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Gold price within reach of $1,900 – MINING.COM – MINING.com

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Gold rose for a fifth straight session on Thursday, reaching another nine-year high and approaching the $1,900/oz level, as rising geopolitical risks and a weakening US dollar continue to increase the metal’s safe-haven appeal.

Spot gold rose 1.2% to $1,894.70/oz by 11:45 EDT, its highest since September 2011. US gold futures for August delivery advanced 1.3% to $1,889.70/oz.

Political tensions between the world’s two largest economies escalated further on Wednesday when the US government abruptly ordered the closure of the Chinese consulate in Houston, Texas, following allegations of spying. China denied these claims and was more than displeased with this decision, vowing to retaliate if the US does not rescind the order.

Bullion has surged nearly 22% so far this year against a backdrop of a multitude of factors driving market uncertainty.

In a recent interview with Bloomberg, Joseph Cavatoni, managing director, USA and ETFs, World Gold Council, said “the two drivers of gold can be broken down into strategic and tactical.”

“In the short term, which is tactical, what we see is the price spiking and dropping, correlating with other assets … but in the longer term (strategic), we see either economic expansion or market risk uncertainty being the real strategic drivers of gold, and right now, economic expansion is clearly not what is driving the price of gold,” Cavatoni said.

“Investments, investors and central bank holdings are driving gold through market risk uncertainty; it existed before 2020 — geopolitical risks, a potential change in regime in the US, tensions with trade — all of these factors were there, but covid-19 has just amplified it, made it a lot more concerning and a lot more challenging for people. So what you see is the price will continue to trend up.”

Joseph Cavatoni, managing director, USA and ETFs, World Gold Council

“Gold as store of value has significantly enhanced so it wouldn’t be a surprise if it rises to $1,900,” said Bank of China International analyst Xiao Fu, adding that “geopolitical risks, worries about further tensions between Washington and Beijing, and ample liquidity from widespread central bank stimulus measures are driving prices.”

Supporting bullion further, the dollar index touched a more-than four-month low on Thursday. Expectations of another round of US stimulus measures amidst a low-interest environment have also helped gold, as it is largely considered a hedge against inflation and currency debasement.

“You have this wave of stimulus practically from every central bank in the world, everybody is putting out stimulus packages, easy money, loans, new debt and all of that is also bullish for gold,” Edward Meir, analyst at ED&F Man Capital Markets, told Reuters.

Indicative of investor sentiment, holdings in SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, rose 0.4% to 1,225.01 tonnes on Wednesday, the highest since March 2013.

“Gold’s qualities as a diversifier in a low-rate world have shined as the US election approaches, US-China tensions flare and coronavirus concerns persist,” UBS Group AG analysts including Wayne Gordon said in a research note.

The bank raised its near-term forecast for gold to reach $2,000/oz by the end of September before paring back to $1,900/oz by year-end.

(With files from Bloomberg)

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Japan’s SoftBank returns to profit after gains at Vision Fund and other investments

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TOKYO (AP) — Japanese technology group SoftBank swung back to profitability in the July-September quarter, boosted by positive results in its Vision Fund investments.

Tokyo-based SoftBank Group Corp. reported Tuesday a fiscal second quarter profit of nearly 1.18 trillion yen ($7.7 billion), compared with a 931 billion yen loss in the year-earlier period.

Quarterly sales edged up about 6% to nearly 1.77 trillion yen ($11.5 billion).

SoftBank credited income from royalties and licensing related to its holdings in Arm, a computer chip-designing company, whose business spans smartphones, data centers, networking equipment, automotive, consumer electronic devices, and AI applications.

The results were also helped by the absence of losses related to SoftBank’s investment in office-space sharing venture WeWork, which hit the previous fiscal year.

WeWork, which filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in 2023, emerged from Chapter 11 in June.

SoftBank has benefitted in recent months from rising share prices in some investment, such as U.S.-based e-commerce company Coupang, Chinese mobility provider DiDi Global and Bytedance, the Chinese developer of TikTok.

SoftBank’s financial results tend to swing wildly, partly because of its sprawling investment portfolio that includes search engine Yahoo, Chinese retailer Alibaba, and artificial intelligence company Nvidia.

SoftBank makes investments in a variety of companies that it groups together in a series of Vision Funds.

The company’s founder, Masayoshi Son, is a pioneer in technology investment in Japan. SoftBank Group does not give earnings forecasts.

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Yuri Kageyama is on X:

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Trump campaign promises unlikely to harm entrepreneurship: Shopify CFO

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Shopify Inc. executives brushed off concerns that incoming U.S. President Donald Trump will be a major detriment to many of the company’s merchants.

“There’s nothing in what we’ve heard from Trump, nor would there have been anything from (Democratic candidate) Kamala (Harris), which we think impacts the overall state of new business formation and entrepreneurship,” Shopify’s chief financial officer Jeff Hoffmeister told analysts on a call Tuesday.

“We still feel really good about all the merchants out there, all the entrepreneurs that want to start new businesses and that’s obviously not going to change with the administration.”

Hoffmeister’s comments come a week after Trump, a Republican businessman, trounced Harris in an election that will soon return him to the Oval Office.

On the campaign trail, he threatened to impose tariffs of 60 per cent on imports from China and roughly 10 per cent to 20 per cent on goods from all other countries.

If the president-elect makes good on the promise, many worry the cost of operating will soar for companies, including customers of Shopify, which sells e-commerce software to small businesses but also brands as big as Kylie Cosmetics and Victoria’s Secret.

These merchants may feel they have no choice but to pass on the increases to customers, perhaps sparking more inflation.

If Trump’s tariffs do come to fruition, Shopify’s president Harley Finkelstein pointed out China is “not a huge area” for Shopify.

However, “we can’t anticipate what every presidential administration is going to do,” he cautioned.

He likened the uncertainty facing the business community to the COVID-19 pandemic where Shopify had to help companies migrate online.

“Our job is no matter what comes the way of our merchants, we provide them with tools and service and support for them to navigate it really well,” he said.

Finkelstein was questioned about the forthcoming U.S. leadership change on a call meant to delve into Shopify’s latest earnings, which sent shares soaring 27 per cent to $158.63 shortly after Tuesday’s market open.

The Ottawa-based company, which keeps its books in U.S. dollars, reported US$828 million in net income for its third quarter, up from US$718 million in the same quarter last year, as its revenue rose 26 per cent.

Revenue for the period ended Sept. 30 totalled US$2.16 billion, up from US$1.71 billion a year earlier.

Subscription solutions revenue reached US$610 million, up from US$486 million in the same quarter last year.

Merchant solutions revenue amounted to US$1.55 billion, up from US$1.23 billion.

Shopify’s net income excluding the impact of equity investments totalled US$344 million for the quarter, up from US$173 million in the same quarter last year.

Daniel Chan, a TD Cowen analyst, said the results show Shopify has a leadership position in the e-commerce world and “a continued ability to gain market share.”

In its outlook for its fourth quarter of 2024, the company said it expects revenue to grow at a mid-to-high-twenties percentage rate on a year-over-year basis.

“Q4 guidance suggests Shopify will finish the year strong, with better-than-expected revenue growth and operating margin,” Chan pointed out in a note to investors.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:SHOP)

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RioCan cuts nearly 10 per cent staff in efficiency push as condo market slows

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TORONTO – RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust says it has cut almost 10 per cent of its staff as it deals with a slowdown in the condo market and overall pushes for greater efficiency.

The company says the cuts, which amount to around 60 employees based on its last annual filing, will mean about $9 million in restructuring charges and should translate to about $8 million in annualized cash savings.

The job cuts come as RioCan and others scale back condo development plans as the market softens, but chief executive Jonathan Gitlin says the reductions were from a companywide efficiency effort.

RioCan says it doesn’t plan to start any new construction of mixed-use properties this year and well into 2025 as it adjusts to the shifting market demand.

The company reported a net income of $96.9 million in the third quarter, up from a loss of $73.5 million last year, as it saw a $159 million boost from a favourable change in the fair value of investment properties.

RioCan reported what it says is a record-breaking 97.8 per cent occupancy rate in the quarter including retail committed occupancy of 98.6 per cent.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:REI.UN)

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