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China sets the tone on real estate, local government support at a high-level meeting

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BEIJING — China signaled support for property developers and resolving local government debt problems in a high-level financial meeting that ended Tuesday, according to a state media readout.

Such twice-a-decade financial work conferences tend to set long-term policy directions, which then pave the way for more detailed moves.

“Policymakers emphasized that private and state-owned property developers would be treated equally and their reasonable funding demands would be satisfied,” Goldman Sachs’ Maggie Wei and a team said in a report published Wednesday.

“Policymakers would establish long-term effective mechanism to resolve local government debt and ‘optimize the structure of central and local government debt,'” the report said.

Beijing began cracking down on property developers’ high reliance on debt for growth in 2020. The massive real estate sector has slumped amid developer defaults and falling home sales.

In recent months Chinese authorities have eased restrictions on home purchases and sought to support developers in finishing construction of apartments, which are typically sold ahead of completion.

But Beijing has stopped short of an outright bailout for a sector that’s widely expected to shrink from its roughly one-quarter share of China’s economy.

“Regarding property, they vowed to meet the reasonable financing needs from developers. It’s noteworthy that the conference didn’t mention the mantra ‘housing is for living, not for speculation,'” Larry Hu, chief China economist at Macquarie, and a team said in a note published Tuesday.

The Hang Seng Property Development and Management Index was up mildly in Wednesday morning trade.

The property market is closely intertwined with local government finances, which have also struggled after paying for many Covid-related measures.

The government meeting held Monday and Tuesday also reflected the ruling Chinese Communist Party’s increased oversight of finance.
Delayed by more than a year, the latest meeting was called the “central” financial work conference — instead of “national” as it was called in 2017.”This time around, the focus is to keep regulatory pressure to prevent the emergence of new risks, instead of launching another de-risking campaign,” the Macquarie analysts said.They pointed out the words “regulation” and “risk” were mentioned fewer times in this year’s readout, versus in 2017.
Chinese President Xi Jinping gave a high-level speech at the conference about financial development, the state media readout said, noting Premier Li Qiang made more specific arrangements for financial work.Vice Premier He Lifeng gave a closing speech, the readout said.He is now also director of the office of the Central Commission for Financial and Economic Affairs, according to state media on Sunday. Liu He, formerly China’s top trade negotiator, previously held that role.
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‘The Bidding War’ taps into Toronto’s real estate anxiety

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‘The Bidding War’ is a play skewering Toronto’s real estate market via a story about a one-day bidding war over the city’s last affordable home. The cast and crew say it exposes how the housing crisis brings out “the worst in people.” (Nov. 12, 2024)

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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