at 2,755 individuals, grew their wealth from $8 trillion in 2020 to $13.1 trillion this year.
And it’s not just billionaires: Last month the world’s total net wealth hit $431 trillion, with over a quarter of it controlled by millionaires.
But with inflation around the corner, these billionaires and millionaires are now looking for somewhere to invest this new found wealth. Half of the investors surveyed by UBS in the second quarter believe inflation will accelerate over the next 12 months, and a third of them are planning to invest more in real estate to circumvent it from eroding their wealth.
Doubts over the future of the office are making residential real estate increasingly attractive for investors with cash to burn. There will always be a need for quality housing in New York, Los Angeles, Hong Kong, London, Sydney, Singapore, and Dubai.
But whether the wealthy will follow their money and return to these cities with their newly purchased apartments is still unknown.
By July last year, nearly half of wealthy individuals around the world had fled cities for good. Expats from Singapore and Dubai returned home and brought properties in the suburbs or rural areas. Alongside record $10 million-plus properties, countryside markets have reached record highs this year.
One billionaire, speaking over Zoom from an English vineyard he purchased just before the pandemic, says there is “not a hope” he will return to London full time. And yet he is still eyeing up real estate investments in the capital. Sales of $10 million-plus homes in London are up 10% on last year.
Buying prime property is a “tried and tested” way to ward off inflation, he says. But it is also a vote of confidence that, one day, these cities will again thrive.
Artificial intelligence is taking over real estate – here's what that means for homebuyers – CNBC
Brick-and-mortar real estate may seem like the only tangible thing left in an increasingly virtual world, but it too is being taken over by artificial intelligence.
Some of the biggest names in the business, such as Compass, Zillow and LoanSnap, are now employing AI to help find buyers the perfect mortgage and the perfect home. And for real estate agents, it may already be a game-changer.
Most real estate data is public, from land records to title documents, purchase price and even mortgage liens. The trouble was it was an onerous process to go to local offices and obtain all the information. Not anymore. Computer algorithms can now go through millions of documents in seconds, looking through property values, debt levels, home renovations, and even some of a homeowner’s personal information.
At LoanSnap, a San Francisco-based mortgage lender, AI is used in various steps of the mortgage process, from finding the perfect loan type for a borrower to finding the right investor for the loan.
First the borrower’s financial information is put in. Then the system “takes all that information, forecasts it out into the future and looks at thousands and thousands and thousands of options,” said Karl Jacob, CEO of LoanSnap. “That’s different ways of paying off debt, different loan options, and this is one of the first times AI has been turned into something that helps consumers versus harms consumers.”
And for refinances, he said, “We’re building a financial model for someone, and showing them exactly how much money they’re losing on a monthly and yearly basis, and then showing them how they could potentially fix that issue and save money in the future. Again, in seconds.”
Jacob admits that pretty much every company now claims to use AI in some respect but said not all are really applying it to its full potential.
“Ninety-five percent of it is rhetoric, right? It’s a popular term. People glom on to things like that and say, ‘Oh yeah, we use AI too.’ AI is actually machines thinking and/or looking at possibilities that would not have been looked at before,” he added.
So AI can be helpful for borrowers, but it also seems like the holy grail for real estate agents hunting for listings in today’s ultra-competitive housing market. The supply of homes for sale has hit several record lows since the start of the pandemic, when buyer demand suddenly took off. Agents are desperate to find new listings, and AI is providing a new entrance.
“The traditional agent would go knock on the doors of a lot of homes. Now AI helps you find the homes that are most likely to sell in the next 12 months, and it does so by triangulating all the data associated with the home, like when the home last sold, how long the owner has occupied the home, what rate the home sells at in that particular area,” said Joseph Sirosh, chief technology officer at Compass, a real estate brokerage.
AI “triangulates all of that information to predict which home is likely to come for sale, so the agent can now approach that homeowner, offer his or her services, and have a much higher probability.”
Sirosh said Compass agents have a 94% higher chance of winning a potential listing they target with AI than not. Agents can supposedly price the home more exactly and target marketing more specifically.
For those searching to buy a home, all the data available can also help them to find exactly what they’re looking for, rather than touring house after house.
Using Compass’ AI, they can evaluate the price of their property in comparison with other properties in the market, search for specific types of homes in ultra-specific locations, input desired square footage of indoor and outdoor spaces and then get immediate alerts when something hits the market.
Zillow recently upgraded its popular home price “Zestimate,” claiming it now uses neural networks, or machine learning comparable to how the brain works.
“In the case of the Zestimate algorithm, the neural network model correlates home facts, location, housing market trends and home values. As a result of this update, the Zestimate can now react more quickly to dynamic market conditions, providing homeowners with a more accurate estimate [prediction] of a home’s current value,” according to a Zillow release.
The company is now incorporating this new learning into its direct cash-offer homebuying business, Zillow Offers.
So far, the Zestimate is an initial cash offer on about 900,000 eligible homes across 23 markets.
“With this latest update and increased Zestimate accuracy, the number of homes eligible for a cash offer will likely increase by 30%,” according to the release.
AI is not doing anything that traditional research couldn’t accomplish, but it does accelerate the process dramatically, which in a fast-moving and ultra-competitive market, is crucial to these businesses.
“AI allows you to go to the self-driving dimension, which is AI outsources the heavy lifting that’s associated with a real estate transaction: the complex data, compliance, the paperwork, the finding of the home, the negotiation, the offers. I think that really makes a transaction go much faster. It is simpler, and it’s often cheaper,” said Sirosh.
With this speed, he said, artificial intelligence can conquer the most human component of any real estate transaction: stress.
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What About $8 Million Buys In Real Estate Around The World – Forbes
When it comes to luxury real estate, location is key. From properties with French alpine to Pacific Ocean views, these luxury listings take advantage of their picturesque settings.
French alpine chalet
Location: Courchevel Le Praz, France
This wood-filled chalet overlooks the ski slopes from an expansive living room with a fireplace and an adjacent south-facing terrace.
The six en-suite bedrooms all have terraces. A closed-in area features a pool and spa, along with sauna and massage room.
Creek views in Colorado
Location: Aspen, Colorado
Price: $8.3 million
This ranchette home, remodeled in 2017, sits on a hillside overlooking Brush Creek Valley, the Snowmass ski area and Hunter Creek. The main home, which features antique 19th-century French Provincial/Mediterranean doors, has three bedrooms and 2.5-bathrooms. Features include a pantry with a custom wine cellar. A large outdoor entertaining area comes with a wraparound stone deck.
A two-story accessory dwelling unit, built in 2005, houses an art studio and kitchen on the first floor and one bedroom, one bathroom, and a kitchen on the second. A three-car garage comes with a full bath.
Spanish island villa
Location: Son Termes, Bunyola, Mallorca, Spain
This villa sits surrounded by nature on the island of Mallorca. The 12-bedroom, nine-bathroom stone residence has classic Spanish architecture, shaded outdoor sitting areas and a modern swimming pool.
Historic oceanfront in Santa Monica
Location: Santa Monica, California
Price: $7.75 million
Designed and built in 1910 by architect Robert D. Farquhar, this three-bedroom home sits just off the Santa Monica Bluffs, with views to the Pacific Ocean. The home has been reimagined with luxurious finishes, including white oak flooring and custom automated shades. The kitchen features custom two-tone Italian cabinetry and stone countertops and Wolf, Sub-Zero, and Miele appliances. The bathrooms include luxe fixtures by Brizo, Rohl, Newport Brass and Toto.
This home features a patio and the ground level and a deck on the second floor comprising more than 1,000 square feet of private outdoor space.
FGP Swiss & Alps, Hilton & Hyland, Inmobiliaria Rimontgo and Slifer Smith & Frampton Real Estate are exclusive members of Forbes Global Properties, a consumer marketplace and membership network of elite brokerages selling the world’s most luxurious homes.
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