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Gold weighed down by higher oil prices following OPEC cuts that are fueling fears the Fed will maintain its hawkish bias longer than expected

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(Kitco News) – The gold market is seeing renewed selling as rising inflation pressure from higher oil prices continues to support the Federal Reserve’s hawkish monetary policy bias, boosting the U.S. dollar and pushing bond yields higher.

Oil prices surged higher Monday after OPEC+ members Saudi Arabia and Russia announced that they would maintain their oil production cuts for another three months, through to the end of the year. Saudi Arabia will continue to hold back production by one million barrels per day, while Russia will continue to reduce its output by 300,000 barrels per day.

Saudi Arabia said that the voluntary supply cuts are aimed at supporting stability and balance in oil markets. The ongoing production cuts have pushed oil prices to a 10-month high. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices continue to hold on to most of their early morning gains, last trading at $86.67 per barrel, up 1.27% on the day. At the same time, Brent Crude, which reflects more international oil demand, was trading at $89.20 per barrel, up 1.5% on the day.

“Oil prices have rallied as traders have gotten the message loud and clear that OPEC+ is not in the mood to ease supply anytime soon,” said Naeem Aslam, chief investment officer at Zaya Capital Markets. “The fact that Saudi Arabia has extended the voluntary cut shows that OPEC+ members are very comfortable keeping prices high for a longer period, and they have no interest in what central banks are worried about.”

Traditionally, higher oil prices would be bullish for gold because it is inflationary; however, many analysts note that in the near term, the oil market is creating further headwinds for the precious metal.

Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, said that higher oil prices are feeding into inflation fears, which could force the Federal Reserve to maintain its hawkish bias and keep interest rates higher for longer.

Hansen pointed out that the U.S. dollar index has pushed back above 104 points, trading at a six-month high. At the same time, bond yields are holding near last week’s 15-year highs.

Hansen noted that oil prices are now positive for the year and if prices remain elevated, it will create adverse base effects for headline annual inflation.

However, Hansen added that OPEC also walks a fine line as elevated interest rates add to the risk of the global economy falling into a recession, which would significantly dampen oil demand.



“In the short term, the market is going to struggle as it continues to digest OPEC’s latest move,” said Hansen. “But looking at the long-term outlook, we still see weaker economic growth and persistently elevated inflation and that continues to support underlying demand for gold.”

Not only is the U.S. dollar index’s push back above 104 hurting gold, but analysts note that some investors are frustrated that the precious metal didn’t have enough bullish momentum to break critical resistance above $1,980 an ounce last week.

“Despite the choppy price action witnessed last Friday following the mixed US jobs report, gold seems to be searching for a fresh fundamental catalyst to trigger its next significant move,” said Lukman Otunuga, senior market analyst at FXTM. “In the meantime, the precious metal is showing signs of exhaustion on the daily charts, with weakness below the 50-day SMA opening a path back toward $1920. Should the $1935 level prove to be reliable support, prices could retest the 100-day SMA around $1953.”

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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