adplus-dvertising
Connect with us

Economy

China Signals Zero Tolerance For Sharp Economic Slowdown With Rare Steps – Yahoo Canada Finance

Published

 on


(Bloomberg) — Chinese President Xi Jinping signaled that a sharp slowdown in growth and lingering deflationary risks won’t be tolerated, making a series of rare policy moves to boost sentiment in the world’s second largest-economy.

Most Read from Bloomberg

The government increased its headline deficit on Tuesday to the largest in three decades and unveiled a sovereign debt package that marked a shift from its traditional growth model. Xi also made an unprecedented trip to the central bank — sending a powerful message about his focus on the economy.

The one-trillion-yuan budget boost and willingness to exceed a long-adhered to 3% debt-to-GDP limit displayed a determination by Beijing to shore up growth for 2024 and avoid complacency. That comes even after strong economic data published this month put the government on target for its 5% goal this year. China will next week hold a twice-a-decade financial policy gathering that may provide more policy clarity.

“The landing of the surprising policy despite surprising third-quarter GDP data may be due to policymakers’ acknowledgment that the pressure to stabilize growth next year will increase,” Shenwan Hongyuan Group Co. analysts including Jia Dongxu wrote in note late Tuesday.

The stimulus raises expectations for the economy in 2024, and comes after several government-linked economists called for a growth target as high as 5% for next year.

China is grappling with a protracted property crisis, a crunch in the $9 trillion local government debt market, and the threat of deflation. The nation’s economy wide measure of prices, the GDP deflator, was negative for two consecutive quarters for the first time since 2015.

Chinese equities reacted positively to the support measures, although some traders doubt if the rally is sustainable. The CSI 300 Index gained 0.7% as of 2:10 p.m. local time, halving its earlier advance. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index was up 1.5% after gaining more than 3%. China’s stock market hit several grim milestones over the past week that included a wipe-out of all the reopening gains in the CSI 300 Index.

Local Governments

The move to use the central government’s balance sheet to issue 1 trillion yuan ($137 billion) in sovereign bonds for construction projects suggests a shift away from China’s previous stimulus model, which relied on local governments adding leverage.

Those local governments are finding it harder to service existing debt this year due to the property downturn. Beijing may be more willing to absorb more debt to buoy growth as local governments’ off-budget borrowings become more unsustainable, Nomura Holdings Inc. economists led by Lu Ting wrote in a note.

Half of the bond issuance will be spent early next year, while local government bond quotas can also be assigned early, China’s Communist Party-controlled parliament said when announcing the moves.

“The extra central government bonds and early local government bond issuance should ensure the rebound that started in August continues into the new year,” said Adam Wolfe, emerging markets economist at Absolute Strategy Research.

China has rarely adjusted the budget mid-year, having previously done so in periods including 2008, in the aftermath of the Sichuan earthquake and in the wake of the Asian financial crisis in the late 1990s.

The headline deficit ratio of 3% outlined Tuesday would be the highest since the central-local tax sharing reform in 1994, according to the Shenwan analysts note.

The budget boost will lift GDP growth by 0.1 percentage points in the fourth quarter and 0.5 percentage points in 2024, according to Bloomberg Economics analysis. The move signals Beijing is “taking steps to help local governments, which are facing constraints in delivering stimulus,” economist David Qu wrote in a report.

No Bazooka

The support package remains conservative in several ways. First, the size of support, equivalent to about 0.8% of GDP, is small relative to “bazooka” stimulus worth multiple percentage points of GDP that China has used during past downturns.

The package “is not huge or big” and aims to support growth while “trying to make sure the debt is not increasing in a dramatic way,” Zhu Min, former deputy governor of the People’s Bank of China, told Bloomberg TV in an interview. China’s GDP could grow between 4.5% and 5% next year, he added.

Economists see the package as allowing local governments to keep infrastructure investment — which grew 6.2% on-year in the first nine months of this year — expanding at its current pace, rather than accelerating. That’s because local governments issued their entire quota of “special purpose” bonds used mainly for construction at the end of September, leaving a gap in their funds toward the end of this year.

Another traditional feature of the stimulus is its focus on construction. Economists have called for China to begin offering stimulus more directly to the household sector, arguing that payments to consumers could provide a greater boost to the economy than infrastructure investment.

While Xi’s shift away from saddling local governments with the responsibility for driving growth could bode well for China’s economy in the long-term, his reticence for bigger stimulus could protract that process.

“Besides demonstrating Beijing’s commitment to growth, the fact that deficit is entirely financed by central government is an encouraging move,” said Houze Song, a fellow at the Paulson Institute. “Nonetheless, Beijing still refuses to consider income transfer to households, which will delay the rebalancing of the Chinese economy.”

–With assistance from Fran Wang, Jacob Gu, Stephen Engle and Zhu Lin.

Most Read from Bloomberg Businessweek

©2023 Bloomberg L.P.

Adblock test (Why?)

728x90x4

Source link

Continue Reading

Business

A timeline of events in the bread price-fixing scandal

Published

 on

 

Almost seven years since news broke of an alleged conspiracy to fix the price of packaged bread across Canada, the saga isn’t over: the Competition Bureau continues to investigate the companies that may have been involved, and two class-action lawsuits continue to work their way through the courts.

Here’s a timeline of key events in the bread price-fixing case.

Oct. 31, 2017: The Competition Bureau says it’s investigating allegations of bread price-fixing and that it was granted search warrants in the case. Several grocers confirm they are co-operating in the probe.

Dec. 19, 2017: Loblaw and George Weston say they participated in an “industry-wide price-fixing arrangement” to raise the price of packaged bread. The companies say they have been co-operating in the Competition Bureau’s investigation since March 2015, when they self-reported to the bureau upon discovering anti-competitive behaviour, and are receiving immunity from prosecution. They announce they are offering $25 gift cards to customers amid the ongoing investigation into alleged bread price-fixing.

Jan. 31, 2018: In court documents, the Competition Bureau says at least $1.50 was added to the price of a loaf of bread between about 2001 and 2016.

Dec. 20, 2019: A class-action lawsuit in a Quebec court against multiple grocers and food companies is certified against a number of companies allegedly involved in bread price-fixing, including Loblaw, George Weston, Metro, Sobeys, Walmart Canada, Canada Bread and Giant Tiger (which have all denied involvement, except for Loblaw and George Weston, which later settled with the plaintiffs).

Dec. 31, 2021: A class-action lawsuit in an Ontario court covering all Canadian residents except those in Quebec who bought packaged bread from a company named in the suit is certified against roughly the same group of companies.

June 21, 2023: Bakery giant Canada Bread Co. is fined $50 million after pleading guilty to four counts of price-fixing under the Competition Act as part of the Competition Bureau’s ongoing investigation.

Oct. 25 2023: Canada Bread files a statement of defence in the Ontario class action denying participating in the alleged conspiracy and saying any anti-competitive behaviour it participated in was at the direction and to the benefit of its then-majority owner Maple Leaf Foods, which is not a defendant in the case (neither is its current owner Grupo Bimbo). Maple Leaf calls Canada Bread’s accusations “baseless.”

Dec. 20, 2023: Metro files new documents in the Ontario class action accusing Loblaw and its parent company George Weston of conspiring to implicate it in the alleged scheme, denying involvement. Sobeys has made a similar claim. The two companies deny the allegations.

July 25, 2024: Loblaw and George Weston say they agreed to pay a combined $500 million to settle both the Ontario and Quebec class-action lawsuits. Loblaw’s share of the settlement includes a $96-million credit for the gift cards it gave out years earlier.

Sept. 12, 2024: Canada Bread files new documents in Ontario court as part of the class action, claiming Maple Leaf used it as a “shield” to avoid liability in the alleged scheme. Maple Leaf was a majority shareholder of Canada Bread until 2014, and the company claims it’s liable for any price-fixing activity. Maple Leaf refutes the claims.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 19, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:L, TSX:MFI, TSX:MRU, TSX:EMP.A, TSX:WN)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

S&P/TSX composite up more than 250 points, U.S. stock markets also higher

Published

 on

 

TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 250 points in late-morning trading, led by strength in the base metal and technology sectors, while U.S. stock markets also charged higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 254.62 points at 23,847.22.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 432.77 points at 41,935.87. The S&P 500 index was up 96.38 points at 5,714.64, while the Nasdaq composite was up 486.12 points at 18,059.42.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.68 cents US compared with 73.58 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was up 89 cents at US$70.77 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was down a penny at US2.27 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$9.40 at US$2,608.00 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents at US$4.33 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 19, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

Construction wraps on indoor supervised site for people who inhale drugs in Vancouver

Published

 on

 

VANCOUVER – Supervised injection sites are saving the lives of drug users everyday, but the same support is not being offered to people who inhale illicit drugs, the head of the BC Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS says.

Dr. Julio Montaner said the construction of Vancouver’s first indoor supervised site for people who inhale drugs comes as the percentage of people who die from smoking drugs continues to climb.

The location in the Downtown Eastside at the Hope to Health Research and Innovation Centre was unveiled Wednesday after construction was complete, and Montaner said people could start using the specialized rooms in a matter of weeks after final approvals from the city and federal government.

“If we don’t create mechanisms for these individuals to be able to use safely and engage with the medical system, and generate points of entry into the medical system, we will never be able to solve the problem,” he said.

“Now, I’m not here to tell you that we will fix it tomorrow, but denying it or ignoring it, or throw it under the bus, or under the carpet is no way to fix it, so we need to take proactive action.”

Nearly two-thirds of overdose deaths in British Columbia in 2023 came after smoking illicit drugs, yet only 40 per cent of supervised consumption sites in the province offer a safe place to smoke, often outdoors, in a tent.

The centre has been running a supervised injection site for years which sees more than a thousand people monthly and last month resuscitated five people who were overdosing.

The new facilities offer indoor, individual, negative-pressure rooms that allow fresh air to circulate and can clear out smoke in 30 to 60 seconds while users are monitored by trained nurses.

Advocates calling for more supervised inhalation sites have previously said the rules for setting up sites are overly complicated at a time when the province is facing an overdose crisis.

More than 15,000 people have died of overdoses since the public health emergency was declared in B.C. in April 2016.

Kate Salters, a senior researcher at the centre, said they worked with mechanical and chemical engineers to make sure the site is up to code and abidies by the highest standard of occupational health and safety.

“This is just another tool in our tool box to make sure that we’re offering life-saving services to those who are using drugs,” she said.

Montaner acknowledged the process to get the site up and running took “an inordinate amount of time,” but said the centre worked hard to follow all regulations.

“We feel that doing this right, with appropriate scientific background, in a medically supervised environment, etc, etc, allows us to derive the data that ultimately will be sufficiently convincing for not just our leaders, but also the leaders across the country and across the world, to embrace the strategies that we are trying to develop.” he said.

Montaner said building the facility was possible thanks to a single $4-million donation from a longtime supporter.

Construction finished with less than a week before the launch of the next provincial election campaign and within a year of the next federal election.

Montaner said he is concerned about “some of the things that have been said publicly by some of the political leaders in the province and in the country.”

“We want to bring awareness to the people that this is a serious undertaking. This is a very massive investment, and we need to protect it for the benefit of people who are unfortunately drug dependent.” he said.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 18, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending