Connect with us

Economy

China's economy is getting a boost from exports but it's not in the clear yet – CNN

Published

 on


Hong Kong (CNN Business)The holiday shopping season is boosting China’s trade at a time when the country needs it most. But that doesn’t mean its economic woes are over just yet.

Chinese exports surged 27% in October from a year earlier, according to customs statistics released by Chinese authorities on Sunday. That’s a shade softer than September’s 28% year-on-year growth, but better than analysts were expecting.
The strong export figures lifted China’s trade surplus to a record $84.5 billion in October.
Analysts suspect China’s exports were bolstered by strengthening global demand as the world continues to recover from the coronavirus pandemic, along with retailers stocking up for the holiday shopping season.
The widening trade surplus has also helped China boost its foreign exchange reserves, already the largest in the world. The total amount the country keeps in reserve increased to more than $3.2 trillion in October, the first increase since July, according to data from China’s State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Sunday.
The agency said in a statement that despite recurring Covid-19 outbreaks and “fluctuations in the international financial market,” China’s economy “continues to recover, with strong resilience and big potential.”
Manufacturers are “sticking to the resilient China supply-chain,” wrote Ken Cheung, chief Asian foreign exchange strategist at Mizuho Bank, in a Monday research report. He said the strong figures should help “counter” other pressures on growth in the fourth quarter — including the resurgence of coronavirus in the country, coupled with China’s costly “zero Covid” strategy of stamping out outbreaks with strict containment measures. Power cuts and higher production costs are also factors.
China’s economic growth has also been under threat in recent months because of shipping disruptions and a deepening property crisis. GDP last quarter grew at its slowest pace in a year, up 4.9% from a year earlier.
Sluggish domestic demand, meanwhile, has vexed the country for much of the year. The latest import figure for October, up 21% year-on-year, was stronger than a month earlier but still well below an estimate of 25% from a Reuters poll of analysts.
“Logistical constraints appear to have hampered the import side of the equation, and with Covid-19 popping up more widely on the mainland, there are risks here, especially if it hits ports and factories in crucial areas,” wrote Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst for Asia Pacific at Oanda, in a Monday note.
China’s power crunch may be getting better, but the real estate slowdown and an ongoing Covid-19 outbreak in the country look set to slow growth, according to economists at Oxford Economics. They warned in a recent note that import momentum could be “feeble.”
The Oxford Economics analysts also said they expect export momentum to “remain weak” in the short term as new export orders decline, but said that the global economic recovery “should continue to underpin China’s exports” in the new year.
Strong exports should help “mitigate the weakening domestic economy,” said Zhiwei Zhang, chief economist for Hong Kong-based Pinpoint Asset Management.
He added that the Chinese government “can afford to wait till the year end to loosen monetary and fiscal policies, now that exports provide a buffer to smooth the economic slowdown,” Zhang said.

Adblock test (Why?)



Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

Charting the Global Economy: Factories Slow Down From US to Asia – BNN

Published

 on


(Bloomberg) — Sign up for the New Economy Daily newsletter, follow us @economics and subscribe to our podcast.

Manufacturing from the US to Asia is very much in a slowdown as factories continue to struggle with supply snarls, labor shortages and elevated materials costs.

A measure of US manufacturing activity weakened in June to a two-year low, and several regional Federal Reserve surveys indicated business activity shrank. Factory purchasing managers’ gauges across Asia eased, with South Korea, Thailand and India among those showing the biggest declines, according to S&P Global.

Similar indexes in Poland, Spain and Italy also showed weaker activity compared to May.

Here are some of the charts that appeared on Bloomberg this week on the latest developments in the global economy:

US

Consumer spending fell in May for the first time this year and prior months were revised lower, suggesting an economy on somewhat weaker footing than previously thought amid rapid inflation and Fed interest-rate hikes.

Regional Fed manufacturing surveys have taken on a grimmer tone, with four of five indicating business activity shrank in June. Separately, a measure of overall manufacturing slid to a two-year low as new orders contracted, restrained by lingering supply constraints and some softening in demand.

The pandemic housing boom is careening to a halt as the fastest-rising mortgage rates in at least half a century upend affordability for homebuyers, catching many sellers wrong-footed with prices that are too high.

Europe

Confidence in the euro-area economy slipped as households become more pessimistic amid fears a Russian energy cutoff will spark a recession. At the same time, they’re less worried about inflation than they were a month ago, though there’s a split between core and peripheral euro-area countries.

After suffering from unprecedented shocks in recent years, the UK is succumbing to more intractable problems marked by plodding growth, surging inflation and a series of damaging strikes.

Asia

China’s economy showed some improvement in June as Covid restrictions were gradually eased, although the recovery remains muted. That’s the outlook based on Bloomberg’s aggregate index of eight early indicators for this month. The overall gauge returned to the neutral level after deteriorating for two straight months.

Japan’s factory output shrank at the fastest pace since the height of the pandemic as the lagged impact of China’s virus lockdowns continued to disrupt supply chains and economic activity in the region. The weakness in manufacturing extended across Asia, particularly in South Korea, Thailand, India and Taiwan.

Emerging Markets

Colombia’s central bank delivered its biggest interest rate increase in over two decades. Policy makers are bracing for another spike in annual inflation that’s already above 9%. 

Two years after Argentina emerged from its latest default, a debt crisis in brewing once again. This time, the immediate trouble is in the local bond market, where creditors have become reluctant to roll over maturing government bonds.

Zambia’s inflation rate dropped below 10% for the first time in almost three years in June, bucking a global trend of record consumer-price growth. Optimism over the nation’s economy since the election of Hakainde Hichilema as president in August, a potential debt restructuring and a $1.4 billion bailout package from the International Monetary Fund has seen a rally in the local currency, which has helped contain prices.

World

Differences in underlying inflation trends call for different policy outlooks among the world’s top central banks, according to Bloomberg Economics. The Fed will have to go well into restrictive territory, the Bank of England may go a little above neutral and the European Central Bank might not even get that far.

©2022 Bloomberg L.P.

Adblock test (Why?)



Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

Quarterly Investment Guide 3Q 2022: US economy on shaky ground – CNBC

Published

 on


Adblock test (Why?)



Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

Minister Of The Economy Franz Fayot On Luxembourg’s Transition Towards A Green Economy – Forbes

Published

 on


Just last week, Luxembourg’s Minister of the Economy, Franz Fayot, came to the cities of Toronto and Montreal as part of an economic mission organized by the Luxembourg Chamber of Commerce in close cooperation with the Ministry of the Economy. I had the opportunity to sit down with Minister Fayot at the InterContinental Toronto Centre, and get some insights into the Grand-Duchy’s economic transition towards sustainability.

A transitioning economy

With up to one-third of its GDP related to the finance sector, Luxembourg’s economy is widely dominated by the financial sector. However, the past 20 years have been characterized by a push for economic diversification, and increased transparency and regulations following the financial crisis, said Minister Fayot.

“What we are trying to do is diversify [the economy] even more into new sectors to make us less dependent on the financial sector and adaptable to new circumstances,” he said. “We are also more and more developing a green finance sustainable finance sector, which is doing very well.”

A green state responsibility

Minister Fayot, whose guiding principles are a strong welfare state and sustainability, firmly believes that the government must assume its pivotal role in shifting the economy towards sustainability — “both in terms of environmental sustainability, but also social sustainability,” he added.

In June 2020, an international consultation was launched to gather strategic spatial planning project ideas considering the climate-related challenges and social issues, and support for the country’s ecological transition towards a zero-carbon territory by 2050.

“We need to understand that we have to help businesses innovate, and invest in the future,” said Minister Fayot.

A rising startup ecosystem

Luxembourg has seen a steady growth in startups over the past decade.

Earlier this year, the Ministry of the Economy launched a strategic initiative aimed at providing a thorough understanding of the startup ecosystem based on data analysis and interviews with key stakeholders.

Luxinnovation, the national innovation agency, identified over 500 active startups offering innovative digital and data-driven solutions in its latest mapping.

These assessments will also provide relevant comparisons with international markets, and aim to identify the necessary next steps for development opportunities in the upcoming years.

“Our innovation agency is there to guide startups, but also other more established businesses, to get access to grants,” explained Minister Fayot. “We have a state aid framework in Europe which we have to comply with, but the main message is that there is an obvious need to co-finance innovation, particularly in times when we are in this transition towards a more green economy.”

Going above the limits of territory

Surrounded by Belgium, France and Germany, Luxembourg is one of the smallest countries in the world — slightly smaller than Rhode Island. Yet, despite its dependence on its neighboring countries’ energy supplies, it is making continuous efforts to increase its share of renewable energy by also investing in projects across its borders, said Minister Fayot.

“We don’t have that much sun in Luxembourg, and we don’t have an unlimited space to build wind power,” he said. “It’s a bit of a limiting factor, but it shouldn’t excuse anything.”

“We are investing a lot into energy efficiency,” he added. “We are trying to get people to e-mobility and pushing for geothermal heating and energy in new constructions.”

A growing space sector

Luxembourg might not be the first to come to mind when we think of space, but, the country owns one of the world-leading satellite operators, and is increasing its investment into space resources.

“The SpaceResources.lu is an initiative that we launched about six years ago, and it is very much focused on the space resources segment of the space industry,” he said. “We are not launching anything in space out of Luxembourg, but focusing on services like space traffic management.”

As part of the economic mission, a group of space companies participated in a distinctive program set up by the Luxembourg Space Agency in collaboration with the Canadian Space Agency. This included on-site company visits, workshops and B2B opportunities that led to the signing of a Memorandum of Understanding between the two national space agencies.

Stephanie Ricci contributed to this story.

Adblock test (Why?)



Source link

Continue Reading

Trending