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Gold vs Bitcoin: Which haven is a better investment this Diwali?

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Palash Udhwani an Investment Analyst with Kunji explains the similarity between Bitcoin and gold which is a lot by the way.

Touted as digital gold, Udhwani said, “BTC has a lot of similar characteristics to gold, namely global availability, high demand, and low supply. The supply and emission of BTC in the market cannot be altered as it is algorithmically programmed. The same factor helps in driving the price of BTC over time. The total emissions of BTC in circulation decrease over time as emissions get halved every four years.”

As per the data from Kunji which is India’s first crypto asset management platform, in the past five years, Bitcoin has outperformed gold in the past five Diwali.

Bitcoin witnessed a gain of 312.5% on the Diwali of October 19, 2017, while gold witnessed a surge of 29.5%. Further, on Diwali held on November 6, 2018, Bitcoin recorded gains of 196.3% versus gold soaring by 36.1%, however, it needs to be noted that the yellow metal saw an upside in the gains while Bitcoin’s gain narrowed from the 2017 levels. Notably, on Diwali which was held on October 27, 2019, Bitcoin and Gold both saw a narrowing in their gains to 99.9% and 11% respectively. However, during Diwali 2019, Bitcoin still performed better.

During November 14, 2020, Diwali, Bitcoin recorded a gain of 18.7%, while gold however tumbled by 11.6%. But on the Diwali of November 4, 2021, bitcoin declined drastically by 68.9% versus gold which only shed about 6.7%. In 2021, gold performed better than Bitcoin. Overall, in 5 years, Bitcoin gave more returns than gold.

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The returns on BTC might look attractive, but the broader crypto landscape provides us with many more opportunities to extract higher alphas. (Kunji data)

Over the five years, while the average return on gold investment would have been around 11%, the same for BTC is around 111.7%.

For a competitive quantitative analysis, Udhwani said, if you had bought gold worth 50,000 for each year starting in 2017 on Diwali, your current portfolio value on an investment of 2,50,000 would have been 2,79,150. If you had purchased BTC with the same, the return would have been 5,29,250.

Udhwani said, the returns on BTC might look attractive, but the broader crypto landscape provides us with many more opportunities to extract higher alphas. If you had taken positions in BTC along with a set of promising quality altcoins, a similar trend could be seen in the same.

Giving an example, Udhwani said, you invest about $600, around 50,000, across six good quality altcoins from the previous 5 Diwali. The same with a combination of BTC would have given a return of 659.624 %, and a pure altcoin

play would have achieved a 1207% return. The altcoins used here in the strategy are ETH, BNB, LTC, XRP, ADA, and LINK.

According to the expert, BTC, being a vital asset with a history of more than a decade, has also inspired a lot of other decentralised projects and protocols, which provide huge upside potential if proper strategic positions and risk management are taken.

Talking about the current state of the bitcoin-gold correlation, Udhwani said, until the market achieves its peak hawkishness, pressure on gold and other semi-investment metals like silver and platinum is likely to persist. As investors are drawn in by a strong dollar despite rising interest rates, the correlation between bitcoin and gold has reached its highest level in the past 12 months.

Also, Udhwani added, “Although Bitcoin is regarded as “digital gold” and a hedge against inflation, investors don’t agree much like the yellow metal. As inflation has risen over the past several months, the value of Bitcoin and gold has drastically decreased. It resulted in a correlation at a year-high of +0.4. A strong dollar and high bond yields may lure investors away from the precious metal and Bitcoin.”

On Saturday, at the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading above the $19,200 mark and its 24 hours gain is around 1.5% on CoinMarketCap.

As per Good Returns data, 22 carat gold in India is available at 47,000 in 10 gram on Saturday up by 750 from the previous day. While the 24 carat in 10 gram is priced at 51,280 apiece higher by 830 from the previous day.

Meanwhile, on Friday, at MCX, gold futures maturing December 5 ended at 50,635 up by 492 or 0.98% from the previous day’s levels.

 

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Tesla shares soar more than 14% as Trump win is seen boosting Elon Musk’s electric vehicle company

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NEW YORK (AP) — Shares of Tesla soared Wednesday as investors bet that the electric vehicle maker and its CEO Elon Musk will benefit from Donald Trump’s return to the White House.

Tesla stands to make significant gains under a Trump administration with the threat of diminished subsidies for alternative energy and electric vehicles doing the most harm to smaller competitors. Trump’s plans for extensive tariffs on Chinese imports make it less likely that Chinese EVs will be sold in bulk in the U.S. anytime soon.

“Tesla has the scale and scope that is unmatched,” said Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, in a note to investors. “This dynamic could give Musk and Tesla a clear competitive advantage in a non-EV subsidy environment, coupled by likely higher China tariffs that would continue to push away cheaper Chinese EV players.”

Tesla shares jumped 14.8% Wednesday while shares of rival electric vehicle makers tumbled. Nio, based in Shanghai, fell 5.3%. Shares of electric truck maker Rivian dropped 8.3% and Lucid Group fell 5.3%.

Tesla dominates sales of electric vehicles in the U.S, with 48.9% in market share through the middle of 2024, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Subsidies for clean energy are part of the Inflation Reduction Act, signed into law by President Joe Biden in 2022. It included tax credits for manufacturing, along with tax credits for consumers of electric vehicles.

Musk was one of Trump’s biggest donors, spending at least $119 million mobilizing Trump’s supporters to back the Republican nominee. He also pledged to give away $1 million a day to voters signing a petition for his political action committee.

In some ways, it has been a rocky year for Tesla, with sales and profit declining through the first half of the year. Profit did rise 17.3% in the third quarter.

The U.S. opened an investigation into the company’s “Full Self-Driving” system after reports of crashes in low-visibility conditions, including one that killed a pedestrian. The investigation covers roughly 2.4 million Teslas from the 2016 through 2024 model years.

And investors sent company shares tumbling last month after Tesla unveiled its long-awaited robotaxi at a Hollywood studio Thursday night, seeing not much progress at Tesla on autonomous vehicles while other companies have been making notable progress.

Tesla began selling the software, which is called “Full Self-Driving,” nine years ago. But there are doubts about its reliability.

The stock is now showing a 16.1% gain for the year after rising the past two days.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 100 points, U.S. stock markets mixed

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 100 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in base metal and utility stocks, while U.S. stock markets were mixed.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 103.40 points at 24,542.48.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 192.31 points at 42,932.73. The S&P 500 index was up 7.14 points at 5,822.40, while the Nasdaq composite was down 9.03 points at 18,306.56.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.44 cents US on Tuesday.

The November crude oil contract was down 71 cents at US$69.87 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down eight cents at US$2.42 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$7.20 at US$2,686.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.35 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX up more than 200 points, U.S. markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 200 points in late-morning trading, while U.S. stock markets were also headed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 205.86 points at 24,508.12.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 336.62 points at 42,790.74. The S&P 500 index was up 34.19 points at 5,814.24, while the Nasdaq composite was up 60.27 points at 18.342.32.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.71 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was down 15 cents at US$75.70 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down two cents at US$2.65 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$29.60 at US$2,668.90 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents at US$4.47 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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