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Economy Spiraling, Vexed Central Banks, Rich Get Richer: Eco Day – Bloomberg

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Welcome to Monday, Asia. Here’s the latest news and analysis from Bloomberg Economics to help you start the week.

  • A top economic adviser to President-elect Joe Biden warned the U.S. economy is “spiraling downward” and called for a swift response
  • Resurgent coronavirus outbreaks will vex central bankers on five continents this week as they weigh the threat of more damage to growth against a hope that mass vaccinations will reopen economies
  • Some Americans have become, by some measures, richer during the pandemic than ever before
  • Joe Biden ascends to the presidency on Wednesday with an inaugural speech outlining how he’ll tackle the health and economic crises he inherits while attempting to knit the country back together after riots. Here’s why Biden’s stimulus hopes might actually depend on ‘reconciliation.’ Meantime, U.S economist Nouriel Roubini fears Biden’s presidency will be marked by unrest and cyber attacks
  • Goldman Sachs economists raised their growth forecasts for the U.S. this year and beyond after Biden unveiled a sweeping revival plan
  • Hong Kong’s unemployment rate for the three months through December is likely to exceed the highest level in 16 years
  • Robert Hormats, ex-vice chairman of Goldman Sachs International and adviser to five U.S. administrations, predicted tariffs on China will remain under Biden during the “What Goes Up” podcast
  • A surge in coronavirus cases in Japan has dealt a blow to Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga’s once strong public support, raising the risk he gets replaced ahead of an election due by October
  • Germany’s dominant party voted for continuity by electing Armin Laschet as leader, opting for the candidate who most resembles outgoing chancellor Angela Merkel in policy and style
  • The EU has set out plans to strengthen the international role of the euro, as its seeks to erode the dominance on the dollar and lessen risks like U.S. sanctions. French Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian is calling for a moratorium on tariffs between the EU and the U.S. to allow time for the “poisonous” issue to be resolved
  • Italy expects debt to rise more than expected this year, as it gets ready to boost fiscal stimulus to support a battered economy
  • The Dawei Special Economic Zone, Myanmar’s largest industrial project backed by Thailand, is headed for further delay and possible litigation following sudden termination of development contracts
  • The world’s biggest shipping company demanded a more effective military response to surging pirate attacks off West Africa’s coast
  • More than three months a hundred Thai resorts reopened to extended-stay travelers in an attempt to revive a battered economy, foreign arrivals have failed to meet even rock-bottom expectations

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    Economy

    PBO projects deficit exceeded Liberals’ $40B pledge, economy to rebound in 2025

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    OTTAWA – The parliamentary budget officer says the federal government likely failed to keep its deficit below its promised $40 billion cap in the last fiscal year.

    However the PBO also projects in its latest economic and fiscal outlook today that weak economic growth this year will begin to rebound in 2025.

    The budget watchdog estimates in its report that the federal government posted a $46.8 billion deficit for the 2023-24 fiscal year.

    Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland pledged a year ago to keep the deficit capped at $40 billion and in her spring budget said the deficit for 2023-24 stayed in line with that promise.

    The final tally of the last year’s deficit will be confirmed when the government publishes its annual public accounts report this fall.

    The PBO says economic growth will remain tepid this year but will rebound in 2025 as the Bank of Canada’s interest rate cuts stimulate spending and business investment.

    This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

    The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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    Economy

    Statistics Canada says levels of food insecurity rose in 2022

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    OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says the level of food insecurity increased in 2022 as inflation hit peak levels.

    In a report using data from the Canadian community health survey, the agency says 15.6 per cent of households experienced some level of food insecurity in 2022 after being relatively stable from 2017 to 2021.

    The reading was up from 9.6 per cent in 2017 and 11.6 per cent in 2018.

    Statistics Canada says the prevalence of household food insecurity was slightly lower and stable during the pandemic years as it fell to 8.5 per cent in the fall of 2020 and 9.1 per cent in 2021.

    In addition to an increase in the prevalence of food insecurity in 2022, the agency says there was an increase in the severity as more households reported moderate or severe food insecurity.

    It also noted an increase in the number of Canadians living in moderately or severely food insecure households was also seen in the Canadian income survey data collected in the first half of 2023.

    This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct 16, 2024.

    The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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    Economy

    Statistics Canada says manufacturing sales fell 1.3% to $69.4B in August

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    OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says manufacturing sales in August fell to their lowest level since January 2022 as sales in the primary metal and petroleum and coal product subsectors fell.

    The agency says manufacturing sales fell 1.3 per cent to $69.4 billion in August, after rising 1.1 per cent in July.

    The drop came as sales in the primary metal subsector dropped 6.4 per cent to $5.3 billion in August, on lower prices and lower volumes.

    Sales in the petroleum and coal product subsector fell 3.7 per cent to $7.8 billion in August on lower prices.

    Meanwhile, sales of aerospace products and parts rose 7.3 per cent to $2.7 billion in August and wood product sales increased 3.8 per cent to $3.1 billion.

    Overall manufacturing sales in constant dollars fell 0.8 per cent in August.

    This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

    The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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