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Canada’s economy contracted during 2nd quarter, StatsCan says

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The Canadian economy appeared to stall in the second quarter as investment in housing continued to fall, led by a drop in new construction.

Statistics Canada said Friday the economy contracted at an annualized rate of 0.2 per cent in the second quarter.

The agency also revised its reading for growth in the first quarter to an annual pace of 2.6 per cent, down from 3.1 per cent.

The decline in the second quarter came as housing investment fell 2.1 per cent to post its fifth consecutive quarterly decrease. New construction dropped 8.2 per cent in the quarter, while renovation spending also fell 4.3 per cent.

The drop in spending came as Canadians face higher borrowing costs fuelled by interest rate hikes by the Bank of Canada, which is trying to bring inflation back to its target of two per cent.

The weakness in the second quarter was also attributed to lower inventory accumulations, as well as slower growth in exports and household spending.

Exports of goods and services crept up 0.1 per cent in the second quarter compared with a 2.5 per cent increase in the first quarter.

Growth in real household spending slowed to 0.1 per cent in the second quarter compared with 1.2 per cent in the first quarter.

Good news that consumer spending has slowed: economist

Pedro Antunes, chief economist at the Conference Board of Canada, said it came as a surprise that the economy had stalled.

The Bank of Canada had expected a 1.5 per cent annualized GDP growth, while analysts had forecast a 1.2 per cent gain.

“We had been thinking the economy might be a little stronger than what it finally came in at. I think that’s actually good news,” he said, adding that it appears the central bank’s tightened monetary policy is slowing consumer spending.

“Personally I think that we should hold off on any further rate hikes,” Antunes said.

“The Bank of Canada is playing a difficult game here. It’s not just about raising rates. It’s about expectations and about kind of driving the message that [the bank] is going to be forceful on this issue.

Construction manager says fewer homes being built

The hardest hit sectors are retail and wholesale — industries that cater to households and offices. According to Antunes, the slowdown in construction is somewhat concerning, but not surprising.

“We are trying to build more homes for, yes, essentially that very strong population growth that we’re going through right now. [But] it’s not unexpected given the fact that we’ve raised interest rates so drastically.”

Colin Snaith, a senior manager with SG Constructors, said that construction projects are seeing the effects of higher interest rates.

“We’ve definitely seen a reduction in the number of homes being built, particularly in the high-rise sector,” Snaith told CBC News during an interview at a building site in Toronto.

“Our industry thankfully has remained quite busy, but that’s due to the fact that a lot of the projects ongoing right now have been started before the interest rates took effect.”

Two workers are shown on a construction site.
A residential and commercial construction site is shown near the Longueuil metro station in Quebec on Aug. 8. Statistics Canada says the economy contracted in the second quarter of this year. (Ivanoh Demers/CBC/Radio-Canada)

Snaith said there is a large backlog of construction projects that were scheduled to start soon — but many of their start dates have been pushed back, with the pre-construction period extended.

“I think everyone’s just being more cautious with their dollar right now,” he added.

“A lot of the time, financing is tied to condo sales and home sales are down right now. Everyone’s just waiting for interest rates to stabilize.

Early estimates suggest real GDP unchanged in July

Meanwhile, business investment in non-residential structures gained 2.4 per cent in the second quarter, boosted by a 3.3 per cent gain in spending on engineering structures.

The overall pullback in the second quarter came as the economy contracted by 0.2 per cent in June.

Services-producing industries dropped 0.2 per cent in June, while goods-producing industries contracted 0.4 per cent.

Statistics Canada also said its early estimate for July suggested real GDP was essentially unchanged for the month, though it cautioned the figure would be updated.

The report comes ahead of the Bank of Canada’s latest interest rate decision, set for next Wednesday.

The central bank raised its key interest rate target by a quarter of a percentage point to five per cent in July, saying it remained concerned that progress toward its two per cent inflation target could stall.

 

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Driving for Uber or writing on Fiverr? How to handle taxes on digital platform income

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Digital platforms like Uber, Airbnb and Etsy have made it easier than ever to make some extra cash on the side, but experts say you need to be diligent about tracking and reporting that additional income, or risk the consequences.

“Especially in the first year … make sure that if you’re not familiar with how to report self-employed income, seek assistance and get it right, rather than take the risk of getting it wrong. It’ll take a lot longer and cost a lot more to fix it,” said Bruce Goudy, director of BDO Canada’s indirect tax practice.

More and more Canadians are earning income from websites and apps, whether they’re renting out a property on Airbnb, delivering food through Uber Eats, or doing graphic design on Fiverr.

In December 2023, 927,000 people ages 15 to 69 years old said they had earned money from a digital platform in the preceding year, said Statistics Canada. This included platforms that pay workers directly and those that connect workers with clients.

If you earn money through a digital platform, you are considered self-employed, said Stefanie Ricchio, a chartered professional accountant and spokesperson for TurboTax Canada.

Instead of the standard T4 tax form you get from an employer, you’ll need to report your self-employment income on a T2125 form when you file your taxes.

As well as your income, you also need to report your expenses, said Ricchio. These expenses can include home office costs, car maintenance, and even the fees you pay to the digital platform — there are hundreds of deductions available, she said.

“The more eligible deductions that you apply to that income, the less that tax bill is going to be when you file.”

Because you’re generally not collecting taxes when you earn money on a digital platform, you need to be prepared to pay those taxes when you file, said Ricchio. She recommends setting aside about a quarter of your income for this purpose.

For those who are new to being self-employed, it can require a big mindset change, she said.

Once you’re earning $30,000 or more over four consecutive quarters, you have to register for a GST/HST account, said Ricchio, though you can voluntarily do it earlier.

But if you are providing rideshare services, you have to sign up right at the beginning, she said.

“It’s immediate because you start charging GST, HST immediately.”

This threshold might take some sellers by surprise, said Goudy, which is why it’s important to monitor your revenues closely so you’re not caught off guard.

Goudy noted that since Canada has several different sales tax jurisdictions, sellers should make sure they’re aware of those implications — tax obligations are based on where the customer is located, not the seller.

Canada recently introduced new reporting rules for digital platform operators, which came into effect this year. The rules themselves target the platforms, but could affect people working through those platforms too.

Certain platforms are now required to collect and report information to the Canada Revenue Agency on sellers who live in Canada or in countries that have implemented the same rules, and who sell to people in Canada or those countries, according to the CRA. This information may include identifying details like names and addresses, platform fees, property locations (if applicable) and payment details.

“What pre-empted this is obviously the rise of e-commerce, digital, the digital transaction community,” said Ricchio.

“They know that they have been missing transactions that have gone unknown to the CRA … so this is now the mechanism to help them capture it, to ensure that everyone is paying tax where they should be on that income.”

Sellers may be asked for additional information so the platform can fulfil these obligations, the agency added.

If a seller doesn’t provide their tax identification information to the platform, they can be fined $500, the CRA said.

Certain sellers are excluded from these obligations, including those with “less than 30 relevant activities for the sale of goods” and for whom the total amount paid or credited was below $2,800 during the reportable period, according to the CRA.

Sellers need to make sure they do their due diligence and comply with all their reporting requirements, said Goudy, as what they file has to match what the platform reports.

Non-compliance can result in penalties, he said, as well as any penalties or interest on unpaid taxes.

“The CRA is going to be able to cross-check this information readily available,” he said.

“If the sellers were not compliant before … then it’s going to be pretty obvious.”

Another change this year is that if you operate a short-term rental in a designated province or municipality where you’re not allowed to do so, the CRA will disqualify your business deductions, said Ricchio.

If you’re earning digital platform income on top of your regular employment income, Ricchio said the extra money could potentially push you into a higher tax bracket.

This will not only affect your rate of taxation but could also hit any benefits you’re used to receiving, such as the Canada Child Benefit or the GST/HST credit, she said. “That’s also sometimes a shock for people.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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