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Canada’s hot housing market – is it a bubble?

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The Canadian real estate market is unique in that it has both a strong national market and many regional markets. Unlike the United States, where most of the country’s real estate is concentrated in a few large metropolitan areas, Canada has a more even distribution of real estate prices and sales across its many regions. This makes Canada a more stable place to invest in real estate, as no one region dominates the market.

There is no doubt that Canada’s housing market is on fire. Prices have been increasing at an alarming rate, and there are concerns that we may be in the midst of a housing bubble.

But what exactly is a housing bubble, and why are they so dangerous? A housing bubble is a situation where prices for homes become inflated, and eventually burst. This can cause a lot of damage to the economy, as people can lose a lot of money when the bubble bursts.

 

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The current state of Canada’s housing market

The current state of Canada’s housing market is a topic of much debate. Some say that the market is in a bubble and that a crash is imminent, while others maintain that the market is healthy and will continue to grow. This article will explore the current state of Canada’s housing market and offer insights into whether or not a bubble exists.

 

Factors contributing to the high prices: Low-interest rates, limited supply, immigration

It’s no secret that Canada’s housing market is booming, with prices reaching all-time highs in cities like Toronto and Vancouver. But is this a bubble that’s about to burst? There are several factors contributing to the high prices, including

low interest

In recent years, Canada’s hot housing market has been on the rise with prices increasing significantly in some areas. Many are asking if this is a housing bubble that is about to burst.

The main reason for the increase in prices is low-interest rates. When interest rates are low, it is cheaper for people to borrow money and this drives up demand for housing. rates, limited supply

There is no doubt that Canada’s housing market is on fire. Prices have been increasing at a rapid pace and there are concerns that we may be in the midst of a housing bubble. But what exactly is a housing bubble and why are they so dangerous? A housing bubble is a situation where prices for homes rise to levels that are not supported by the underlying fundamentals. This can be caused by factors such as speculation, easy credit, or a shortage of supply. , and immigration.

The current low-interest rates are making it easy for people to afford a mortgage, which has helped to drive up prices. “The Bank of Canada has been keeping its benchmark interest rate at a record low of 1.25 percent since September 2010,” writes The Globe and Mail’s Melanie Joly. “This is the longest period of time in modern history that the bank has held its overnight rate below two percent.

Bubble? Some say yes, others contend that there is no bubble

A potential housing market crash could have a huge economic impact on Canada, with millions of jobs at risk. According to some experts, Canada’s hot housing market is a bubble that’s about to burst. If the housing market crashes, it will cause a recession and a loss of jobs. The effects of a housing market crash would be especially severe in provinces like British Columbia and Ontario, which are most affected by the housing boom.

 

Effects of a potential housing market crash: Huge economic impact, loss of jobs

What can be done to prevent/mitigate a housing market crash: More regulation, increase in supply

There is no doubt that Canada’s housing market is on fire. Prices have been increasing at an alarming rate, and there are concerns that we may be in the midst of a housing bubble.

But what exactly is a housing bubble, and why are they so dangerous? A housing bubble is a situation where prices for homes become inflated, and eventually burst. This can cause a lot of damage to the economy, as people can lose a lot of money when the bubble bursts.

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European real estate stocks hammered by banking turmoil – Financial Times

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A massive chunk of Toronto's Kensington Market is now for sale at $24 million – blogTO

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A large portion of Toronto’s eclectic Kensington Market community is on the chopping block, with a group of properties hitting the market for a combined $24 million, and potential plans to redevelop the site with a new mid-rise building.

Realtors are shopping a group of seven properties around that includes 23 Saint Andrew Street plus 25 through 35 Kensington Avenue, located just northwest of the Dundas and Spadina intersection.

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25 kensington avenue toronto

The document circulating mentions the possibility of purchasing additional properties at 21 and 23 Kensington Ave plus an easement lot attached to 23 St. Andrew, which would add 0.173 acres to the site and increase the developable footprint to 0.66 acres.

25 kensington avenue toronto

The site is currently home to a collection of Victorian semi-detached homes with commercial frontages and includes a handful of businesses such as vintage store Fashion Old and New.

If sold off, it is expected that the new owner of the properties would redevelop the site with a higher-density development, and the document specifically notes the potential for an eight-storey building on the land.

Toronto’s Official Plan does indeed designate this pocket of the city for mixed-use development, though, like pretty much everything else proposed under the city’s archaic zoning by-laws, any mid-rise plan would require a rezoning to move forward.

The site is located within the planned Kensington Market Heritage Conservation District (HCD), which aims to conserve the area’s cultural and built heritage. This would likely only prove a small speed bump in any redevelopment plans, as new development is still permitted in an HCD as long as it adheres to the surrounding style.

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Federal Government Amends the Foreign Buyers Ban Regulations – British Columbia Real Estate Association

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On March 27, 2023, the federal government announced amendments to the Prohibition on the Purchase of Residential Property by Non-Canadians Act’s (the Act) accompanying Regulations, effective March 27, 2023. The Act was passed in June 2022 and the regulations came into force January 1, 2023.

Here’s what you need to know about the amendments to the Foreign Buyers Ban.

Enable more work permit holders to purchase a home to live in while working in Canada.

The amendments allow those who hold a work permit or are authorized to work in Canada under the Immigration and Refugee Protection Regulations to purchase residential property. Work permit holders are eligible if they have 183 days or more of validity remaining on their work permit or work authorization at time of purchase and they have not purchased more than one residential property. The current provisions on tax filings and previous work experience in Canada are being repealed.

Repealing existing provision so the prohibition doesn’t apply to vacant land.

Repealing section 3(2) of the regulations, so the prohibition does not apply to all lands zoned for residential and mixed use. Vacant land zoned for residential and mixed use can now be purchased by non-Canadians and used for any purpose by the purchaser, including residential development.

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Exception for development purposes.

This exception allows non-Canadians to purchase residential property for the purpose of development. The amendments also extend the exception currently applicable to publicly traded corporations under the Act, to publicly traded entities formed under the laws of Canada or a province, and controlled by a non-Canadian.

Increasing the corporation foreign control threshold from 3 per cent to 10 per cent.

For the purposes of the Prohibition, with regards to privately held corporations or privately held entities formed under the laws of Canada or a province and controlled by a non-Canadian, the control threshold has increased from 3 per cent to 10 per cent. This aligns with the Underused Housing Tax Act’s definition of ‘specified Canadian Corporation’.

While the BC Real Estate Association (BCREA) welcomes these amendments because they provide greater flexibility to newcomers and businesses seeking to contribute to Canada, we remain opposed to the legislation’s highly political and largely non-evidential assertion that foreign ownership plays a significant role in Canadian housing attainability.

The federal government’s need to amend this policy demonstrates its overly hasty policy-making process. The negative unintended consequences that necessitated the amendments could have been mitigated with proactive, fulsome sectoral consultation. The negative fallout from this legislation once again highlights a concerning trend at all levels of government to implement policy affecting major economic sectors without adequate advance sectoral consultation.

BCREA is committed to continuing our advocacy efforts calling for the establishment of a Permanent Housing Roundtable to bring together all stakeholders in the housing sphere and help address its challenges with an inclusive, holistic and innovative approach.

To subscribe to receive BCREA publications such as this one, or to update your email address or current subscriptions, click here.

 

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