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Canadian Real Estate Markets With the Steepest Price Growth – RE/MAX News

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Although the red-hot Canadian real estate market has ostensibly taken a breather in recent months, the latest trends developing across Canada suggest that the boom still has room for growth this year. From strengthening demand to lacklustre new housing construction, many factors are pointing to an upward trajectory for Canadian real estate markets over the next 12 months.

Housing affordability had been a considerable issue since before the coronavirus pandemic, but it was largely concentrated in major urban centres such as Toronto, Vancouver and Montreal. In the aftermath of the first wave of the COVID-19 public health crisis, Canadian real estate valuations went through the roof from coast to coast.

But while growth appears to be taking place in every pocket of the nation’s sizzling housing sector, there are some Canadian housing markets that are outperforming others, whether in terms of sales activity or price gains. But where and how much? Well, in just one month, five Canadian cities recorded tens of thousands of dollars in gains.

These Canadian Real Estate Markets Saw the Steepest Price Growth

British Columbia and Ontario are Canada’s most populous provinces, and they are also home to several sizzling housing markets that are unlikely to experience a reprieve for homebuyers anytime soon.

Here is a look at the top housing markets based on one-month gains, according to composite price data from the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) to round out 2021:

  • Toronto: +$44,619
  • Oakville: +$43,520
  • Fraser Valley: +$39,342
  • Chilliwack: +$31,560
  • Mississauga: +$31,172

On the long list of cities posting month-over-month gains, the only major municipality to post a decline was Edmonton, which fell nearly $3,000.

When looking at 2021 as a whole, the last 12 months for the Canadian real estate market have been incredible. Three housing markets witnessed annual price growth of more than $250,000:

  • Oakville: +$398,754
  • Fraser Valley: +$270,537
  • Toronto: +$262,200

If you peruse the statistics, you will find that not one major Canadian housing market reported a drop in composite home prices for the year. Buyers, sellers and real estate professionals are living through unprecedented times right now, as nearly the entire country is posting an exceptional jump.

This comes soon after CREA confirmed that more than 666,000 residential properties traded hands last year, 30 per cent above the decade-long annual average.

There are currently fewer properties listed for sale in Canada than at any point on record,” CREA Chief Economist Shaun Cathcart said in a news release. “So unfortunately, the housing affordability problem facing the country is likely to get worse before it gets better.”

BMO: Canada’s Housing Market Became ‘Unhinged’ in 2021

Because of the meteoric growth in housing prices, many young Canadians have abandoned their dreams of homeownership. Many federal officials have proposed public policy tools to ease prices. So far, nothing appears to be working, with housing experts unanimously pointing to one solution: More supply.

That said, one financial institution believes the housing sector has become “unhinged.”

Writing in a report titled “Canadian Housing Fire Needs a Response,” BMO Economics’ Robert Kavcic and Benjamin Reitzes say that the federal government needs to look into possible measures to douse a “smoldering” real estate market.

“Very early last year, BMO Economics warned that policy (starting on the monetary side) needed to tighten in order to prevent the market from becoming dislodged from underlying fundamentals,” Kavcic wrote.

“And that came from a team that spent many, many, years defending the Canadian housing market from wave after wave of bearish assault, as most of the gains were rooted in income, demographic and interest rate fundamentals.”

He added: “Now it appears that 2021 was the year the market became unhinged.”

The economists noted that end-user and investor demand invaded the housing market in 2021. Moreover, the fundamentals were front and centre in the Canadian housing market: strong demand, shrinking supply, modest new residential listings, and cheap borrowing costs. These trends could persist in the coming months as housing starts have fallen, buyer interest has been sustained, and interest rates will remain historically low.

BMO Economics also noted a remarkable increase in the number of repeat buyers who also utilized variable-rate mortgages. In the real estate market, it is conventional and conservative wisdom that homebuyers select fixed-rate mortgages for their buying needs.

“That seems like a market that has been forced to stretch,” Kavcic noted.

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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