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Foreign real estate investment flatlines as loonie slumps – Business in Vancouver

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Year to date, the Canadian dollar is down more than seven per cent against the U.S. dollar. 

Historically, when the Canadian dollar is depressed, the country sees an uptick in institutional and individual investment from the U.S., according to Tsur Somerville, senior fellow at the University of British Columbia’s Centre for Urban Economics and Real Estate. 

But this time around, foreign investment in B.C. has flatlined, suggesting that currency valuations may not have an impact on real estate at the moment, especially in a market like Vancouver.

According to Brendon Ogmundson, chief economist for the British Columbia Real Estate Association, it is difficult to determine the extent to which any country is investing in the province. But across the board, there has not been an uptick in foreign investment. 

Despite what may seem like favourable conditions, there is economic uncertainty as a result of interest rate hikes, said Somerville. In addition, inflation removes the competitive edge that a lower Canadian dollar may provide. 

But economic uncertainties are not the only reason foreign investors may see Vancouver as undesirable. 

In a statement to BIV, Joo Kim Tiah, CEO of TA Global and the Holborn Group, said that factors such as a small market and population, issues with workforce productivity, high personal taxes and safety issues downtown make Vancouver an uncertain investment. 

“When it comes to real estate investment, Vancouver is super idealistic, with the highest standards in the world with regards to sustainability and livability, which we all know cost money, but at the same time, [Vancouver has] been very timid with regards to density.”

According to Tiah, other investment considerations include the time it takes to get permit approvals, and local government bureaucracy. 

For many, the foreign buyers tax would also seem like a deterrent. But, according to Tiah, it only acts as a consideration in the sense that it sends the wrong signal to foreigners. 

“I mean we are supposed to be an open and welcoming country, and this goes against what Canada is supposed to stand for.… Foreign investors that are looking to strictly invest, would look at other regions or countries that don’t have this.”

But Tiah added that many foreigners don’t invest or buy into Vancouver real estate. The majority of buyers are citizens and residents. ]Ogmundson said that the extra tax tells foreigners that they are not welcome to invest here. He acknowledged that a balance has to be met and that there is such a thing as too much foreign investment. 

“But the correct number is not zero, either. There are some times, especially in larger projects when you need to access deeper capital markets and maybe you need to go outside of Canada,” he said.

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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