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Economy

Global bank crisis fears ease after billion-dollar lifelines

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Asian stock markets rise after moves to shore up confidence in troubled banks in Europe and the United States.

Fears of a global banking crisis have eased following the rollout of multi-billion-dollar lifelines for troubled lenders in Europe and the United States, with Asia’s stock markets rebounding from earlier lows.

Stocks rose in China, Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, Australia, the Philippines and Hong Kong on Friday, following gains on Wall Street after the largest US banks unveiled a $30bn lifeline for troubled regional lender First Republic Bank.

MSCI’s most representative index of Asia-Pacific shares excluding Japan climbed 0.9 percent, reversing earlier losses, while Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose by 0.5 percent.

China’s blue-chip index gained 0.8 percent, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng jumped 1.2 percent.

Asian bank shares joined the gains, with the MSCI Asia Pacific Financials index climbing as much as 0.4 percent after earlier losses, Bloomberg reported.

Japanese banks including Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group were among the big gainers, rising by as much as 2 percent, Bloomberg said.

“I would say all in all, central banks are ready. That’s why the markets are being calmer,” Alicia García-Herrero, chief economist for the Asia Pacific at Natixis in Hong Kong, told Al Jazeera.

“I don’t think we’ve averted a crisis, to be frank, I think it’s too early to say, but what I know is that especially the Fed, and I would say the Swiss National Bank, have reacted very quickly,” García-Herrero added.

Asian markets fell on Thursday amid concerns about the financial health of Credit Suisse and the fallout of Silicon Valley Bank’s (SVB) collapse stoked fears of a global banking crisis.

Financial authorities worldwide have been scrambling to prevent a financial crisis since last week’s sudden implosion of SVB, which failed after customers withdrew funds in response to steep losses the bank suffered from the sale of US government bonds.

Brian Levitt, a global strategist at Invesco, told the Reuters news agency that the market is focusing on smaller banks with specialty lending businesses. After SVB – which catered mainly to the tech industry – investors turned their attention to the next bank exposed to interest rate and specific credit risks.

“First Republic Bank, which has significant exposure to the coastal real estate markets, appears to be next on the list,” he said.

The California-based lender saw its stock price fall by more than 70 percent early in the week. But on Thursday, US stocks rose after 11 US banks – including Bank of America, Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase – announced they would deposit $30bn into First Republic.

“The actions of America’s largest banks reflect their confidence in the country’s banking system,” the banks said in a statement.

In Europe, markets were boosted by the European Central Bank’s decision to raise the benchmark interest rate by 0.5 percent amid concerns it could adopt a more hawkish stance.

Investors also welcomed the announcement that Credit Suisse, which has long been dogged by doubts over its financial health, would borrow up to 50 billion Swiss francs ($54bn) from Switzerland’s central bank to shore up confidence.

“Expectations that a financial crisis has been averted, at least for now, has exerted downside pressure on yields and depreciated the US dollar,” Carlos Casanova, senior economist for Asia at UBP in Hong Kong, told Al Jazeera.

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Economy

PBO projects deficit exceeded Liberals’ $40B pledge, economy to rebound in 2025

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OTTAWA – The parliamentary budget officer says the federal government likely failed to keep its deficit below its promised $40 billion cap in the last fiscal year.

However the PBO also projects in its latest economic and fiscal outlook today that weak economic growth this year will begin to rebound in 2025.

The budget watchdog estimates in its report that the federal government posted a $46.8 billion deficit for the 2023-24 fiscal year.

Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland pledged a year ago to keep the deficit capped at $40 billion and in her spring budget said the deficit for 2023-24 stayed in line with that promise.

The final tally of the last year’s deficit will be confirmed when the government publishes its annual public accounts report this fall.

The PBO says economic growth will remain tepid this year but will rebound in 2025 as the Bank of Canada’s interest rate cuts stimulate spending and business investment.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Statistics Canada says levels of food insecurity rose in 2022

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OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says the level of food insecurity increased in 2022 as inflation hit peak levels.

In a report using data from the Canadian community health survey, the agency says 15.6 per cent of households experienced some level of food insecurity in 2022 after being relatively stable from 2017 to 2021.

The reading was up from 9.6 per cent in 2017 and 11.6 per cent in 2018.

Statistics Canada says the prevalence of household food insecurity was slightly lower and stable during the pandemic years as it fell to 8.5 per cent in the fall of 2020 and 9.1 per cent in 2021.

In addition to an increase in the prevalence of food insecurity in 2022, the agency says there was an increase in the severity as more households reported moderate or severe food insecurity.

It also noted an increase in the number of Canadians living in moderately or severely food insecure households was also seen in the Canadian income survey data collected in the first half of 2023.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

Statistics Canada says manufacturing sales fell 1.3% to $69.4B in August

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OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says manufacturing sales in August fell to their lowest level since January 2022 as sales in the primary metal and petroleum and coal product subsectors fell.

The agency says manufacturing sales fell 1.3 per cent to $69.4 billion in August, after rising 1.1 per cent in July.

The drop came as sales in the primary metal subsector dropped 6.4 per cent to $5.3 billion in August, on lower prices and lower volumes.

Sales in the petroleum and coal product subsector fell 3.7 per cent to $7.8 billion in August on lower prices.

Meanwhile, sales of aerospace products and parts rose 7.3 per cent to $2.7 billion in August and wood product sales increased 3.8 per cent to $3.1 billion.

Overall manufacturing sales in constant dollars fell 0.8 per cent in August.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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