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Trudeau Liberals offer pie-in-the-sky energy plan, Smith fires it back in their face

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The dreams of the Trudeau Liberals amount to pies in the sky. The Liberals are big on lofty goals, short on pragmatic process and down-to-earth deadlines, the most recent example being their draft regulations for a net-zero energy grid by 2035, announced at a news conference Thursday in Toronto by federal Environment Minister Steven Guilbeault.

Guilbeault used many fine phrases to sell his scheme — “generational economic opportunity,” “good middle-class jobs,” “a future where energy is clean, affordable and reliable.”

He made his happy assurances with all the confidence of someone who has jetted off to 100 climate change conferences and believed every word he’s ever heard there.

He also shared a few bold predictions. Investors, he said, would have to spend $400 billion to realize the Liberal plan, but there would be a net benefit to Canadians of $29 billion by 2050. He also put out on social media a claim by the Canadian Climate Institute that this plan will save Canadians on average 12 per cent on energy costs by 2050.

Those are swell numbers. But how much credibility should we give to economic forecasts by the Trudeau Liberals? Next to zero.

The most infamous of such projections was Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s “very cast in stone” promise in 2015 to balance the federal budget by 2019. The Liberals have never balanced it, with the federal deficit $53 billion in 2022 alone.

Another whopper? The Liberals promise in 2017 that the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion would cost $7.4 billion, only to see that cost rise to $30.9 billion today.

It’s impossible to accurately forecast the price of consumer power in 2050, but we do know that recent jurisdictions, such as California and Germany, that have moved zealously into unreliable wind-and-solar powered grids have faced major issues with either cost, reliability or both.

To end his speech, Guilbeault amped up his rhetoric, telling us that the fate of the world is bound to these regulations. “The health of our communities, our economy and our planet depends on it.”

Guilbeault is correct that our future is tied to making the right choices on energy. That said, he’s got little credibility on the matter given his decades-long hostility to nuclear power, the single best process to boost Canada’s productivity and slash emissions both here and with reactor exports around the world.

Canadians have a role to play and the quicker Alberta moves on nuclear the better, but the issue of carbon emissions will be decided in countries like the world’s biggest emitter, China, which produced 11.5 billion tonnes in 2021, compared to 550 million tonnes in Canada.

The Alberta government’s response to Guilbeault’s plan? Premier Danielle Smith essentially took Guilbeault’s pie-in-the-sky and tossed it back in his face. “Alberta’s government will protect Albertans from these unconstitutional federal net-zero regulations,” she said in a statement. “They will not be implemented in our province — period.”

Smith also said, “The draft federal 2035 net-zero power grid regulations are unconstitutional, irresponsible and do not align with Alberta’s emissions reduction and energy development plan that works towards a carbon-neutral power grid by 2050.”

No matter what Ottawa says, Smith promised Alberta will bring on more energy with natural gas plants rigged with carbon capture, utilization and storage, small modular nuclear reactors, hydrogen and “a sustainable” amount of wind, solar and other renewables.

A major sticking point, referenced by Alberta Environment Minister Rebecca Schulz in her news conference, is that Ottawa will put a 20-year time limit on new gas plants, as opposed to their usual 40-year lifespan, greatly limiting their ability to either turn a profit or provide affordable energy. Guilbeault’s plan will drive up consumer costs three, four or five times as high as they are now, Schulz said.

Smith’s political base will adore her tough talk, but some Albertans and many Canadians will see her stand as stubborn, wrong-headed, even dangerous.

I don’t see that Smith has much choice but to take the strongest of stands here.

If things go wrong with Alberta’s grid, if prices go crazy or power isn’t available to huge numbers of Albertans on our coldest winter days, who will be held accountable?

Even more crucially, who will accept blame?

Guilbeault and Trudeau? It’s hard to imagine. Their base is elsewhere. Their own focus is on hydro, solar and wind, the preferred energy sources of their home province of Quebec. No one there will give much thought if Alberta’s power supply disappears on a cold, dark, windless day or if costly grid transformation drives up our utility bills.

The blame will fall on Smith. The responsibility now falls on her to get this right for Albertans.

 

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Dollarama keeping an eye on competitors as Loblaw launches new ultra-discount chain

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Dollarama Inc.’s food aisles may have expanded far beyond sweet treats or piles of gum by the checkout counter in recent years, but its chief executive maintains his company is “not in the grocery business,” even if it’s keeping an eye on the sector.

“It’s just one small part of our store,” Neil Rossy told analysts on a Wednesday call, where he was questioned about the company’s food merchandise and rivals playing in the same space.

“We will keep an eye on all retailers — like all retailers keep an eye on us — to make sure that we’re competitive and we understand what’s out there.”

Over the last decade and as consumers have more recently sought deals, Dollarama’s food merchandise has expanded to include bread and pantry staples like cereal, rice and pasta sold at prices on par or below supermarkets.

However, the competition in the discount segment of the market Dollarama operates in intensified recently when the country’s biggest grocery chain began piloting a new ultra-discount store.

The No Name stores being tested by Loblaw Cos. Ltd. in Windsor, St. Catharines and Brockville, Ont., are billed as 20 per cent cheaper than discount retail competitors including No Frills. The grocery giant is able to offer such cost savings by relying on a smaller store footprint, fewer chilled products and a hearty range of No Name merchandise.

Though Rossy brushed off notions that his company is a supermarket challenger, grocers aren’t off his radar.

“All retailers in Canada are realistic about the fact that everyone is everyone’s competition on any given item or category,” he said.

Rossy declined to reveal how much of the chain’s sales would overlap with Loblaw or the food category, arguing the vast variety of items Dollarama sells is its strength rather than its grocery products alone.

“What makes Dollarama Dollarama is a very wide assortment of different departments that somewhat represent the old five-and-dime local convenience store,” he said.

The breadth of Dollarama’s offerings helped carry the company to a second-quarter profit of $285.9 million, up from $245.8 million in the same quarter last year as its sales rose 7.4 per cent.

The retailer said Wednesday the profit amounted to $1.02 per diluted share for the 13-week period ended July 28, up from 86 cents per diluted share a year earlier.

The period the quarter covers includes the start of summer, when Rossy said the weather was “terrible.”

“The weather got slightly better towards the end of the summer and our sales certainly increased, but not enough to make up for the season’s horrible start,” he said.

Sales totalled $1.56 billion for the quarter, up from $1.46 billion in the same quarter last year.

Comparable store sales, a key metric for retailers, increased 4.7 per cent, while the average transaction was down2.2 per cent and traffic was up seven per cent, RBC analyst Irene Nattel pointed out.

She told investors in a note that the numbers reflect “solid demand as cautious consumers focus on core consumables and everyday essentials.”

Analysts have attributed such behaviour to interest rates that have been slow to drop and high prices of key consumer goods, which are weighing on household budgets.

To cope, many Canadians have spent more time seeking deals, trading down to more affordable brands and forgoing small luxuries they would treat themselves to in better economic times.

“When people feel squeezed, they tend to shy away from discretionary, focus on the basics,” Rossy said. “When people are feeling good about their wallet, they tend to be more lax about the basics and more willing to spend on discretionary.”

The current economic situation has drawn in not just the average Canadian looking to save a buck or two, but also wealthier consumers.

“When the entire economy is feeling slightly squeezed, we get more consumers who might not have to or want to shop at a Dollarama generally or who enjoy shopping at a Dollarama but have the luxury of not having to worry about the price in some other store that they happen to be standing in that has those goods,” Rossy said.

“Well, when times are tougher, they’ll consider the extra five minutes to go to the store next door.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:DOL)

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U.S. regulator fines TD Bank US$28M for faulty consumer reports

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TORONTO – The U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau has ordered TD Bank Group to pay US$28 million for repeatedly sharing inaccurate, negative information about its customers to consumer reporting companies.

The agency says TD has to pay US$7.76 million in total to tens of thousands of victims of its illegal actions, along with a US$20 million civil penalty.

It says TD shared information that contained systemic errors about credit card and bank deposit accounts to consumer reporting companies, which can include credit reports as well as screening reports for tenants and employees and other background checks.

CFPB director Rohit Chopra says in a statement that TD threatened the consumer reports of customers with fraudulent information then “barely lifted a finger to fix it,” and that regulators will need to “focus major attention” on TD Bank to change its course.

TD says in a statement it self-identified these issues and proactively worked to improve its practices, and that it is committed to delivering on its responsibilities to its customers.

The bank also faces scrutiny in the U.S. over its anti-money laundering program where it expects to pay more than US$3 billion in monetary penalties to resolve.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TD)

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