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Florida has overtaken California as America's political trendsetter – The Globe and Mail

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Disney’s employees protest against Florida’s Don’t Say Gay bill, in Glendale, Calif., on March 22.RINGO CHIU/Reuters

Florida, Pied Piper of politics.

Once it was a matter of conviction that the American future came first in California. It’s where hippies first surfaced, where the word “like” first appeared as a linguistic filler, where the first motion-picture theatre opened, where the first laser and the first skateboard were used, even where the first right-turn-on-red law was passed.

But look out, California. Here comes Florida to compete as the American trendsetter, at least in politics.

It is in Florida that the country’s political deadlock became visible: The cadre of lawyers who descended on this state to battle over the outcome of the overtime 2000 election signalled the emergence of a new era of extreme acrimony. It is here that the dramatic alteration in the Republican Party is most visible: The replacement in the governor’s mansion in Tallahassee of the mainstream Jeb Bush with the populist Ron DeSantis is symbolic of a larger movement that has recast American politics.

It is here that the rebellion against mask mandates was most virulent; the death rate from COVID-19 is in the middle of the state rankings and 47 states have lost more school days. It is here that the first “stand-your-ground” law was passed granting citizens immunity from prosecution if they use deadly force “to prevent imminent death or great bodily harm”; since then, 37 states have followed Florida’s lead. It is here that “Don’t Say Gay” legislation to prevent schools from teaching about gender identity or sexual orientation got its start; now a dozen other states are considering such restrictions.

And it is here that Donald J. Trump has moved in his exile from Washington and may be planning for his White House return in the 2024 presidential election.

“Florida is the gift that keeps on giving,” Susan MacManus, an emerita University of South Florida political scientist, said in an interview. “This is the state that best represents the country as a whole as measured by race, generation and county of origin. We are an immigrant magnet – we attract people from other parts of the country as well as abroad. We are the leading indicator of things good – and the leading indictor of things bad.”

Right now the pirouette of politics set by Florida is on the dance card of states across the country. This month, Alabama has taken up legislation resembling the Don’t Say Gay measure signed into law by Mr. DeSantis, adding a provision making it a felony for physicians to aid young people under 19 to proceed with gender transition.

“Those policies are highly popular,” said Michael McDonald, a University of Florida political scientist. “They poll well. A big slice of Democrats even are supporting it. That’s why DeSantis thinks he has a winning policy. Florida is the leading the country on these kinds of bills.”

Mr. DeSantis is a likely presidential candidate – one of the few Republicans who have signalled a willingness to run in a GOP primary even if Mr. Trump attempts a White House comeback. That has produced something of a political chill in the Sunshine State, particularly since Mr. Trump has claimed credit for the Governor’s victory in a difficult race four years ago.

“Ron was at 3 per cent, and the day I endorsed him, he won the race,” Mr. Trump said in an interview with The Washington Post this month, adding, “As soon as I endorsed him, the race was over.” Mr. DeSantis, while respectful of the former president, doesn’t see it precisely that way.

Politics wasn’t always a preoccupation in this state of hurricanes and hustlers, of astronauts, alligators and the aging.

Since the days of Juan Ponce de León, people have come here to escape reality; the Spanish explorer and conquistador landed here in 1513, hoping to discover a fountain of youth. Later visitors found the antidote to aging in the state’s sunshine; there are on average 101 days of full sun here, a marked contrast with New York’s 63 (and Toronto’s 44).

Throughout the past century, the state’s conversation has been dominated by real estate. Fortunes were made and lost in the 1920s, mostly lost after the savings and loan crisis of the 1980s, and again after the Great Recession of 2008, and now have climbed into the stratosphere. The average price of a home sold in Palm Beach County is about the same as the average home sale price in Toronto.

But since the turn of the century it has been politics, politics, politics in the nation’s third largest state.

The issue of immigration is full of tension here. One in five Floridians were born in another country; the state took in the equivalent of Saskatoon’s population in a wave of foreign immigration in the past two years. Like Virginia, where Republican Gov. Glenn Youngkin was swept into office last year on the issue of parental control of schools, education has emerged as an important, and divisive, issue. “Parents’ rights have been increasingly under assault around the nation,” Mr. DeSantis said as he signed a “parental Bill of Rights” measure late last month, “but in Florida we stand up for the rights of parents and the fundamental role they play in the education of their children.”

The parental Bill of Rights won plaudits in national conservative circles. “For years, the socialist democrats have been pushing hard to indoctrinate children with critical race theory,” Matt Schlapp, the Conservative Political Action Coalition chairman, said in a statement, saluting Florida for taking steps to assure that the state’s children would not be vulnerable to “ultra radical misinformed policies of sex and gender.”

And of course Florida is a classic swing state, which makes its 29 electoral votes a valuable prize, especially since the state is a bellwether, having voted for the eventual winner in 21 of the 24 presidential elections since 1928.

But in 2020, Mr. Trump defeated Joe Biden here by a 51-48 margin. The Republican got the state’s electoral votes but that wasn’t enough to win a second term. So it is here, in the fortress of elegance and excess built by Marjorie Merriweather Post a century ago, that Mr. Trump is plotting his comeback, or at least contemplating it. That alone affirms Florida’s position at the centre of American politics.

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America’s Election: What it Means to Canadians

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Americans and Canadians are cousins that is true. Allies today but long ago people were at loggerheads mostly because of the British Empire and American ambitions.

Canadians appreciate our cousins down south enough to visit them many millions of times over the year. America is Canada’s largest and most important trading partner. As a manufacturer, I can attest to this personally. My American clients have allowed our firm to grow and prosper over the past few decades. There is a problem we have been seeing, a problem where nationalism, both political and economic has been creating a roadblock to our trade relationship.

Both Democrats and Republicans have shown a willingness to play the “buy only American Made product” card, a sounding board for all things isolationist, nationalistic and small-mindedness. We all live on this small planet, and purchase items made from all over the world. Preferences as to what to buy and where it is made are personal choices, never should they become a platform of national pride and thuggery. This has brought fear into the hearts of many Canadians who manufacture for and service the American Economy in some way. This fear will be apparent when the election is over next week.

Canadians are not enemies of America, but allies and friends with a long tradition of supporting our cousins back when bad sh*t happens. We have had enough of the American claim that they want free trade, only to realize that they do so long as it is to their benefit. Tariffs, and undue regulations applied to exporters into America are applied, yet American industry complains when other nations do the very same to them. Seriously! Democrats have said they would place a preference upon doing business with American firms before foreign ones, and Republicans wish to tariff many foreign nations into oblivion. Rhetoric perhaps, but we need to take these threats seriously. As to you the repercussions that will come should America close its doors to us.

Tit for tat neighbors. Tariff for tariff, true selfish competition with no fear of the American Giant. Do you want to build homes in America? Over 33% of all wood comes from Canada. Tit for tat. Canada’s mineral wealth can be sold to others and place preference upon the highest bidder always. You know who will win there don’t you America, the deep-pocketed Chinese.

Reshaping our alliances with others. If America responds as has been threatened, Canadians will find ways to entertain themselves elsewhere. Imagine no Canadian dollars flowing into the Northern States, Florida or California? The Big Apple without its friendly Maple Syrup dip. Canadians will realize just how significant their spending is to America and use it to our benefit, not theirs.

Clearly we will know if you prefer Canadian friendship to Donald Trumps Bravado.

China, Saudi Arabia & Russia are not your friends in America. Canada, Japan, Taiwan the EU and many other nations most definitely are. Stop playing politics, and carry out business in an unethical fashion. Treat allies as they should be treated.

Steven Kaszab
Bradford, Ontario
skaszab@yahoo.ca

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N.S. election: NDP promises to end fixed-term leases, impose rent-control system

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HALIFAX – Nova Scotia’s temporary rent cap and a loophole that allows landlords to avoid it were the targets of the provincial New Democrats on Thursday, as they promised to protect tenants from evictions and excessive hikes if elected Nov. 26.

An NDP government would ban fixed-term leases, establish rent control, and immediately slash the province’s temporary rent cap in half to 2.5 per cent, leader Claudia Chender said on the fifth day of the provincial election campaign.

“For too many people, the cost of rent is driving people out of the communities they love,” she said. “These protections will save renters money, keep our communities affordable, and most importantly help people plan their futures.”

Chender criticized the Progressive Conservative government’s record on housing, saying the average one-bedroom apartment in the province costs $2,000 a month, while rent overall has increased by 18 per cent in the last year.

The government’s decision to extend the temporary cap on rent increases to the end of 2027 is insufficient, she said, because landlords can use fixed-term leases to jack up the rent higher.

A fixed-term lease does not automatically renew when its term ends, after which landlords can raise the rent as much as they want if they rent to someone new. Critics of fixed-term leases say they encourage landlords to evict tenants in order to raise the rent past the cap.

Though there’s no way to know exactly how many renters in Nova Scotia are on fixed-term leases — that type of residency data is not tracked — Chender told reporters that at every door her party has knocked on, residents have cited anxiety over affording and keeping a place to live.

Meanwhile, a separate affordability issue was the focus of Liberal Leader Zach Churchill on Thursday, as he announced his party would cut provincial income taxes by raising the basic personal exemption amount to $15,705 — at a cost to the government of $348 million.

Churchill said something has to be done to reduce taxes in the province, which he said are among the highest in Canada at a time when people are struggling with the cost of living.

“We know that over the last three years Nova Scotia has gone from being one of the most affordable places to live in our country to one of the most expensive,” he said. “This has created a real affordability crisis for seniors, for families and for young people.”

The existing exemption is $8,744, and for people making less than $25,000 a year, the province gives an “adjustment,” which increases the basic personal amount by $3,000; the adjustment decreases gradually and ends for people earning more than $75,000.

Churchill said a Liberal government would double the adjustment for people who earn less than $75,000, at a cost of $55 million per year.

The Liberal leader said his party will respect its promise to cut income taxes — and respect its pledge made in February to cut the harmonized sales tax by two points — even if doing so will lead to a “short-term” budget deficit.

Earlier this week, the Progressive Conservatives pledged a tax cut that would increase the basic personal exemption to $11,744, while just prior to the election call the party promised a one percentage point cut to the HST — commitments Churchill characterized as “half measures.”

In an interview Thursday, Tory Leader Tim Houston scoffed at his opponent’s suggestion.

“We are putting a plan forward that is reasonable that we can do while maintaining a level of services,” Houston said. “Mr. Churchill can just say whatever he wants, I have to be reasonable.”

Houston travelled to Sydney, N.S., on Thursday where he announced his party would establish a provincially run travel nurse team to help areas with nursing shortages.

Houston said the team would eliminate the need to hire travel nurses from private companies, and would be composed of Nova Scotia Health employees who will have access to the same pay and benefits as other nurses in the public system.

The program would begin as a pilot project by the end of the year, involving a 30-member team of nurses who would staff hospital emergency departments at an estimated cost of $5.3 million.

“We have to be smart and systematic as we roll it out,” Houston said. “There will probably be some learning and we will take that and if we need to modify it (the program) we will.”

At dissolution, the Progressive Conservatives held 34 seats in the 55-seat legislature, the Liberals held 14 seats, the NDP had six and there was one Independent.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 31, 2024.

— With files by Cassidy McMackon in Halifax.

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Liberals look to move past leadership drama with eye on next campaign

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OTTAWA – The Liberal caucus turned its attention to the party’s plan for the next election on Wednesday, after an unsuccessful attempt by some MPs to oust Prime Minister Justin Trudeau last week.

Longtime Liberal operative Andrew Bevan was named the new national campaign director two weeks ago and made his first presentation to the full caucus during the weekly meeting.

The next election must be held by Oct. 20, 2025, but it could come much sooner. The Conservatives and Bloc Québécois have pledged to try to bring down the minority government this fall.

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh said Wednesday that his party wouldn’t help them topple the Liberals. The Conservatives and Bloc don’t have enough MPs between them to defeat the government if the Liberals and NDP vote together.

The presentation was initially scheduled to happen last Wednesday, but that nearly three-hour meeting was instead dominated by discussions of Trudeau’s leadership.

Toronto-area MP Nate Erskine-Smith said the party’s leadership was not the focus of caucus this week, and the priority was hearing from Bevan.

“It was very much focused on: these are the next steps from a party perspective, and people were able to weigh in with their own feedback as far as it goes,” Erskine-Smith said following the meeting.

“That question from last week to what’s the finality, that wasn’t part of it.”

MPs were not able to share specific details of what was discussed in the meeting due to caucus confidentiality.

At last week’s meeting, a group of around two dozen MPs presented a letter to Trudeau calling on him to step aside. The dissenters gave him until Monday to make a decision — but he made it clear he plans to lead the party in the next election.

Several MPs have since said they want to hold a secret ballot vote to decide on whether Trudeau should stay on as leader. However, the Liberal party chose after the last election not to use Reform Act rules that would have allowed a caucus to hold a secret vote to oust the leader.

British Columbia MP Patrick Weiler said he thinks the leadership concerns are not over.

“I think we had a very good meeting last week, and I think there are a lot of unresolved questions from that, that still need to be addressed,” Weiler said while heading to question period on Wednesday.

“I think there are a lot of people that are still looking for some answers to those things and until that’s addressed, that’s going to be lingering.”

But several other MPs and cabinet ministers said they feel the matter is resolved and it’s time to move on to planning for the next campaign.

Judy Sgro, a veteran Ontario MP of nearly 25 years, said even though the Liberals are trailing the Conservatives in the polls, she believes they can pull off a victory.

“I’ve been through five leaders, this is my fifth leader. Most of the time they’re unpopular, but we still manage to win,” she said.

Erskine-Smith said the “overwhelming focus” for now is on what comes next, but he could see leadership troubles come up again depending on the results of two upcoming votes.

Byelections are pending in former Liberal ridings on both coasts: a vote must happen in Cloverdale—Langley City by Jan. 13 and in Halifax by April 14.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 30, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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