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Canadian oil lobby group slams ‘reprehensible’ Russia-Saudi price war – Yahoo Canada Finance

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Tank Railcars in a Snowy Cargo Train Terminal with Buildings in Background. Calgary, AB, Canada.

The Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers (CAPP) is denouncing Saudi Arabia and Russia for driving down the price of oil in a supply spat compounding the economic impact of the COVID-19 virus. 

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="The unfolding global pandemic and expectations for a flood of cheap foreign crude this spring has caused Canadian producers to sideline more than a billion dollars in planned spending. The cautious optimism investors had for the sector at the start of 2020 has been shattered.” data-reactid=”24″>The unfolding global pandemic and expectations for a flood of cheap foreign crude this spring has caused Canadian producers to sideline more than a billion dollars in planned spending. The cautious optimism investors had for the sector at the start of 2020 has been shattered.

Goldman Sachs slashed its oil price forecast again on Thursday, predicting North American benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and European benchmark Brent crude will average US$20 per barrel in the second quarter of 2020. WTI continued to slide on Wednesday morning, falling nearly 11 per cent to US$24.00 per barrel at 9:48 a.m. ET. 

London-based Capital Economics said on Wednesday that the slide will persist in the near-term “regardless of policy support” from governments. The United States has pledged to buy on the dip to fill its strategic reserves, and a response from Ottawa is expected shortly. Alberta’s government has said it will assemble an economic panel led by University of Calgary economist Jack Mintz to advise the province on a path out of what many observers see as uncharted territory for oil prices.

For CAPP president and CEO Tim McMillan, the drop in demand as business activity and travel slow to a crawl due to COVID-19 is an unfortunate reality the market must accept. He sees the price war between powerhouse producers Saudi Arabia and Russia differently.

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="“Maybe it shouldn’t be surprising that Saudi Arabia and Russia would use a time of global health crisis to chase market share, that regimes of this nature would use this global pandemic to bolster their position,” he told Yahoo Finance Canada. “Anyone that takes advantage of a global pandemic to explicitly chase market share is reprehensible.”” data-reactid=”28″>“Maybe it shouldn’t be surprising that Saudi Arabia and Russia would use a time of global health crisis to chase market share, that regimes of this nature would use this global pandemic to bolster their position,” he told Yahoo Finance Canada. “Anyone that takes advantage of a global pandemic to explicitly chase market share is reprehensible.”

The March 5 meeting between OPEC nations and Russia in Vienna ground to a halt when Moscow refused to accept production cuts aimed at putting a floor under falling prices hit by COVID-19. Ridyah responded by slashing its selling price and announcing plans to massively increase the kingdom’s output.

The standoff has driven oil prices below the breakeven points for a number of producers around the world, including most in Canada. The result has been near-daily announcements from the country’s oil patch detailing cuts to spending and shareholder payouts.

Price Street managing director and market economist Rory Johnston said Saudi Arabia’s plan to drop selling prices for April deliveries and increase its production from 9.7 million barrels per day to 12.3 million marks a shift away from prioritizing stability over market share gains. However, he said it is important to note that it was Russia that scuttled the OPEC+ negotiations.

“[It’s] a move that fits more nicely within its longer-term strategy of geopolitical disruption,” he said of the Kremlin’s leadership. 

Johnston said while a price war amid the COVID-19 outbreak exacerbates an already volatile oil market, the opportunity for Russia and Saudi Arabia to squeeze out rivals with a supply shock “might have proved too tempting to ignore.”

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="Asked how this current downturn differs from others that Canadian producers weathered in recent years, McMillan said this one will be particularly challenging because the energy sector has yet to fully find its footing after the last price route.

“We are in the middle of the response to the price shock right now, but it is going to take time to work itself out,” he said. “We’re normally well-positioned to deal with it. That’s part of being in a commodity business. But his one is coming with a health crisis that’s lowering expected consumption for the first time in a decade.”” data-reactid=”34″>Asked how this current downturn differs from others that Canadian producers weathered in recent years, McMillan said this one will be particularly challenging because the energy sector has yet to fully find its footing after the last price route.

“We are in the middle of the response to the price shock right now, but it is going to take time to work itself out,” he said. “We’re normally well-positioned to deal with it. That’s part of being in a commodity business. But his one is coming with a health crisis that’s lowering expected consumption for the first time in a decade.”

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Japan’s SoftBank returns to profit after gains at Vision Fund and other investments

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TOKYO (AP) — Japanese technology group SoftBank swung back to profitability in the July-September quarter, boosted by positive results in its Vision Fund investments.

Tokyo-based SoftBank Group Corp. reported Tuesday a fiscal second quarter profit of nearly 1.18 trillion yen ($7.7 billion), compared with a 931 billion yen loss in the year-earlier period.

Quarterly sales edged up about 6% to nearly 1.77 trillion yen ($11.5 billion).

SoftBank credited income from royalties and licensing related to its holdings in Arm, a computer chip-designing company, whose business spans smartphones, data centers, networking equipment, automotive, consumer electronic devices, and AI applications.

The results were also helped by the absence of losses related to SoftBank’s investment in office-space sharing venture WeWork, which hit the previous fiscal year.

WeWork, which filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in 2023, emerged from Chapter 11 in June.

SoftBank has benefitted in recent months from rising share prices in some investment, such as U.S.-based e-commerce company Coupang, Chinese mobility provider DiDi Global and Bytedance, the Chinese developer of TikTok.

SoftBank’s financial results tend to swing wildly, partly because of its sprawling investment portfolio that includes search engine Yahoo, Chinese retailer Alibaba, and artificial intelligence company Nvidia.

SoftBank makes investments in a variety of companies that it groups together in a series of Vision Funds.

The company’s founder, Masayoshi Son, is a pioneer in technology investment in Japan. SoftBank Group does not give earnings forecasts.

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Yuri Kageyama is on X:

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Trump campaign promises unlikely to harm entrepreneurship: Shopify CFO

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Shopify Inc. executives brushed off concerns that incoming U.S. President Donald Trump will be a major detriment to many of the company’s merchants.

“There’s nothing in what we’ve heard from Trump, nor would there have been anything from (Democratic candidate) Kamala (Harris), which we think impacts the overall state of new business formation and entrepreneurship,” Shopify’s chief financial officer Jeff Hoffmeister told analysts on a call Tuesday.

“We still feel really good about all the merchants out there, all the entrepreneurs that want to start new businesses and that’s obviously not going to change with the administration.”

Hoffmeister’s comments come a week after Trump, a Republican businessman, trounced Harris in an election that will soon return him to the Oval Office.

On the campaign trail, he threatened to impose tariffs of 60 per cent on imports from China and roughly 10 per cent to 20 per cent on goods from all other countries.

If the president-elect makes good on the promise, many worry the cost of operating will soar for companies, including customers of Shopify, which sells e-commerce software to small businesses but also brands as big as Kylie Cosmetics and Victoria’s Secret.

These merchants may feel they have no choice but to pass on the increases to customers, perhaps sparking more inflation.

If Trump’s tariffs do come to fruition, Shopify’s president Harley Finkelstein pointed out China is “not a huge area” for Shopify.

However, “we can’t anticipate what every presidential administration is going to do,” he cautioned.

He likened the uncertainty facing the business community to the COVID-19 pandemic where Shopify had to help companies migrate online.

“Our job is no matter what comes the way of our merchants, we provide them with tools and service and support for them to navigate it really well,” he said.

Finkelstein was questioned about the forthcoming U.S. leadership change on a call meant to delve into Shopify’s latest earnings, which sent shares soaring 27 per cent to $158.63 shortly after Tuesday’s market open.

The Ottawa-based company, which keeps its books in U.S. dollars, reported US$828 million in net income for its third quarter, up from US$718 million in the same quarter last year, as its revenue rose 26 per cent.

Revenue for the period ended Sept. 30 totalled US$2.16 billion, up from US$1.71 billion a year earlier.

Subscription solutions revenue reached US$610 million, up from US$486 million in the same quarter last year.

Merchant solutions revenue amounted to US$1.55 billion, up from US$1.23 billion.

Shopify’s net income excluding the impact of equity investments totalled US$344 million for the quarter, up from US$173 million in the same quarter last year.

Daniel Chan, a TD Cowen analyst, said the results show Shopify has a leadership position in the e-commerce world and “a continued ability to gain market share.”

In its outlook for its fourth quarter of 2024, the company said it expects revenue to grow at a mid-to-high-twenties percentage rate on a year-over-year basis.

“Q4 guidance suggests Shopify will finish the year strong, with better-than-expected revenue growth and operating margin,” Chan pointed out in a note to investors.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:SHOP)

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RioCan cuts nearly 10 per cent staff in efficiency push as condo market slows

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TORONTO – RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust says it has cut almost 10 per cent of its staff as it deals with a slowdown in the condo market and overall pushes for greater efficiency.

The company says the cuts, which amount to around 60 employees based on its last annual filing, will mean about $9 million in restructuring charges and should translate to about $8 million in annualized cash savings.

The job cuts come as RioCan and others scale back condo development plans as the market softens, but chief executive Jonathan Gitlin says the reductions were from a companywide efficiency effort.

RioCan says it doesn’t plan to start any new construction of mixed-use properties this year and well into 2025 as it adjusts to the shifting market demand.

The company reported a net income of $96.9 million in the third quarter, up from a loss of $73.5 million last year, as it saw a $159 million boost from a favourable change in the fair value of investment properties.

RioCan reported what it says is a record-breaking 97.8 per cent occupancy rate in the quarter including retail committed occupancy of 98.6 per cent.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:REI.UN)

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