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Gold, silver prices surge amid Fed gambit to cut U.S. rates – Kitco NEWS

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(Kitco News)Gold and silver prices are sharply higher in midday U.S. futures trading Tuesday, with gold now gaining back all of Friday’s big losses. Save-haven demand is featured today as the U.S. Federal Reserve made the risky and surprising move of cutting the key U.S. interest rate by 0.5%. The U.S. stock market did not take the news well and the stock indexes were solidly at midday. April gold futures were last up $51.20 an ounce at $1,645.90. March Comex silver prices were last up $0.476 at $17.215 an ounce.

The Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark interest rate—the Fed funds rate—by 0.5% to counter the negative economic aspects of the coronavirus outbreak. The rate now stands at 1.0 to 1.25%. The aggressive move by the Fed initially popped the U.S. stock indexes sharply higher, but they come off those highs and hit new daily lows. The move by the U.S. central bank is very risky, as it might incite more fear in a marketplace that is already on edge. At first blush, the move by the Fed is not being deemed as reassuring for traders and investors, and that is what popped gold prices sharply higher. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell held a press conference after the announcement to explain the Fed’s move. He said there is “evolving risk” to the U.S. and global economies. Look for other major central banks to follow with their own monetary policy easing. The central banks of Australia earlier today cut its key interest rate by 50 basis points, too.

While the Covid-19, or coronavirus, outbreak appears to have slowed its rate of spread in China, the illness rate is growing outside of China, including South Korea, Italy and other countries. More cases are being discovered in the U.S. The marketplace is more focused on what the major economies of the world are doing to prevent economic damage. Many analysts are now saying the outbreak’s impact on global economies will be serious but the duration of the impact will be short. Powell was cautious at his press conference on putting a timetable on the progression of the outbreak and how long it might impact global economies.

Many are wondering if Monday’s big gains in the U.S. stock indexes point to market bottoms being in place. Maybe. A more solid clue that near-term market bottoms are in place in the stock indexes (or any other market that has been beaten down the past few weeks) would be two very strong up-days in a row, or a bullish weekly high close on a Friday.

The yield on the benchmark U.S. Treasury 10-year note hit a record low today of 1.023%, signaling safe-haven demand and also hinting at a global economic recession.

The key outside markets today see Nymex crude oil prices higher and trading around $47.30 a barrel in early trading. The U.S. dollar index is trading weaker today and hit a six-week low.

Technically, April gold were nearer the session high at midday today and have gotten back all of last Friday’s huge losses. The bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage and have kept alive a 3.5-month-old price uptrend in place on the daily bar chart. Gold bulls’ next upside near-term price breakout objective is to produce a close above solid technical resistance at the February high of $1,691.70. Bears’ next near-term downside price breakout objective is pushing prices below solid technical support at last week’s low of $1,564.00. First resistance is seen at $1,662.50 and then at the $1,675.00. First support is seen at $1,625.00 and then at $1,600.00. Wyckoff’s Market Rating: 7.5

Live 24 hours silver chart [ Kitco Inc. ]

May silver futures were nearer the session high at midday. The silver bears still have the slight overall near-term technical advantage. Silver bulls’ next upside price breakout objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $18.00 an ounce. The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $16.00. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $17.48 and then at $17.75. Next support is seen at $17.00 and then at today’s low of $16.665. Wyckoff’s Market Rating: 4.5.

May N.Y. copper closed down 230 points at 257.20 cents today. Prices closed nearer the session low today. The copper bears have the firm overall near-term technical advantage. Copper bulls’ next upside price objective is pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance at 270.00 cents. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid technical support at the February low of 249.45 cents. First resistance is seen at 260.00 cents and then at today’s high of 262.5 0cents. First support is seen at today’s low of 254.65 cents and then at 252.50 cents. Wyckoff’s Market Rating: 2.5.

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Japan’s SoftBank returns to profit after gains at Vision Fund and other investments

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TOKYO (AP) — Japanese technology group SoftBank swung back to profitability in the July-September quarter, boosted by positive results in its Vision Fund investments.

Tokyo-based SoftBank Group Corp. reported Tuesday a fiscal second quarter profit of nearly 1.18 trillion yen ($7.7 billion), compared with a 931 billion yen loss in the year-earlier period.

Quarterly sales edged up about 6% to nearly 1.77 trillion yen ($11.5 billion).

SoftBank credited income from royalties and licensing related to its holdings in Arm, a computer chip-designing company, whose business spans smartphones, data centers, networking equipment, automotive, consumer electronic devices, and AI applications.

The results were also helped by the absence of losses related to SoftBank’s investment in office-space sharing venture WeWork, which hit the previous fiscal year.

WeWork, which filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in 2023, emerged from Chapter 11 in June.

SoftBank has benefitted in recent months from rising share prices in some investment, such as U.S.-based e-commerce company Coupang, Chinese mobility provider DiDi Global and Bytedance, the Chinese developer of TikTok.

SoftBank’s financial results tend to swing wildly, partly because of its sprawling investment portfolio that includes search engine Yahoo, Chinese retailer Alibaba, and artificial intelligence company Nvidia.

SoftBank makes investments in a variety of companies that it groups together in a series of Vision Funds.

The company’s founder, Masayoshi Son, is a pioneer in technology investment in Japan. SoftBank Group does not give earnings forecasts.

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Yuri Kageyama is on X:

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Trump campaign promises unlikely to harm entrepreneurship: Shopify CFO

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Shopify Inc. executives brushed off concerns that incoming U.S. President Donald Trump will be a major detriment to many of the company’s merchants.

“There’s nothing in what we’ve heard from Trump, nor would there have been anything from (Democratic candidate) Kamala (Harris), which we think impacts the overall state of new business formation and entrepreneurship,” Shopify’s chief financial officer Jeff Hoffmeister told analysts on a call Tuesday.

“We still feel really good about all the merchants out there, all the entrepreneurs that want to start new businesses and that’s obviously not going to change with the administration.”

Hoffmeister’s comments come a week after Trump, a Republican businessman, trounced Harris in an election that will soon return him to the Oval Office.

On the campaign trail, he threatened to impose tariffs of 60 per cent on imports from China and roughly 10 per cent to 20 per cent on goods from all other countries.

If the president-elect makes good on the promise, many worry the cost of operating will soar for companies, including customers of Shopify, which sells e-commerce software to small businesses but also brands as big as Kylie Cosmetics and Victoria’s Secret.

These merchants may feel they have no choice but to pass on the increases to customers, perhaps sparking more inflation.

If Trump’s tariffs do come to fruition, Shopify’s president Harley Finkelstein pointed out China is “not a huge area” for Shopify.

However, “we can’t anticipate what every presidential administration is going to do,” he cautioned.

He likened the uncertainty facing the business community to the COVID-19 pandemic where Shopify had to help companies migrate online.

“Our job is no matter what comes the way of our merchants, we provide them with tools and service and support for them to navigate it really well,” he said.

Finkelstein was questioned about the forthcoming U.S. leadership change on a call meant to delve into Shopify’s latest earnings, which sent shares soaring 27 per cent to $158.63 shortly after Tuesday’s market open.

The Ottawa-based company, which keeps its books in U.S. dollars, reported US$828 million in net income for its third quarter, up from US$718 million in the same quarter last year, as its revenue rose 26 per cent.

Revenue for the period ended Sept. 30 totalled US$2.16 billion, up from US$1.71 billion a year earlier.

Subscription solutions revenue reached US$610 million, up from US$486 million in the same quarter last year.

Merchant solutions revenue amounted to US$1.55 billion, up from US$1.23 billion.

Shopify’s net income excluding the impact of equity investments totalled US$344 million for the quarter, up from US$173 million in the same quarter last year.

Daniel Chan, a TD Cowen analyst, said the results show Shopify has a leadership position in the e-commerce world and “a continued ability to gain market share.”

In its outlook for its fourth quarter of 2024, the company said it expects revenue to grow at a mid-to-high-twenties percentage rate on a year-over-year basis.

“Q4 guidance suggests Shopify will finish the year strong, with better-than-expected revenue growth and operating margin,” Chan pointed out in a note to investors.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:SHOP)

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RioCan cuts nearly 10 per cent staff in efficiency push as condo market slows

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TORONTO – RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust says it has cut almost 10 per cent of its staff as it deals with a slowdown in the condo market and overall pushes for greater efficiency.

The company says the cuts, which amount to around 60 employees based on its last annual filing, will mean about $9 million in restructuring charges and should translate to about $8 million in annualized cash savings.

The job cuts come as RioCan and others scale back condo development plans as the market softens, but chief executive Jonathan Gitlin says the reductions were from a companywide efficiency effort.

RioCan says it doesn’t plan to start any new construction of mixed-use properties this year and well into 2025 as it adjusts to the shifting market demand.

The company reported a net income of $96.9 million in the third quarter, up from a loss of $73.5 million last year, as it saw a $159 million boost from a favourable change in the fair value of investment properties.

RioCan reported what it says is a record-breaking 97.8 per cent occupancy rate in the quarter including retail committed occupancy of 98.6 per cent.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:REI.UN)

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