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‘Everything's still more expensive’: Republicans bash Biden's economic accomplishments – POLITICO

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A blockbuster jobs report. A hot stock market. And now, another report confirming inflation eased last year. Democrats are poised for an economic victory lap.

But don’t expect Republicans on Capitol Hill to stop hammering President Joe Biden on the economy. They continue to push back — hard — as they did Thursday when Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen appeared before the Senate Banking Committee to tout the improving economic picture.

“Some prices will be higher than they were before the pandemic, and will stay higher — but wages have risen considerably,” Yellen testified. “We don’t have to get the prices down, because wages are going up.”

Republicans aren’t buying it. “We don’t?!” an incredulous Sen. John Kennedy (R-La.) responded to Yellen’s assertion.

In more than a dozen interviews, congressional Republicans argued that Democrats’ efforts to downplay the high costs Americans continue to pay for everyday items like groceries, energy and housing shows just how out of touch they are. Even as the broader U.S. economy trundles upward and
the latest economic release
reaffirmed prices of key consumer goods generally eased last year, GOP lawmakers are betting that those costs will remain a burden for low- and middle-income voters — even if they’ve come down from the heights of the pandemic, as Biden and Democrats regularly point out.

“Inflation is cooling down, no doubt. But prices have gone up on everything,” Rep. Dan Newhouse said, a more centrist-leaning Republican who represents a rural stretch of central Washington. And those elevated prices for key consumer goods are “not going to come down” to pre-pandemic levels, Newhouse added.

“The aggregate of inflation in the last few years is still higher than what middle-class America is able to afford,” said Sen. Kevin Cramer (R-N.D.). “They just aren’t seeing it.”

In fact, many Republicans said that Biden is doing himself a disservice by touting a thriving economy when many Americans have yet to experience significant improvement first-hand.

“When you actually get out of this bubble here in Washington, and talk to people back home, what they really feel is … everything’s still more expensive,” Sen. Eric Schmitt (R-Mo.) said. “So this disconnect between Biden going around talking about Bidenomics, and then people at home are saying, ‘Well, wait a minute. Things are still really expensive for me’ — I think that’s the fundamental problem that Democrats have in trying to sell this.”

So far, it’s a growing talking point for the president and Democrats on the campaign trail. Biden recently proclaimed that the U.S. economy “is the strongest in the world” amid recent surges in
consumer sentiment
, unemployment dropping below 4 percent for two full years — the longest stretch in half a century — and inflation falling to 2 percent over the last six months.

While Republicans vacillate between denying the reality of a strong economy and trying to take credit for it, President Biden is building our economy from the middle out and bottom up,” White House spokesperson Michael Kikukawa said in a statement. “The results speak for themselves: 3.1 million jobs created last year—more than any year under the previous administration, a record 16 million small business applications, gas prices under $3.00 at most gas stations, the stock market reaching all-time highs, and wages rising faster than inflation.”

That upturn in consumer sentiment isn’t yet reflected in the presidential race, however. A
recent NBC poll
found Biden trails former President Donald Trump by 20 points when voters are asked which candidate would better handle the economy.

And even White House officials privately acknowledge food inflation isn’t falling fast enough from its pandemic peak, which they fear will continue to drag down voters’ outlooks of the economy ahead of this fall’s elections. Biden recently
noted on the campaign trail
that he’s pressing corporations, like major grocers, to pass on their savings to consumers. White House officials also note the administration has increased food benefits for millions of low-income Americans, including children, to help blunt the financial toll of higher grocery prices.

Mortgage rates have been similarly slow to fall. Gas prices, down dramatically from their crushing 2022 peak, have started to edge up recently. Republicans say they plan to draw the connection between those trends and Biden’s domestic spending and energy policies.

“You’re talking about a two-year time period in which people in South Dakota are paying $10,000 more a year just for normal living expenses,” Sen. Mike Rounds (R-S.D.) said in an interview. “It’s not going down. It just simply isn’t going up as fast as it has for the last two years. So that is something that he can’t get away from.”

Republicans have also noted lingering red flags in some of the recent economic reports Biden has touted. That includes a decline in the average number of hours Americans are working and still-weak workforce participation rates, both of which can be an early sign of a recession.

Rep. John Duarte (R-Calif.), a vulnerable Republican who represents a blue district, said his agriculture-heavy district in California’s Central Valley “is still struggling.”

“Working families here are looking for work and stretching their paychecks,” Duarte said.

Some Republicans argue that even if pieces of the economy are improving, it’s too late for Biden’s reelection bid to fully benefit.

“My view is that yes, things are somewhat better, but not well enough to be recognized politically,” said Rep. French Hill (R-Ark.). “I think a lot of citizens are still concerned about the fact that over the past few years, they’ve got a lot less buying power from their salaries and their dollars.”

Hill, who served as a senior member of former President George H.W. Bush’s economic team in the early ‘90s, said in his experience, Americans “lock in” their feelings about the economy over a longer period of time.

Bush went on to lose reelection, even as the economy was showing signs of improving after a downturn and a spike in unemployment.

“The economy had been growing since early 1991,” Hill recalled wryly. “But that didn’t make a lot of difference in the 1992 election.”

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Economy

Statistics Canada says manufacturing sales up 1.4% in July at $71B

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OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says manufacturing sales rose 1.4 per cent to $71 billion in July, helped by higher sales in the petroleum and coal and chemical product subsectors.

The increase followed a 1.7 per cent decrease in June.

The agency says sales in the petroleum and coal product subsector gained 6.7 per cent to total $8.6 billion in July as most refineries sold more, helped by higher prices and demand.

Chemical product sales rose 5.3 per cent to $5.6 billion in July, boosted by increased sales of pharmaceutical and medicine products.

Sales of wood products fell 4.8 per cent for the month to $2.9 billion, the lowest level since May 2023.

In constant dollar terms, overall manufacturing sales rose 0.9 per cent in July.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX gains almost 100 points, U.S. markets also higher ahead of rate decision

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TORONTO – Strength in the base metal and technology sectors helped Canada’s main stock index gain almost 100 points on Friday, while U.S. stock markets climbed to their best week of the year.

“It’s been almost a complete opposite or retracement of what we saw last week,” said Philip Petursson, chief investment strategist at IG Wealth Management.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 297.01 points at 41,393.78. The S&P 500 index was up 30.26 points at 5,626.02, while the Nasdaq composite was up 114.30 points at 17,683.98.

The S&P/TSX composite index closed up 93.51 points at 23,568.65.

While last week saw a “healthy” pullback on weaker economic data, this week investors appeared to be buying the dip and hoping the central bank “comes to the rescue,” said Petursson.

Next week, the U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut its key interest rate for the first time in several years after it significantly hiked it to fight inflation.

But the magnitude of that first cut has been the subject of debate, and the market appears split on whether the cut will be a quarter of a percentage point or a larger half-point reduction.

Petursson thinks it’s clear the smaller cut is coming. Economic data recently hasn’t been great, but it hasn’t been that bad either, he said — and inflation may have come down significantly, but it’s not defeated just yet.

“I think they’re going to be very steady,” he said, with one small cut at each of their three decisions scheduled for the rest of 2024, and more into 2025.

“I don’t think there’s a sense of urgency on the part of the Fed that they have to do something immediately.

A larger cut could also send the wrong message to the markets, added Petursson: that the Fed made a mistake in waiting this long to cut, or that it’s seeing concerning signs in the economy.

It would also be “counter to what they’ve signaled,” he said.

More important than the cut — other than the new tone it sets — will be what Fed chair Jerome Powell has to say, according to Petursson.

“That’s going to be more important than the size of the cut itself,” he said.

In Canada, where the central bank has already cut three times, Petursson expects two more before the year is through.

“Here, the labour situation is worse than what we see in the United States,” he said.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.61 cents US compared with 73.58 cents US on Thursday.

The October crude oil contract was down 32 cents at US$68.65 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was down five cents at US$2.31 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$30.10 at US$2,610.70 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents US$4.24 a pound.

— With files from The Associated Press

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite gains almost 100 points, U.S. stock markets also higher

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TORONTO – Strength in the base metal and technology sectors helped Canada’s main stock index gain almost 100 points on Friday, while U.S. stock markets also climbed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index closed up 93.51 points at 23,568.65.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 297.01 points at 41,393.78. The S&P 500 index was up 30.26 points at 5,626.02, while the Nasdaq composite was up 114.30 points at 17,683.98.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.61 cents US compared with 73.58 cents US on Thursday.

The October crude oil contract was down 32 cents at US$68.65 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was down five cents at US$2.31 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$30.10 at US$2,610.70 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents US$4.24 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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