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Canadian dollar beats G10 peers as inflation hits 18-year high

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Canadian dollar

The Canadian dollar on Wednesday strengthened against its U.S. counterpart and all but one of the other G10 currencies as oil prices rose and domestic data showed inflation climbing to its highest level in 18 years.

The loonie was up 0.4% at 1.2642 to the greenback, or 79.10 U.S. cents, after trading in a range of 1.2631 to 1.2708.

“It looks like broad U.S. dollar weakness although there were positive developments (for the Canadian dollar) on the inflation front,” said Simon Harvey, senior FX market analyst for Monex Europe and Monex Canada.

Canada‘s annual inflation rate accelerated to 4.1% in August, its highest since March 2003, boosted in part by a big jump in gasoline prices.

The Bank of Canada‘s three measures of core inflation all posted gains, but analysts expect the central bank to stick to the view that the factors pushing up inflation are transitory.

The data “might have more political consequences than necessarily consequences for the Bank of Canada,” Harvey said.

The leader of Canada‘s main opposition party said a surge in inflation last month highlighted the failure of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s economic policies, and urged Canadians to vote out the government in an election on Monday.

Among G10 currencies, only the Norwegian crown fared better than the loonie. Norway, like Canada, is a major producer of oil, which rose after industry data showed a larger-than-expected drawdown in U.S. crude inventories.

U.S. crude prices settled 3.1% higher at $72.61 a barrel, while Canadian government bond yields rose across a steeper curve. The 10-year was up 5.3 basis points at 1.225%.

The gap between Canada‘s 10-year yield and its U.S. equivalent narrowed by 2.6 basis points to 8.1 basis points in favor of the U.S. bond, the smallest gap since Aug. 11.

 

(Reporting by Fergal Smith; editing by Jonathan Oatis)

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September merchandise trade deficit narrows to $1.3 billion: Statistics Canada

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OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says the country’s merchandise trade deficit narrowed to $1.3 billion in September as imports fell more than exports.

The result compared with a revised deficit of $1.5 billion for August. The initial estimate for August released last month had shown a deficit of $1.1 billion.

Statistics Canada says the results for September came as total exports edged down 0.1 per cent to $63.9 billion.

Exports of metal and non-metallic mineral products fell 5.4 per cent as exports of unwrought gold, silver, and platinum group metals, and their alloys, decreased 15.4 per cent. Exports of energy products dropped 2.6 per cent as lower prices weighed on crude oil exports.

Meanwhile, imports for September fell 0.4 per cent to $65.1 billion as imports of metal and non-metallic mineral products dropped 12.7 per cent.

In volume terms, total exports rose 1.4 per cent in September while total imports were essentially unchanged in September.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 5, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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How will the U.S. election impact the Canadian economy? – BNN Bloomberg

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How will the U.S. election impact the Canadian economy?  BNN Bloomberg

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Trump and Musk promise economic 'hardship' — and voters are noticing – MSNBC

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Trump and Musk promise economic ‘hardship’ — and voters are noticing  MSNBC

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