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Chinese investors offloaded US$31.7 billion of US property over last 5 years – South China Morning Post

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Chinese investors, once among the most active buyers of commercial property in the United States, sold US$31.7 billion of US commercial real estate between 2019 and last year, 15 times more than what they acquired during the same period, according to MSCI Real Assets, a real estate and infrastructure data provider.

The divestment trend is expected to continue amid the high interest rate environment, leading to continuous declines in asset values in the US. Additionally, some Chinese investors are rushing to sell their foreign real estate holdings to free up cash as they face a worsening property crisis in China, according to analysts.

The largest sale occurred in 2019 when GLP, a Singaporean logistics company backed by a consortium of Chinese investors, sold industrial assets across multiple funds to Blackstone Real Estate Partners, amounting to US$18.7 billion. Excluding the GLP deal, an additional US$11 billion in assets were sold between 2020 and 2023.

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In contrast, Chinese investors only acquired US$2.06 billion of commercial real estate assets from 2019 to 2023.

The disposals can be attributed in part to China’s capital controls and the implementation of lending caps in late 2020, known as the “Three Red Lines”, which aimed to reduce debt in China’s highly-leveraged property sector.

There was “a correlation between the rate of dispositions and the tightness of the domestic financing market”, Ben Chow, MSCI’s Asia head of real estate research, told the Post.

He said that disposals by developers increased after the implementation of capital controls in 2017-2018. After the Three Red Lines came into effect, “disposals gradually grew throughout most of 2021 and 2022”, said Chow.

The disposals were driven at first by the nationwide deleveraging campaign, but have continued due to a structural shift in the property sector, where supply outweighs demand, and homebuyer confidence is persistently low, said Shi Lulu, director of Asia-Pacific corporate ratings at Fitch Ratings.

“We are seeing quite a few Chinese property developers dump their ‘noncore’ assets overseas in a bid to relieve a liquidity crunch,” said Shi.

Chow expects Chinese investors to continue divesting assets acquired over the past decade. “Office values for a number of major US markets have fallen to 5-year or 10-year lows, so assets acquired from as far back as 2013-2015 could still be valued less than what they were acquired [for, especially] if they were refinanced at a higher value in between,” he said.

A sold sign outside a home in Aldie, Virginia, US, Feb. 20, 2024. Photo: Bloomberg

The US, the world’s largest commercial property market, has experienced an 11 per cent decline in prices since the Federal Reserve began raising interest rates in March 2022, erasing gains from the previous two years, according to a report from the International Monetary Fund released in January.

MSCI estimated the pool of distressed US commercial properties reached US$85.8 billion by the end of 2023, primarily driven by office assets facing weaker prices and higher lending rates.

Other factors contributing to the decline in Chinese investors’ interest in overseas assets include concerns about geopolitical tensions, particularly the war in Ukraine, according to Jason Bedford, a former China analyst with Bridgewater and UBS.

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“Chinese investors’ appetite for Western assets may have taken a hit out of fears that in the future China and the US could have a similar dynamic to what we see today between Russia and the US,” he said. “That’s conversely increased the attractiveness of assets in certain [parts] of Asia that are perceived as safer [or] more neutral in the event of conflict.”

Chinese property developers are also offloading noncore assets overseas.

MSCI data reveals that Chinese companies became net sellers in Australia’s commercial real estate market between 2019 and 2023, with US$2.3 billion in disposals compared to US$1.7 billion in acquisitions. Similarly, in Japan, Chinese investors sold US$6.9 billion worth of assets during the same period, while acquiring US$5.7 billion.

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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