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Economy

Economic Growth Has its Costs

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Canada’s projected economic growth rate lies at 2.6% for 2023. America’s economic growth rate is thought to be much higher. According to the United Nations, which are the 5 fastest growing economies in the world?

Guyana is first with a growth 2022-2026 of 25.8 percent. Guyana’s reliance upon the extractive sector of the economy places it in a vulnerable situation. Guyana has a robust petroleum industry, along with all forms of natural resource harvesting boosting its corporation’s shares, and employing many within this nation. Manufacturing and the technology sectors are extremely weak, however, dependent upon imported technology and specialist. Guyana seems to rely upon the outreach of nations such as China, for aggressive investment and expertise, costing it its economic independence in the long run. The population of Guyana has been affected by China’s non-Covid Policy in the nation. Thousands of Chinese specialists, security, and laborers do not practice Covid protocols in foreign lands as they would in Cina, ultimately infecting many of their host population. This drives tourists away, fills the hospital with ill citizens, and challenges all of Guyana’s other economic sectors. Guyana’s President has placed resource extraction as the preferred policy point for this nation. Investors look to Guyana as a way to make revenue over short-term investments.

Fiji foresees growth in 2022-2026 of 7.7%. Due to the pandemic and natural disasters, Fiji’s economy shrunk drastically, while the nation incurred high public debt. The economy is presently vulnerable. Because the economic base is smaller, the belief is that foreign investment will spur growth in the long run.

Niger will experience a growth rate of 7.6%, benefiting from a growth in their petroleum and export sectors. An expansion of a 2000 km pipeline and the completion of the Kandadji Dam will provide encouragement to investors to see the nation as open to all business, particularly coming from China, whose management basically controls, manages, and protects the Niger Oil Fields.

Macao shows well with an 11.9% growth rate over the 2022-2026 period. Macao relies heavily upon tourism, gambling, manufacturing, export-import, and transportation sectors. With an end to China’s covid-19 controls, Macao can open its economy to Asia and the world once again. China and Macao are tied to each other economically and politically. The worsening of Western-Chinese Relations is a challenge to this economy and the foreign investments it needs.

Libya falls into the 6.9% percentile. Oil is the wealth creator in a nation divided and warring with itself. Divided into two sectors, one in Tripoli and the other in Sirte, competing ideologies and economic aspirations make foreign investment in Libya a gambler’s dream. The EU will ultimately become their investing partner and former colonial handlers too.

Smaller nations seen as sources of natural resources, technology, cheap labor, or strategic location will attract foreign investment and security intrigue. Many once colonies, these nations’ economies will grow despite their national intentions and interests. Nations used and possibly abused for their natural resource wealth will continue as wealthy nations like America, China, and their Corporations continue the new wave of New Colonialism.

Steven Kaszab
Bradford, Ontario
skaszab@yahoo.ca

Economy

Minimum wage to hire higher-paid temporary foreign workers set to increase

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OTTAWA – The federal government is expected to boost the minimum hourly wage that must be paid to temporary foreign workers in the high-wage stream as a way to encourage employers to hire more Canadian staff.

Under the current program’s high-wage labour market impact assessment (LMIA) stream, an employer must pay at least the median income in their province to qualify for a permit. A government official, who The Canadian Press is not naming because they are not authorized to speak publicly about the change, said Employment Minister Randy Boissonnault will announce Tuesday that the threshold will increase to 20 per cent above the provincial median hourly wage.

The change is scheduled to come into force on Nov. 8.

As with previous changes to the Temporary Foreign Worker program, the government’s goal is to encourage employers to hire more Canadian workers. The Liberal government has faced criticism for increasing the number of temporary residents allowed into Canada, which many have linked to housing shortages and a higher cost of living.

The program has also come under fire for allegations of mistreatment of workers.

A LMIA is required for an employer to hire a temporary foreign worker, and is used to demonstrate there aren’t enough Canadian workers to fill the positions they are filling.

In Ontario, the median hourly wage is $28.39 for the high-wage bracket, so once the change takes effect an employer will need to pay at least $34.07 per hour.

The government official estimates this change will affect up to 34,000 workers under the LMIA high-wage stream. Existing work permits will not be affected, but the official said the planned change will affect their renewals.

According to public data from Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada, 183,820 temporary foreign worker permits became effective in 2023. That was up from 98,025 in 2019 — an 88 per cent increase.

The upcoming change is the latest in a series of moves to tighten eligibility rules in order to limit temporary residents, including international students and foreign workers. Those changes include imposing caps on the percentage of low-wage foreign workers in some sectors and ending permits in metropolitan areas with high unemployment rates.

Temporary foreign workers in the agriculture sector are not affected by past rule changes.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 21, 2024.

— With files from Nojoud Al Mallees

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

PBO projects deficit exceeded Liberals’ $40B pledge, economy to rebound in 2025

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OTTAWA – The parliamentary budget officer says the federal government likely failed to keep its deficit below its promised $40 billion cap in the last fiscal year.

However the PBO also projects in its latest economic and fiscal outlook today that weak economic growth this year will begin to rebound in 2025.

The budget watchdog estimates in its report that the federal government posted a $46.8 billion deficit for the 2023-24 fiscal year.

Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland pledged a year ago to keep the deficit capped at $40 billion and in her spring budget said the deficit for 2023-24 stayed in line with that promise.

The final tally of the last year’s deficit will be confirmed when the government publishes its annual public accounts report this fall.

The PBO says economic growth will remain tepid this year but will rebound in 2025 as the Bank of Canada’s interest rate cuts stimulate spending and business investment.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

Statistics Canada says levels of food insecurity rose in 2022

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OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says the level of food insecurity increased in 2022 as inflation hit peak levels.

In a report using data from the Canadian community health survey, the agency says 15.6 per cent of households experienced some level of food insecurity in 2022 after being relatively stable from 2017 to 2021.

The reading was up from 9.6 per cent in 2017 and 11.6 per cent in 2018.

Statistics Canada says the prevalence of household food insecurity was slightly lower and stable during the pandemic years as it fell to 8.5 per cent in the fall of 2020 and 9.1 per cent in 2021.

In addition to an increase in the prevalence of food insecurity in 2022, the agency says there was an increase in the severity as more households reported moderate or severe food insecurity.

It also noted an increase in the number of Canadians living in moderately or severely food insecure households was also seen in the Canadian income survey data collected in the first half of 2023.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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