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Economy

Canadian dollar hits six-week high

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Canadian dollar

By Fergal Smith

TORONTO (Reuters) – The Canadian dollar strengthened to its highest level in nearly six weeks against its U.S. counterpart on Monday, as investors focused on underlying factors supportive of the currency and awaited a Federal Reserve policy decision later this week.

The loonie was trading 0.6% higher at 1.2400 to the greenback, or 80.65 U.S. cents, having touched its strongest intraday level since March 18 at 1.2383.

“What we are getting at this point is a realignment in terms of the Canadian dollar,” said Eric Theoret, global macro strategist at Manulife Investment Management. “The current levels that we are at right now are still much weaker than where you would expect them to be based on fundamentals.”

Higher commodity prices and a more hawkish Bank of Canada are among the factors supportive of the loonie, Theoret said.

The central bank last week signaled it could start hiking interest rates next year and cut the pace of bond purchases.

In contrast, most analysts expect Fed Chair Jerome Powell to say on Wednesday that talk of withdrawing monetary support for the U.S. economy is premature, which could put downward pressure on Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar.

Speculators have raised their bullish bets on the Canadian dollar to the highest in seven weeks, data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission showed on Friday.

The price of oil, one of Canada‘s major exports, settled 0.4% lower at $61.91 a barrel, pressured by fears that surging COVID-19 cases in India will dent fuel demand in the world’s third-biggest oil importer.

Canadian government bond yields rose across a steeper curve. The 10-year was up 1.5 basis points at 1.532%.

Canadian retail sales data for February is due on Wednesday, while GDP data for the same month is due on Friday.

 

(Reporting by Fergal Smith; Editing by Ken Ferris and Paul Simao)

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Economy

PBO projects deficit exceeded Liberals’ $40B pledge, economy to rebound in 2025

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OTTAWA – The parliamentary budget officer says the federal government likely failed to keep its deficit below its promised $40 billion cap in the last fiscal year.

However the PBO also projects in its latest economic and fiscal outlook today that weak economic growth this year will begin to rebound in 2025.

The budget watchdog estimates in its report that the federal government posted a $46.8 billion deficit for the 2023-24 fiscal year.

Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland pledged a year ago to keep the deficit capped at $40 billion and in her spring budget said the deficit for 2023-24 stayed in line with that promise.

The final tally of the last year’s deficit will be confirmed when the government publishes its annual public accounts report this fall.

The PBO says economic growth will remain tepid this year but will rebound in 2025 as the Bank of Canada’s interest rate cuts stimulate spending and business investment.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

Statistics Canada says levels of food insecurity rose in 2022

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OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says the level of food insecurity increased in 2022 as inflation hit peak levels.

In a report using data from the Canadian community health survey, the agency says 15.6 per cent of households experienced some level of food insecurity in 2022 after being relatively stable from 2017 to 2021.

The reading was up from 9.6 per cent in 2017 and 11.6 per cent in 2018.

Statistics Canada says the prevalence of household food insecurity was slightly lower and stable during the pandemic years as it fell to 8.5 per cent in the fall of 2020 and 9.1 per cent in 2021.

In addition to an increase in the prevalence of food insecurity in 2022, the agency says there was an increase in the severity as more households reported moderate or severe food insecurity.

It also noted an increase in the number of Canadians living in moderately or severely food insecure households was also seen in the Canadian income survey data collected in the first half of 2023.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct 16, 2024.

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Economy

Statistics Canada says manufacturing sales fell 1.3% to $69.4B in August

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OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says manufacturing sales in August fell to their lowest level since January 2022 as sales in the primary metal and petroleum and coal product subsectors fell.

The agency says manufacturing sales fell 1.3 per cent to $69.4 billion in August, after rising 1.1 per cent in July.

The drop came as sales in the primary metal subsector dropped 6.4 per cent to $5.3 billion in August, on lower prices and lower volumes.

Sales in the petroleum and coal product subsector fell 3.7 per cent to $7.8 billion in August on lower prices.

Meanwhile, sales of aerospace products and parts rose 7.3 per cent to $2.7 billion in August and wood product sales increased 3.8 per cent to $3.1 billion.

Overall manufacturing sales in constant dollars fell 0.8 per cent in August.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

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