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Forget Shopify (TSX:SHOP): Buy These 3 Killer E-Commerce Stocks Instead – The Motley Fool Canada

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As socially isolated shoppers get their fix of buying stuff online, it seems like every e-commerce-related stock has gotten a massive boost. Shopify (TSX:SHOP)(NYSE:SHOP) has been the biggest beneficiary of this in Canada, with shares up substantially in April alone.

But there are three things that may bring Shopify down from its lofty perch of more than $900 per share as I write this. Firstly, this is pretty much the perfect storm for e-commerce. The trend will slow when folks are allowed to go to the mall again.

Then there’s the unique economic situation we’re in today. Unemployed people with extra time on their hands are undoubtedly chasing dreams of online riches, primarily using Shopify’s tools. Many will give up this new side hustle when it’s time to go back to work.

And finally, Shopify’s valuation is getting silly. Shares are trading at 36 times the company’s expected sales for 2020, and earnings will likely be negative. Yes, I know it has some exciting growth potential, but there comes a point where it’s obvious the company’s stock is no longer trading in line with its fundamentals.

So, even though I’m still a big fan of Shopify’s position in the market and the long-term potential in e-commerce, I can’t recommend investors buy the stock today. It’s just too expensive. Instead, investors should check out these three alternatives — companies with exposure to this potentially lucrative sector without the expensive price tag.

Dream Industrial REIT

The thesis here is simple. Warehouses will become increasingly important in a world without as much physical retail. That’s good news for the industrial real estate sector and Dream Industrial REIT (TSX:DIR.UN) in particular.

Dream Industrial has already identified e-commerce as a key growth driver, and positioned the portfolio accordingly. It owns 262 properties in Canada, the United States, and in Europe, spanning some 25.8 million square feet of space. Strong demand in the industrial market has given Dream the ability to raise rents substantially over the last few years, especially in markets like Ontario and Quebec.

Management is also using an interesting strategy with the European assets. The company plans to borrow up to 100% of the value of these properties at cheaper European interest rates and pour that cash back into North America, where cap rates are higher.

Dream Industrial also pays a succulent dividend, with the payout at 7% annually. And even in a tough economy like the one we’re in today, the distribution looks to be safe.

TFI International

TFI International (TSX:TFII) is a North American leader in transportation and logistics. This trucking company has more than 80 different subsidiaries operating in Canada, the United States, and Mexico.

A big part of TFI’s growth over the last few years has come from the e-commerce sector. It has a robust courier business in Canada, and its less-than-truckload segment — which operates across North America — is also well positioned to capitalize on this trend.

Thanks to the recent market sell-off, TFI International shares are cheap. It earned $463 million in free cash flow in 2019. Shares have a current market cap of just over $3.2 billion on the TSX. That gives us a price-to-free cash flow ratio of just under seven times. Earnings will likely go down in 2020, but that should just be temporary.

TFI also pays a nice dividend, with shares yielding 3.1% today.

Canadian Tire

Canadian Tire (TSX:CTC.A) shareholders are grateful the company made a big investment in its e-commerce platform. The company’s online business has vaulted in importance of late, becoming an important piece of the pie.

Canadian Tire also has another interesting thing going for it today. Many Canadians are using some of their free time on home renovations, finally doing those jobs that have been put off for years now. I know my local Canadian Tire store is busier than ever, and staff are run off their feet trying to help everyone.

Critics argue the company can’t repeat last year’s earnings, which checked in at over $11 per share. After all, the company’s other chains — like Mark’s and Sport Chek — are currently closed. But I think earnings could easily recover to that level in 2021, making today’s stock price of $92.80 an interesting entry point.

Finally, the sell-off has really elevated Canadian Tire’s yield. The payout is now 4.7%.

This tiny TSX stock could be the next Shopify

One little-known Canadian IPO has doubled in value in a matter of months, and renowned Canadian stock picker Iain Butler sees a potential millionaire-maker in waiting…

Because he thinks this fast-growing company looks a lot like Shopify, a stock Iain officially recommended 3 years ago – before it skyrocketed by 1,211%!

Iain and his team just published a detailed report on this tiny TSX stock. Find out how you can access the NEXT Shopify today!

Click here to discover how!


Fool contributor Nelson Smith owns shares of Shopify. Tom Gardner owns shares of Shopify. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Shopify and Shopify. The Motley Fool recommends DREAM INDUSTRIAL REIT.

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Japan’s SoftBank returns to profit after gains at Vision Fund and other investments

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TOKYO (AP) — Japanese technology group SoftBank swung back to profitability in the July-September quarter, boosted by positive results in its Vision Fund investments.

Tokyo-based SoftBank Group Corp. reported Tuesday a fiscal second quarter profit of nearly 1.18 trillion yen ($7.7 billion), compared with a 931 billion yen loss in the year-earlier period.

Quarterly sales edged up about 6% to nearly 1.77 trillion yen ($11.5 billion).

SoftBank credited income from royalties and licensing related to its holdings in Arm, a computer chip-designing company, whose business spans smartphones, data centers, networking equipment, automotive, consumer electronic devices, and AI applications.

The results were also helped by the absence of losses related to SoftBank’s investment in office-space sharing venture WeWork, which hit the previous fiscal year.

WeWork, which filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in 2023, emerged from Chapter 11 in June.

SoftBank has benefitted in recent months from rising share prices in some investment, such as U.S.-based e-commerce company Coupang, Chinese mobility provider DiDi Global and Bytedance, the Chinese developer of TikTok.

SoftBank’s financial results tend to swing wildly, partly because of its sprawling investment portfolio that includes search engine Yahoo, Chinese retailer Alibaba, and artificial intelligence company Nvidia.

SoftBank makes investments in a variety of companies that it groups together in a series of Vision Funds.

The company’s founder, Masayoshi Son, is a pioneer in technology investment in Japan. SoftBank Group does not give earnings forecasts.

___

Yuri Kageyama is on X:

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Trump campaign promises unlikely to harm entrepreneurship: Shopify CFO

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Shopify Inc. executives brushed off concerns that incoming U.S. President Donald Trump will be a major detriment to many of the company’s merchants.

“There’s nothing in what we’ve heard from Trump, nor would there have been anything from (Democratic candidate) Kamala (Harris), which we think impacts the overall state of new business formation and entrepreneurship,” Shopify’s chief financial officer Jeff Hoffmeister told analysts on a call Tuesday.

“We still feel really good about all the merchants out there, all the entrepreneurs that want to start new businesses and that’s obviously not going to change with the administration.”

Hoffmeister’s comments come a week after Trump, a Republican businessman, trounced Harris in an election that will soon return him to the Oval Office.

On the campaign trail, he threatened to impose tariffs of 60 per cent on imports from China and roughly 10 per cent to 20 per cent on goods from all other countries.

If the president-elect makes good on the promise, many worry the cost of operating will soar for companies, including customers of Shopify, which sells e-commerce software to small businesses but also brands as big as Kylie Cosmetics and Victoria’s Secret.

These merchants may feel they have no choice but to pass on the increases to customers, perhaps sparking more inflation.

If Trump’s tariffs do come to fruition, Shopify’s president Harley Finkelstein pointed out China is “not a huge area” for Shopify.

However, “we can’t anticipate what every presidential administration is going to do,” he cautioned.

He likened the uncertainty facing the business community to the COVID-19 pandemic where Shopify had to help companies migrate online.

“Our job is no matter what comes the way of our merchants, we provide them with tools and service and support for them to navigate it really well,” he said.

Finkelstein was questioned about the forthcoming U.S. leadership change on a call meant to delve into Shopify’s latest earnings, which sent shares soaring 27 per cent to $158.63 shortly after Tuesday’s market open.

The Ottawa-based company, which keeps its books in U.S. dollars, reported US$828 million in net income for its third quarter, up from US$718 million in the same quarter last year, as its revenue rose 26 per cent.

Revenue for the period ended Sept. 30 totalled US$2.16 billion, up from US$1.71 billion a year earlier.

Subscription solutions revenue reached US$610 million, up from US$486 million in the same quarter last year.

Merchant solutions revenue amounted to US$1.55 billion, up from US$1.23 billion.

Shopify’s net income excluding the impact of equity investments totalled US$344 million for the quarter, up from US$173 million in the same quarter last year.

Daniel Chan, a TD Cowen analyst, said the results show Shopify has a leadership position in the e-commerce world and “a continued ability to gain market share.”

In its outlook for its fourth quarter of 2024, the company said it expects revenue to grow at a mid-to-high-twenties percentage rate on a year-over-year basis.

“Q4 guidance suggests Shopify will finish the year strong, with better-than-expected revenue growth and operating margin,” Chan pointed out in a note to investors.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:SHOP)

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RioCan cuts nearly 10 per cent staff in efficiency push as condo market slows

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TORONTO – RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust says it has cut almost 10 per cent of its staff as it deals with a slowdown in the condo market and overall pushes for greater efficiency.

The company says the cuts, which amount to around 60 employees based on its last annual filing, will mean about $9 million in restructuring charges and should translate to about $8 million in annualized cash savings.

The job cuts come as RioCan and others scale back condo development plans as the market softens, but chief executive Jonathan Gitlin says the reductions were from a companywide efficiency effort.

RioCan says it doesn’t plan to start any new construction of mixed-use properties this year and well into 2025 as it adjusts to the shifting market demand.

The company reported a net income of $96.9 million in the third quarter, up from a loss of $73.5 million last year, as it saw a $159 million boost from a favourable change in the fair value of investment properties.

RioCan reported what it says is a record-breaking 97.8 per cent occupancy rate in the quarter including retail committed occupancy of 98.6 per cent.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:REI.UN)

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