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Canada real estate: When's the right time to buy? – CTV News

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The rapid housing price growth that we saw earlier in the year is finally beginning to cool down in Canada. The MLS Home Price Index (HPI) shows a decreased overall price of 1.7% from June to July 2022.

Aside from the housing market itself, a recession could be looming in the near future, which could drive the cost of real estate further down. This has many Canadians questioning whether or not it’s the right time to purchase real estate.

Here are some factors to keep in mind if you plan on shopping for real estate in the near future.

Market factors to consider while shopping for real estate

The housing market is in a constant state of flux, depending on overall economic conditions, federal interest rates, the cost of building materials, and more. Here are some of the most important market factors to consider when shopping for real estate.

Interest rates & inflation

Around 87% of homebuyers finance their home, as opposed to paying for their home in cash. If you plan on financing your home, you’ll need to take out a mortgage loan from the bank. Your interest rate on your mortgage will strongly correlate with the federal interest rates.

Due to the current 7.6% inflation rate in Canada (as of July 2022), the Bank of Canada (BoC) has pushed a quantitative tightening policy by increasing the federal overnight interest rate to 2.5%.

If you’re shopping for real estate, it means that your mortgage from the bank might come with a higher interest rate and monthly payment. However, it could also mean that the prices of houses might drop as well.

Sellers’ market vs. buyers’ market

During a buyers’ market, there are more homes for sale than people who are looking for them. Conversely, in a sellers’ market, there are more people looking for homes than homes available on the market.

Currently, Canada is still not in a buyers’ market, according to MLS data gathered by Wowa. Using something called the sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR), if it is below 40%, it is a buyers’ market, and it is currently above that mark.

Personal factors to consider while shopping for real estate

While the current market is certainly important, your own personal finances are going to make or break your ability to purchase real estate. Here are the most important personal factors to consider when shopping for real estate.

Credit score

Most banks want to see that you have at least a 600 credit score. If you have a score below 600, you might have a hard time finding a lender who will work with you, and if you do, they’ll almost certainly charge much higher interest rates. Regardless of how good your credit quality is, it’s a good idea to check it once a month to make sure there’s no fraud on your account. There are many services in Canada that offer free credit score reports.

Income history

When determining your eligibility for a home loan, most lenders want to see that you have a reliable source of income so that you can keep up with your monthly mortgage payments. Additionally, they’ll also look at how you handle your finances, by seeing if you pay your bills on time and have acceptable levels of debt. They need to ensure that you have enough money left over after paying your monthly expenses to handle the mortgage payment.

How much you have for a down payment

The minimum down payment required by most banks is 5% of the total home value. However, many banks may require borrowers to put 10% down.

Is it smart to buy a house in 2022?

While nobody can predict for certain what will happen, there is a high probability that there will be continued downward pressure on home prices due to increased interest rate prices. Personally, I would wait until the market flips more to a buyers’ market and we see some price relief before buying. Read the up-to-date Canadian Real Estate Association reports, which provides valuable insight into how the markets are doing.

It also depends heavily on what city you want to buy a property in. Different housing regions of Canada will react much differently to market movements, so stay on top of the area that you want to buy and watch the next few months closely.

Christopher Liew is a CFA Charterholder and former financial advisor. He writes personal finance tips for thousands of daily Canadian readers on his Wealth Awesome website.

Do you have a question, tip or story idea about personal finance? Please email us at dotcom@bellmedia.ca.

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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