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Unforgiving stock and bond markets led the Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec to post its worst investment performance since the global financial crisis.
Cites aggressive interest-rate increases and geopolitical tensions for 2022 performance, but noted it outperformed its Canadian peers.
Unforgiving stock and bond markets led the Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec to post its worst investment performance since the global financial crisis.
A net investment loss of $24.6 billion for 2022 translates into a negative annual return of 5.6 per cent, the Caisse said Thursday in a statement. Net assets declined 4.3 per cent to $401.9 billion as of Dec. 31. After a first-half loss of 7.9 per cent, the Caisse managed to eke out a gain of 2.4 per cent in the second half, chief executive Charles Emond said.
Although this was the Quebec public pension manager’s poorest year since 2008, when it returned a record minus-25 per cent, the performance still topped that of the Caisse’s Canadian peers.
Canada’s defined-benefit pension plans reported a negative return of 10.3 per cent last year, RBC Investor and Treasury Services said in January. The Caisse’s own benchmark index, meanwhile, retreated 8.3 per cent. The Caisse says all of its asset classes outpaced their respective indexes.
Stock and bond markets took a hammering last year — correcting simultaneously for the first time since 1969 — as inflation hit four-decade highs, central banks relentlessly raised interest rates and investor appetite for riskier assets faded after Russia invaded Ukraine. Canada’s benchmark S&P/TSX index fell about nine per cent, while the S&P 500 index of large capitalization U.S. stocks slumped 18 per cent and U.S. corporate bonds lost about 16 per cent of their value. Other stock and bond indexes posted losses of as much as 30 per cent.
“This was a very demanding environment for investors,” Emond told reporters Thursday at a press conference in Montreal. “There were aggressive interest-rate increases to contain rising inflation, and geopolitical tensions intensified. All of this fed the strong volatility that we saw on the markets.”
Fixed income fared worst among the Caisse’s major asset classes, posting a negative return of 14.9 per cent in 2022 because of rising interest rates. U.S. rates ended the year at 4.5 per cent, almost five times as high as the target originally set by the Federal Reserve. Similar trends occurred in Canada and Europe.
Emond insisted Thursday that the Caisse will be able to claw back its fixed-income losses by keeping the bonds until maturity. In the meantime, he said, any losses are purely paper losses.
“In the short term, the rise in interest rates has an impact on prices,” Vincent Delisle, the Caisse’s executive vice-president and head of liquid markets, said at the press conference. “In the longer run, it represents a rise in the future returns that are expected.”
Equities slumped 5.7 per cent, while so-called real assets advanced 12 per cent — paced by a 12.4 per cent return at Ivanhoe Cambridge, the Caisse’s property unit. Infrastructure, another key component of the real asset portfolio that includes such projects as Montreal’s Réseau express métropolitain light-rail system, returned 11.5 per cent. The first branch of the REM, between Central Station and the South Shore, is still on course to open this spring, Emond said.
Quebec Finance Minister Eric Girard, who oversees the Caisse, said he wasn’t overly concerned about the loss.
Depositors and future retirees shouldn’t expect the investment climate to improve much in 2023 because of the real possibility that interest rates will continue to head higher just as economic growth tails off again, Emond said. Global growth is projected to drop to 2.9 per cent this year from an estimated 3.4 per cent in 2022 and six per cent in 2021, the International Monetary Fund said last month.
This year “won’t be very different from 2022,” Emond said. “Two things are going to happen. Rates are going to have to rise a little to contain inflation, which is stubborn, and there will be an economic slowdown. In both cases, this is a headwind for the markets. So for me, 2023 will be a transition year that brings a lot of challenges, the same way 2022 did.”
Delisle cautioned against the “latent optimism” that has recently been buoying stock markets.
“Investors want to believe that central banks are going to be accommodating very rapidly,” he said. “When we look at the signals, with persistent inflation and a weakening economy, there is a risk that the market could be disappointed somewhat.”
Philip Authier of the Montreal Gazette contributed to this report.
Telus Corp. says it is avoiding offering “unprofitable” discounts as fierce competition in the Canadian telecommunications sector shows no sign of slowing down.
The company said Friday it had fewer net new customers during its third quarter compared with the same time last year, as it copes with increasingly “aggressive marketing and promotional pricing” that is prompting more customers to switch providers.
Telus said it added 347,000 net new customers, down around 14.5 per cent compared with last year. The figure includes 130,000 mobile phone subscribers and 34,000 internet customers, down 30,000 and 3,000, respectively, year-over-year.
The company reported its mobile phone churn rate — a metric measuring subscribers who cancelled their services — was 1.09 per cent in the third quarter, up from 1.03 per cent in the third quarter of 2023. That included a postpaid mobile phone churn rate of 0.90 per cent in its latest quarter.
Telus said its focus is on customer retention through its “industry-leading service and network quality, along with successful promotions and bundled offerings.”
“The customers we have are the most important customers we can get,” said chief financial officer Doug French in an interview.
“We’ve, again, just continued to focus on what matters most to our customers, from a product and customer service perspective, while not loading unprofitable customers.”
Meanwhile, Telus reported its net income attributable to common shares more than doubled during its third quarter.
The telecommunications company said it earned $280 million, up 105.9 per cent from the same three-month period in 2023. Earnings per diluted share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 was 19 cents compared with nine cents a year earlier.
It reported adjusted net income was $413 million, up 10.7 per cent year-over-year from $373 million in the same quarter last year. Operating revenue and other income for the quarter was $5.1 billion, up 1.8 per cent from the previous year.
Mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.85 in the third quarter, a decrease of $2.09 or 3.4 per cent from a year ago. Telus said the drop was attributable to customers signing up for base rate plans with lower prices, along with a decline in overage and roaming revenues.
It said customers are increasingly adopting unlimited data and Canada-U.S. plans which provide higher and more stable ARPU on a monthly basis.
“In a tough operating environment and relative to peers, we view Q3 results that were in line to slightly better than forecast as the best of the bunch,” said RBC analyst Drew McReynolds in a note.
Scotiabank analyst Maher Yaghi added that “the telecom industry in Canada remains very challenging for all players, however, Telus has been able to face these pressures” and still deliver growth.
The Big 3 telecom providers — which also include Rogers Communications Inc. and BCE Inc. — have frequently stressed that the market has grown more competitive in recent years, especially after the closing of Quebecor Inc.’s purchase of Freedom Mobile in April 2023.
Hailed as a fourth national carrier, Quebecor has invested in enhancements to Freedom’s network while offering more affordable plans as part of a set of commitments it was mandated by Ottawa to agree to.
The cost of telephone services in September was down eight per cent compared with a year earlier, according to Statistics Canada’s most recent inflation report last month.
“I think competition has been and continues to be, I’d say, quite intense in Canada, and we’ve obviously had to just manage our business the way we see fit,” said French.
Asked how long that environment could last, he said that’s out of Telus’ hands.
“What I can control, though, is how we go to market and how we lead with our products,” he said.
“I think the conditions within the market will have to adjust accordingly over time. We’ve continued to focus on digitization, continued to bring our cost structure down to compete, irrespective of the price and the current market conditions.”
Still, Canada’s telecom regulator continues to warn providers about customers facing more charges on their cellphone and internet bills.
On Tuesday, CRTC vice-president of consumer, analytics and strategy Scott Hutton called on providers to ensure they clearly inform their customers of charges such as early cancellation fees.
That followed statements from the regulator in recent weeks cautioning against rising international roaming fees and “surprise” price increases being found on their bills.
Hutton said the CRTC plans to launch public consultations in the coming weeks that will focus “on ensuring that information is clear and consistent, making it easier to compare offers and switch services or providers.”
“The CRTC is concerned with recent trends, which suggest that Canadians may not be benefiting from the full protections of our codes,” he said.
“We will continue to monitor developments and will take further action if our codes are not being followed.”
French said any initiative to boost transparency is a step in the right direction.
“I can’t say we are perfect across the board, but what I can say is we are absolutely taking it under consideration and trying to be the best at communicating with our customers,” he said.
“I think everyone looking in the mirror would say there’s room for improvement.”
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.
Companies in this story: (TSX:T)
CALGARY – TC Energy Corp. has lowered the estimated cost of its Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico.
It says it now expects the project to cost between US$3.9 billion and US$4.1 billion compared with its original estimate of US$4.5 billion.
The change came as the company reported a third-quarter profit attributable to common shareholders of C$1.46 billion or $1.40 per share compared with a loss of C$197 million or 19 cents per share in the same quarter last year.
Revenue for the quarter ended Sept. 30 totalled C$4.08 billion, up from C$3.94 billion in the third quarter of 2023.
TC Energy says its comparable earnings for its latest quarter amounted to C$1.03 per share compared with C$1.00 per share a year earlier.
The average analyst estimate had been for a profit of 95 cents per share, according to LSEG Data & Analytics.
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.
Companies in this story: (TSX:TRP)
The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.
BCE Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter as it recorded $2.11 billion in asset impairment charges, mainly related to Bell Media’s TV and radio properties.
The company says its net loss attributable to common shareholders amounted to $1.24 billion or $1.36 per share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 compared with a profit of $640 million or 70 cents per share a year earlier.
On an adjusted basis, BCE says it earned 75 cents per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of 81 cents per share in the same quarter last year.
“Bell’s results for the third quarter demonstrate that we are disciplined in our pursuit of profitable growth in an intensely competitive environment,” BCE chief executive Mirko Bibic said in a statement.
“Our focus this quarter, and throughout 2024, has been to attract higher-margin subscribers and reduce costs to help offset short-term revenue impacts from sustained competitive pricing pressures, slow economic growth and a media advertising market that is in transition.”
Operating revenue for the quarter totalled $5.97 billion, down from $6.08 billion in its third quarter of 2023.
BCE also said it now expects its revenue for 2024 to fall about 1.5 per cent compared with earlier guidance for an increase of zero to four per cent.
The company says the change comes as it faces lower-than-anticipated wireless product revenue and sustained pressure on wireless prices.
BCE added 33,111 net postpaid mobile phone subscribers, down 76.8 per cent from the same period last year, which was the company’s second-best performance on the metric since 2010.
It says the drop was driven by higher customer churn — a measure of subscribers who cancelled their service — amid greater competitive activity and promotional offer intensity. BCE’s monthly churn rate for the category was 1.28 per cent, up from 1.1 per cent during its previous third quarter.
The company also saw 11.6 per cent fewer gross subscriber activations “due to more targeted promotional offers and mobile device discounting compared to last year.”
Bell’s wireless mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.26, down 3.4 per cent from $60.28 in the third quarter of the prior year.
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.
Companies in this story: (TSX:BCE)
The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.
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