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Greater Toronto home sales down in March but competition pushing prices up, real estate board says – The Globe and Mail

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The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says Greater Toronto home sales in March were down 4.5 per cent from last year, but there was enough competition between buyers that the average home price rose moderately year-over-year.

A total of 6,560 homes changed hands in the month compared with 6,868 last year. The board noted this year’s sales figures were down in part due to the statutory Good Friday holiday falling within March rather than April.

On a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, sales were down by 1.1 per cent.

The average selling price was up 1.3 per cent year-over-year to $1,121,615.

“Price growth is expected to accelerate during the spring and even more so in the second half of the year, as sales growth catches up with listings growth and sellers’ market conditions start to emerge in many neighbourhoods,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer in a press release.

“Lower borrowing costs in the months ahead will help fuel increased demand for ownership housing.”

Affordability continues to be a major challenge for prospective buyers in the Toronto area, said Chris Kapches, president and CEO of Chestnut Park Real Estate Limited.

He said that even with forecasts that the Bank of Canada will likely lower its key interest rate later this year, many people will still find themselves priced out of the market.

“Population growth has become so prominent in terms of driving this marketplace, and driving the demand, that prices have stayed high, while at the same time sales have fallen off because of affordability,” Kapches said in an interview.

“We don’t see buyers shooting the lights out because they’re constrained … and I think that is going to be the continuing pattern of this market as we go forward.”

New listings were up 15 per cent last month from March 2023, which TRREB president Jennifer Pearce attributed to homeowners possibly anticipating an improvement in market conditions in the spring.

“Assuming we benefit from lower borrowing costs in the near future, sales will increase further, new listings will be absorbed, and tighter market conditions will push selling prices higher,” said Pearce in a press release.

The first quarter ended with 11.2 per cent higher sales year-over-year and new listings up by 18.3 per cent for the three-month period.

Kapches said his advice to clients is that they may need to look far out in the Greater Toronto Area for affordable home prices if they are set on staying nearby. He pointed to Scarborough as an area where prices for condominium apartments are more feasible.

“It’s kind of a terrible cliché, but you drive until you’re qualified,” he said.

“People are moving to other parts of the province where it’s more affordable. In some cases, people are moving to other provinces.”

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,308 sales last month, an eight per cent decrease from March 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales fell 2.5 per cent to 4,252.

By property type, sales of condo apartments saw the biggest decrease throughout the GTA, with 12.8 per cent fewer changing hands. There were also three per cent fewer detached home sales in March.

Meanwhile, there were 4.3 per cent more semi-detached home sales, followed by a 1.1 per cent increase in townhouse sales.

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Mortgage rule changes will help spark demand, but supply is ‘core’ issue: economist

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TORONTO – One expert predicts Ottawa‘s changes to mortgage rules will help spur demand among potential homebuyers but says policies aimed at driving new supply are needed to address the “core issues” facing the market.

The federal government’s changes, set to come into force mid-December, include a higher price cap for insured mortgages to allow more people to qualify for a mortgage with less than a 20 per cent down payment.

The government will also expand its 30-year mortgage amortization to include first-time homebuyers buying any type of home, as well as anybody buying a newly built home.

CIBC Capital Markets deputy chief economist Benjamin Tal calls it a “significant” move likely to accelerate the recovery of the housing market, a process already underway as interest rates have begun to fall.

However, he says in a note that policymakers should aim to “prevent that from becoming too much of a good thing” through policies geared toward the supply side.

Tal says the main issue is the lack of supply available to respond to Canada’s rapidly increasing population, particularly in major cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17,2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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National housing market in ‘holding pattern’ as buyers patient for lower rates: CREA

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OTTAWA – The Canadian Real Estate Association says the number of homes sold in August fell compared with a year ago as the market remained largely stuck in a holding pattern despite borrowing costs beginning to come down.

The association says the number of homes sold in August fell 2.1 per cent compared with the same month last year.

On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, national home sales edged up 1.3 per cent from July.

CREA senior economist Shaun Cathcart says that with forecasts of lower interest rates throughout the rest of this year and into 2025, “it makes sense that prospective buyers might continue to hold off for improved affordability, especially since prices are still well behaved in most of the country.”

The national average sale price for August amounted to $649,100, a 0.1 per cent increase compared with a year earlier.

The number of newly listed properties was up 1.1 per cent month-over-month.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Two Quebec real estate brokers suspended for using fake bids to drive up prices

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MONTREAL – Two Quebec real estate brokers are facing fines and years-long suspensions for submitting bogus offers on homes to drive up prices during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Christine Girouard has been suspended for 14 years and her business partner, Jonathan Dauphinais-Fortin, has been suspended for nine years after Quebec’s authority of real estate brokerage found they used fake bids to get buyers to raise their offers.

Girouard is a well-known broker who previously starred on a Quebec reality show that follows top real estate agents in the province.

She is facing a fine of $50,000, while Dauphinais-Fortin has been fined $10,000.

The two brokers were suspended in May 2023 after La Presse published an article about their practices.

One buyer ended up paying $40,000 more than his initial offer in 2022 after Girouard and Dauphinais-Fortin concocted a second bid on the house he wanted to buy.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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