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Economy

Brainard Sees ‘Solid’ US Recovery, Downplays Recession Risks

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(Bloomberg) — President Joe Biden’s top economic adviser said US inflation is trending toward lower levels and downplayed chances of a recession hitting the US economy.

White House National Economic Council Director Lael Brainard credited Biden’s policies for those developments during a Wednesday speech to the Economic Club of New York. The address was part of a series of appearances by top administration officials aimed at burnishing the president’s economic record ahead of the 2024 election.

“Just today, we saw new and encouraging evidence that the economy is on the path to moderate inflation accompanied by a resilient jobs market,” Brainard said.

The former Federal Reserve board member took a shot at economists who said fighting inflation would crush the jobs market, saying “the economy is defying predictions that inflation wouldn’t fall absent significant job destruction.”

Read More: US Inflation Cools Sharply, Offering Hope Fed Can Wrap Up Hikes

Brainard’s speech comes hours after the White House received welcome news that US inflation hit a two-year low. Republicans have criticized spending legislation Biden has championed for fueling price increases, so the new data provides the president with fresh material to rebut those arguments.

Americans are still struggling with higher prices, and Biden receives poor ratings on the economy, a major political vulnerability that could hamper his effort to win a second term. The White House has sought to persuade Americans his policies are working by touting his platform, which it is calling Bidenomics.

“These economic gains haven’t happened by chance, they won’t be sustained absent a deliberate strategy,” Brainard said.

Brainard said excess profits have driven inflation and called on companies to “bring their markups down” to help lower prices “after having raised them to unusually elevated levels over the past two years.”

The regional banking crisis has largely been contained as a threat to the overall US economy, Brainard said, adding that policymakers remain on alert for any weaknesses.

“Our sense is that liquidity is actually being managed much better at some of these institutions where regulations had been weakened prior to that,” she said. “It’s important for senior executives at institutions to be carefully monitoring for all manner of risks and to continue strengthening balance sheets and managing liquidity.”

Investments in clean energy, domestic semiconductor manufacturing and infrastructure projects contained in Biden’s signature legislation are already helping boost the economy, according to Brainard. They will help the US in the long term by making the nation less vulnerable to global economic shocks, like a trade war with China or Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

“It’s vital to make public investments in our own economic future, to safeguard strong pathways to the middle class in communities around the country and to ensure our supply chains are resilient,” she said.

(Updates with comments about regional banking crisis in 9th paragraph)

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Economy

S&P/TSX composite gains almost 100 points, U.S. stock markets also higher

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TORONTO – Strength in the base metal and technology sectors helped Canada’s main stock index gain almost 100 points on Friday, while U.S. stock markets also climbed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index closed up 93.51 points at 23,568.65.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 297.01 points at 41,393.78. The S&P 500 index was up 30.26 points at 5,626.02, while the Nasdaq composite was up 114.30 points at 17,683.98.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.61 cents US compared with 73.58 cents US on Thursday.

The October crude oil contract was down 32 cents at US$68.65 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was down five cents at US$2.31 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$30.10 at US$2,610.70 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents US$4.24 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Statistics Canada reports wholesale sales higher in July

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OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says wholesale sales, excluding petroleum, petroleum products, and other hydrocarbons and excluding oilseed and grain, rose 0.4 per cent to $82.7 billion in July.

The increase came as sales in the miscellaneous subsector gained three per cent to reach $10.5 billion in July, helped by strength in the agriculture supplies industry group, which rose 9.2 per cent.

The food, beverage and tobacco subsector added 1.7 per cent to total $15 billion in July.

The personal and household goods subsector fell 2.5 per cent to $12.1 billion.

In volume terms, overall wholesale sales rose 0.5 per cent in July.

Statistics Canada started including oilseed and grain as well as the petroleum and petroleum products subsector as part of wholesale trade last year, but is excluding the data from monthly analysis until there is enough historical data.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 150 points, U.S. stock markets mixed

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 150 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in the base metal and energy sectors, while U.S. stock markets were mixed.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 172.18 points at 23,383.35.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 34.99 points at 40,826.72. The S&P 500 index was up 10.56 points at 5,564.69, while the Nasdaq composite was up 74.84 points at 17,470.37.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.55 cents US compared with 73.59 cents US on Wednesday.

The October crude oil contract was up $2.00 at US$69.31 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up five cents at US$2.32 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$40.00 at US$2,582.40 an ounce and the December copper contract was up six cents at US$4.20 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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