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Economy

Getting women back to work is crucial to boosting economy, White House says – CNBC

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Kellie Bhattacharya oversees Eli’s schoolwork at their California home.
Source: CNBC

Kellie Bhattacharya thought she would be back in the job market by now, but the coronavirus pandemic upended those plans.

The California mother of two decided to leave her job after her second child was born.  

“The cost of child care was going to eat most of my paycheck,” Bhattacharya said. “It didn’t really make sense for me to go and only bring home a small salary.”

She planned to resume her career in public relations this fall, as her daughter, Ava, reached preschool age. Instead, she’s found herself home-schooling both her three-year-old daughter and her six-year-old son, Eli. 

“I never thought we would be where we are right now,” said Bhattacharya, who wants to get her kids vaccinated and to find quality, affordable child care before she goes back into the workforce. 

Experts predicted women would return to the labor force once schools reopened in the fall, but instead, the problem got worse.

In September, some 300,000 women left the workforce altogether, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ September jobs report. Since the start of the pandemic in 2020, 3 million women have exited the job market. Getting those women back into the mix is crucial to keeping the U.S. economic engine humming.

“If we were to increase our labor force attachment, especially of women and caregivers, this would have a significant effect on U.S. economic growth,” said Heather Boushey, a member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers.

But it’s not just child care that’s keeping women on the sidelines. The sectors of the economy that have seen the greatest job losses are those that employ large numbers of women. Employment in state and local government and private education are down a combined 676,000 jobs since before the pandemic, according to BLS data.

In fact, men gained 220,000 jobs in September, while women lost 26,000 jobs, according to an analysis of BLS data from the National Women’s Law Center.

The Biden administration has proposed sweeping changes to shore up what Democrats call the “care economy,” including universal pre-K, paid family leave, a cap on child care costs to a percentage of household income, and expansion of the child tax credit.

Vice President Kamala Harris is holding events emphasizing the need to address these issues and focusing on accomplishing the administration’s goals.

“For far too long, investments in care have dropped to the bottom of the priority list,” Harris said at a virtual town hall Thursday morning. 

Conservatives say the Biden proposals are an overcorrection to what is happening now. Instead, they support a more targeted approach. 

“They are proposing to create what really is a childcare entitlement, where all families, regardless of income will receive a subsidy from the government,” said Angela Rachidi, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute. She said those subsidies would come with new requirements on child care providers that could make the problem worse for the people who need help the most.

“In-home providers, for example, or small child care providers, will not be well equipped to handle new government regulations and they will actually get out of the child care business entirely,” Rachidi predicted.

Rachidi said getting the pandemic under control and a free-market approach such as employers giving workers flexibility will go a long way to getting women back into the workforce.

Bhattacharya said she is hopeful she’ll be able to resume her career and a flexible employer is one key to her return.

“Now being a mom, I need additional flexibility that you don’t have as a single person,” she said.

But with the pandemic continuing to create uncertainty, she added, “I think it takes a lot of patience. You have to be forgiving of yourself as well.”

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Economy

Canada’s unemployment rate holds steady at 6.5% in October, economy adds 15,000 jobs

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OTTAWA – Canada’s unemployment rate held steady at 6.5 per cent last month as hiring remained weak across the economy.

Statistics Canada’s labour force survey on Friday said employment rose by a modest 15,000 jobs in October.

Business, building and support services saw the largest gain in employment.

Meanwhile, finance, insurance, real estate, rental and leasing experienced the largest decline.

Many economists see weakness in the job market continuing in the short term, before the Bank of Canada’s interest rate cuts spark a rebound in economic growth next year.

Despite ongoing softness in the labour market, however, strong wage growth has raged on in Canada. Average hourly wages in October grew 4.9 per cent from a year ago, reaching $35.76.

Friday’s report also shed some light on the financial health of households.

According to the agency, 28.8 per cent of Canadians aged 15 or older were living in a household that had difficulty meeting financial needs – like food and housing – in the previous four weeks.

That was down from 33.1 per cent in October 2023 and 35.5 per cent in October 2022, but still above the 20.4 per cent figure recorded in October 2020.

People living in a rented home were more likely to report difficulty meeting financial needs, with nearly four in 10 reporting that was the case.

That compares with just under a quarter of those living in an owned home by a household member.

Immigrants were also more likely to report facing financial strain last month, with about four out of 10 immigrants who landed in the last year doing so.

That compares with about three in 10 more established immigrants and one in four of people born in Canada.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

Health-care spending expected to outpace economy and reach $372 billion in 2024: CIHI

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The Canadian Institute for Health Information says health-care spending in Canada is projected to reach a new high in 2024.

The annual report released Thursday says total health spending is expected to hit $372 billion, or $9,054 per Canadian.

CIHI’s national analysis predicts expenditures will rise by 5.7 per cent in 2024, compared to 4.5 per cent in 2023 and 1.7 per cent in 2022.

This year’s health spending is estimated to represent 12.4 per cent of Canada’s gross domestic product. Excluding two years of the pandemic, it would be the highest ratio in the country’s history.

While it’s not unusual for health expenditures to outpace economic growth, the report says this could be the case for the next several years due to Canada’s growing population and its aging demographic.

Canada’s per capita spending on health care in 2022 was among the highest in the world, but still less than countries such as the United States and Sweden.

The report notes that the Canadian dental and pharmacare plans could push health-care spending even further as more people who previously couldn’t afford these services start using them.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Canadian Press health coverage receives support through a partnership with the Canadian Medical Association. CP is solely responsible for this content.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

Trump’s victory sparks concerns over ripple effect on Canadian economy

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As Canadians wake up to news that Donald Trump will return to the White House, the president-elect’s protectionist stance is casting a spotlight on what effect his second term will have on Canada-U.S. economic ties.

Some Canadian business leaders have expressed worry over Trump’s promise to introduce a universal 10 per cent tariff on all American imports.

A Canadian Chamber of Commerce report released last month suggested those tariffs would shrink the Canadian economy, resulting in around $30 billion per year in economic costs.

More than 77 per cent of Canadian exports go to the U.S.

Canada’s manufacturing sector faces the biggest risk should Trump push forward on imposing broad tariffs, said Canadian Manufacturers and Exporters president and CEO Dennis Darby. He said the sector is the “most trade-exposed” within Canada.

“It’s in the U.S.’s best interest, it’s in our best interest, but most importantly for consumers across North America, that we’re able to trade goods, materials, ingredients, as we have under the trade agreements,” Darby said in an interview.

“It’s a more complex or complicated outcome than it would have been with the Democrats, but we’ve had to deal with this before and we’re going to do our best to deal with it again.”

American economists have also warned Trump’s plan could cause inflation and possibly a recession, which could have ripple effects in Canada.

It’s consumers who will ultimately feel the burden of any inflationary effect caused by broad tariffs, said Darby.

“A tariff tends to raise costs, and it ultimately raises prices, so that’s something that we have to be prepared for,” he said.

“It could tilt production mandates. A tariff makes goods more expensive, but on the same token, it also will make inputs for the U.S. more expensive.”

A report last month by TD economist Marc Ercolao said research shows a full-scale implementation of Trump’s tariff plan could lead to a near-five per cent reduction in Canadian export volumes to the U.S. by early-2027, relative to current baseline forecasts.

Retaliation by Canada would also increase costs for domestic producers, and push import volumes lower in the process.

“Slowing import activity mitigates some of the negative net trade impact on total GDP enough to avoid a technical recession, but still produces a period of extended stagnation through 2025 and 2026,” Ercolao said.

Since the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement came into effect in 2020, trade between Canada and the U.S. has surged by 46 per cent, according to the Toronto Region Board of Trade.

With that deal is up for review in 2026, Canadian Chamber of Commerce president and CEO Candace Laing said the Canadian government “must collaborate effectively with the Trump administration to preserve and strengthen our bilateral economic partnership.”

“With an impressive $3.6 billion in daily trade, Canada and the United States are each other’s closest international partners. The secure and efficient flow of goods and people across our border … remains essential for the economies of both countries,” she said in a statement.

“By resisting tariffs and trade barriers that will only raise prices and hurt consumers in both countries, Canada and the United States can strengthen resilient cross-border supply chains that enhance our shared economic security.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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