adplus-dvertising
Connect with us

Economy

'Economy is security': Biden's Quad trip shows that in Asia, trade and security are one thing – CNBC

Published

 on


Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, U.S. President Joe Biden, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida arrive for the Quad Leaders’ Summit in Tokyo on May 24.
Saul Loeb | Afp | Getty Images

TOKYO — Security deals are important, but in Asia, money talks.

Australia, India, Japan and the United States wrapped their second Quad Leaders’ Summit on Tuesday in Tokyo, following a weekend visit by U.S. President Joe Biden to South Korea.

The Quad countries and others in Asia made clear over the last five days that while things like maritime defense are important, real security has to heed Asian countries’ economic wants and needs.

The Quad is an informal security alignment of four major democracies that came about in response to China’s rising strength in the Indo-Pacific region. As CNBC reported before the group’s first Leaders’ Summit last September, the Quad wants to branch into areas including tech, trade, the environment and pandemic response.

The Biden administration has tried to demonstrate that economic priorities can be addressed within the Quad, between countries one-on-one, or as part of new, multilateral arrangements — though the United States hasn’t gone as far as all of its Asian partners would like.

Mr. President, today we’re living in the era of economic security, where economy is security and vice versa.
Yoon Seok-youl
President, South Korea

“The focus is now on establishing overlapping multilateral relationships that operate in meshwork,” said Jonathan Grady, founding principal of forecasting firm The Canary Group. “The players involved are often the same, however we see them participating in many different groupings from security to economic issues. There is strength in numbers.”

South Korea

New South Korean President Yoon Seok-youl showed Biden around a Samsung semiconductor facility, and immediately afterward explained that in the eyes of South Korea, the concept of security is a broader topic than just the military.

“Mr. President, today we’re living in the era of economic security, where economy is security and vice versa,” Yoon said, according to a translation of his remarks.

From South Korea’s perspective — and from the perspective of much of Asia — the concept of defense and economic stability are intertwined, said Ali Wyne, a senior analyst with Eurasia Group’s Global Macro practice.

“President Yoon’s statement distills the painful experiences of the past two and a half years: the coronavirus pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine demonstrate how severely disruptions to the production and distribution of essential medicines, crude oil, and agricultural staples, among other goods, can undermine the global economy,” Wyne said. “It also affirms the need for the United States to enhance its economic competitiveness in the region.”

Indo-Pacific Economic Framework

Indeed, economic competitiveness is where the United States faces a potent challenge from China, which has bigger trade relationships with most Asian countries — including members of the Quad — than the United States does.

In part to try to address that shortfall, the United States and 12 Asian countries on Monday announced the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework, or IPEF, an agreement designed to lay the groundwork for rules around the digital economy and supply chains in the region.

The IPEF is not a trade deal, and it doesn’t include a security component. Significantly, it also doesn’t give any new level of access to U.S. markets for developing countries in the group, including Indonesia, Philippines and Vietnam.

In the longer term, that could be a problem. Asked by CNBC earlier this month what he most wanted from the IPEF, Arsjad Rasjid, chairman of the Indonesian Chamber of Commerce and Industry, did not mince words: “Number one is access to the U.S market.”

“What we want end of the day is … to collaborate to develop economic growth, improve trade,” Rasjid said. “What we see is that there is more we can do together. This is a positive sign. But I hope this is not just politics per se, but what is the action? That’s more important.”

Biden is threading a needle between trying to raise America’s relevance in Asia on the one hand, and trying to avoid upsetting U.S. voters who — both left and right — are averse to trade deals.

Official statements out of Washington indicate as much. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan on Monday said the IPEF is “part of President Biden’s commitment to putting American families and workers at the center of our economic and foreign policy, while strengthening our ties with allies and partners for the purpose of increasing shared prosperity.”

Other countries that are in the IPEF include Quad members Australia, India and Japan, as well as Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, New Zealand, the Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Thailand, and Vietnam.

Taiwan

Pure security issues still matter in Asia.

Biden generated the biggest headlines of the summit — perhaps inadvertently — when he said that the United States would be willing to defend Taiwan militarily should China attack it.

Asked by a reporter if the United States would, in contrast to its approach to Ukraine, be willing use its military to help Taiwan, Biden said, “Yes.”

Mr. President, today we’re living in the era of economic security, where economy is security and vice versa.
Yoon Seok-youl
South Korean President

“That’s the commitment we made. We are not — look, here’s the situation. We agree with the One China policy. We signed on to it and all the attendant agreements made from there,” the president said. “But the idea that it can be taken by force, just taken by force, is just not appropriate. It will dislocate the entire region and be another action similar to what happened in Ukraine.”

Taiwan is a self-governing democracy, but Beijing regards the island as part of China. The official American position is that there is “one China.” The unofficial American policy is known as “strategic ambiguity,” where the U.S. avoids saying one way or another how far it would go to protect Taiwan.

Biden’s statement appeared to bring an end to a lot of the ambiguity, but U.S. officials said behind Biden that official policy hasn’t changed. U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin tried to clarify that Biden “reiterated that policy and our commitment to peace and stability across across the Taiwan Strait. He also highlighted our commitment under the Taiwan Relations Act to help provide Taiwan the means to defend itself.”

Beijing wasn’t having it.

“No one should underestimate the strong determination, firm will, and strong ability of the Chinese people to defend national sovereignty and territorial integrity, and do not stand against the 1.4 billion Chinese people,” China’s Foreign Ministry said.

Adblock test (Why?)

728x90x4

Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

Canada’s unemployment rate holds steady at 6.5% in October, economy adds 15,000 jobs

Published

 on

 

OTTAWA – Canada’s unemployment rate held steady at 6.5 per cent last month as hiring remained weak across the economy.

Statistics Canada’s labour force survey on Friday said employment rose by a modest 15,000 jobs in October.

Business, building and support services saw the largest gain in employment.

Meanwhile, finance, insurance, real estate, rental and leasing experienced the largest decline.

Many economists see weakness in the job market continuing in the short term, before the Bank of Canada’s interest rate cuts spark a rebound in economic growth next year.

Despite ongoing softness in the labour market, however, strong wage growth has raged on in Canada. Average hourly wages in October grew 4.9 per cent from a year ago, reaching $35.76.

Friday’s report also shed some light on the financial health of households.

According to the agency, 28.8 per cent of Canadians aged 15 or older were living in a household that had difficulty meeting financial needs – like food and housing – in the previous four weeks.

That was down from 33.1 per cent in October 2023 and 35.5 per cent in October 2022, but still above the 20.4 per cent figure recorded in October 2020.

People living in a rented home were more likely to report difficulty meeting financial needs, with nearly four in 10 reporting that was the case.

That compares with just under a quarter of those living in an owned home by a household member.

Immigrants were also more likely to report facing financial strain last month, with about four out of 10 immigrants who landed in the last year doing so.

That compares with about three in 10 more established immigrants and one in four of people born in Canada.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

Health-care spending expected to outpace economy and reach $372 billion in 2024: CIHI

Published

 on

 

The Canadian Institute for Health Information says health-care spending in Canada is projected to reach a new high in 2024.

The annual report released Thursday says total health spending is expected to hit $372 billion, or $9,054 per Canadian.

CIHI’s national analysis predicts expenditures will rise by 5.7 per cent in 2024, compared to 4.5 per cent in 2023 and 1.7 per cent in 2022.

This year’s health spending is estimated to represent 12.4 per cent of Canada’s gross domestic product. Excluding two years of the pandemic, it would be the highest ratio in the country’s history.

While it’s not unusual for health expenditures to outpace economic growth, the report says this could be the case for the next several years due to Canada’s growing population and its aging demographic.

Canada’s per capita spending on health care in 2022 was among the highest in the world, but still less than countries such as the United States and Sweden.

The report notes that the Canadian dental and pharmacare plans could push health-care spending even further as more people who previously couldn’t afford these services start using them.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Canadian Press health coverage receives support through a partnership with the Canadian Medical Association. CP is solely responsible for this content.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

Trump’s victory sparks concerns over ripple effect on Canadian economy

Published

 on

 

As Canadians wake up to news that Donald Trump will return to the White House, the president-elect’s protectionist stance is casting a spotlight on what effect his second term will have on Canada-U.S. economic ties.

Some Canadian business leaders have expressed worry over Trump’s promise to introduce a universal 10 per cent tariff on all American imports.

A Canadian Chamber of Commerce report released last month suggested those tariffs would shrink the Canadian economy, resulting in around $30 billion per year in economic costs.

More than 77 per cent of Canadian exports go to the U.S.

Canada’s manufacturing sector faces the biggest risk should Trump push forward on imposing broad tariffs, said Canadian Manufacturers and Exporters president and CEO Dennis Darby. He said the sector is the “most trade-exposed” within Canada.

“It’s in the U.S.’s best interest, it’s in our best interest, but most importantly for consumers across North America, that we’re able to trade goods, materials, ingredients, as we have under the trade agreements,” Darby said in an interview.

“It’s a more complex or complicated outcome than it would have been with the Democrats, but we’ve had to deal with this before and we’re going to do our best to deal with it again.”

American economists have also warned Trump’s plan could cause inflation and possibly a recession, which could have ripple effects in Canada.

It’s consumers who will ultimately feel the burden of any inflationary effect caused by broad tariffs, said Darby.

“A tariff tends to raise costs, and it ultimately raises prices, so that’s something that we have to be prepared for,” he said.

“It could tilt production mandates. A tariff makes goods more expensive, but on the same token, it also will make inputs for the U.S. more expensive.”

A report last month by TD economist Marc Ercolao said research shows a full-scale implementation of Trump’s tariff plan could lead to a near-five per cent reduction in Canadian export volumes to the U.S. by early-2027, relative to current baseline forecasts.

Retaliation by Canada would also increase costs for domestic producers, and push import volumes lower in the process.

“Slowing import activity mitigates some of the negative net trade impact on total GDP enough to avoid a technical recession, but still produces a period of extended stagnation through 2025 and 2026,” Ercolao said.

Since the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement came into effect in 2020, trade between Canada and the U.S. has surged by 46 per cent, according to the Toronto Region Board of Trade.

With that deal is up for review in 2026, Canadian Chamber of Commerce president and CEO Candace Laing said the Canadian government “must collaborate effectively with the Trump administration to preserve and strengthen our bilateral economic partnership.”

“With an impressive $3.6 billion in daily trade, Canada and the United States are each other’s closest international partners. The secure and efficient flow of goods and people across our border … remains essential for the economies of both countries,” she said in a statement.

“By resisting tariffs and trade barriers that will only raise prices and hurt consumers in both countries, Canada and the United States can strengthen resilient cross-border supply chains that enhance our shared economic security.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending