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Despite the COVID-19 pandemic, Montreal broke a real-estate record in July – CTV News Montreal

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MONTREAL —
Canada’s two most competitive housing markets—Toronto and Vancouver—are surging again to historical levels, even in the midst of the pandemic, according to statistics released this week.

Montreal broke a real-estate record in July, too, says Quebec’s association of real-estate brokers. But it’s too complicated to say the market has simply come charging back, says its president.

There have been several months full of unexpected twists and turns in housing demand in the greater Montreal area—plus the rural areas just outside it—and it isn’t clear how it will all end, said Julie Saucier, the president of the Quebec Professional Association of Real Estate Brokers, in an interview with CTV News.

In a release Thursday, the association described off-the-charts numbers: 5,356 sales were concluded in July in the greater Montreal area, a 46 per cent increase over last July, which was already very busy.

This year set a new sales record for July. Prices are still “rising sharply,” Saucier added in the release.

But it’s important to remember that some of this is catch-up after the pause this spring, Saucier said in an interview.

After heating up extremely quickly in the last couple of years, Montreal’s real estate market was suddenly paused for three months because of the pandemic, and right during the three months that are normally the busiest—March, April and May, she said.

The current numbers could be coming from people making up for lost time.

“Right now the market is really crazy in Montreal and the [greater Montreal area],” she said. But “it’s really tough to say: is it because people waited, and now they can go back and sell their house? Or is it really that we’re seeing a new trend?”

A COVETED EXTRA ROOM

There are, however, other new trends that are emerging now that nobody could have predicted six months ago. For example, people are snapping up houses with an extra room, but exactly why is still a mystery in many cases.

“What we’re trying to see,” said Saucier, is whether it’s that “people want to have an office at home, or an extra room where they’ll be able to work from home.

“Or is it that I want one of my parents to live with me because I don’t want them to go in a CHSLD, something like that?”

The most sought-after kind of property in Montreal this month was the single-family home, with a 48 per cent jump in sales.

Condos in high-rises are taking the longest to sell, Saucier said. Buyers seem to be primarily worried about potential infection in all the common areas, such as elevators. The draw of a downtown location isn’t what it once was, either.

The fact that prices are climbing in Montreal is also partly a function of a buyer-seller ratio that’s gotten out of whack recently, said Saucier.

Despite sales skyrocketing, the number of active residential listings on the Centris listings system in July was 24 per cent lower than last year.

“The inventory was so low because of the pandemic,” Saulnier said. “The balance was not there anymore.”

A lot of people are putting off selling their homes because they’re “nervous” about having potential buyers coming in and out of their houses, possibly bringing the virus with them, she said.

COUNTRY LIVING

Not too surprisingly, the rural areas around Montreal have seen a transformation in the last few months, but again, it’s hard to know exactly what I’ll mean in the long term.

“In the Laurentians…it’s completely crazy and it was not like that before the pandemic,” said Saulnier.

“So is it people who want to have a cottage, or is it people who really want to move there, and work from home, and they know it’ll be easier to have a bigger home?”

The Eastern Townships and some other areas around Montreal have seen similar activity, she said.

However, “it’s mainly in Montreal. We checked in Quebec City and we don’t see the same trends.”

Given all the new factors in play, it’s very hard to predict the long-term future of real-estate prices right now, especially for certain categories of properties, Saulnier said.

“We think that probably the prices will go a little bit up still,” she said. “I don’t think it’ll drop but it’ll probably be stable.”

One thing that hasn’t gotten much attention yet, but which Saulnier predicts will have significant fallout, is the pause on immigration. The arrival of new immigrants has been driving property sales in Quebec more than many people realize, she said.

“We had a lot of immigrants coming from other countries and it’s not possible right now, so I think this will have a huge impact,” she said.

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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