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Greater Toronto home sales fall amid affordability challenges but relief forecasted

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TORONTO — Greater Toronto home sales fell six per cent last month compared with November 2022 despite an influx in new listings, as high borrowing costs and uncertain economic conditions persisted.

The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board said Tuesday there were 4,236 home sales in the region last month, compared with 4,507 a year earlier. The sales figures for last month were also down 8.7 per cent from the 4,640 in October of this year.

“Not many people are moving,” Toronto realtor Nasma Ali said.

“The only kind of desperation that we’re seeing right now are from people who really need to sell, usually from investors.”

The board said a lack of affordability has taken its toll on the market, which remains sensitive to the current environment of high interest rates, but that relief seems to be on the horizon.

“Bond yields, which underpin fixed-rate mortgages have been trending lower and an increasing number of forecasters are anticipating Bank of Canada rate cuts in the first half of 2024,” TRREB president Paul Baron said in a news release.

“Lower rates will help alleviate affordability issues for existing homeowners and those looking to enter the market.”

The average home price last month was $1,082,179, which was essentially flat compared with November 2022 as the market saw more supply come online.

Across the GTA, sales declined on a yearly basis in all categories except for semi-detached homes, which saw a 6.6 per cent uptick in the number that changed hands.

Ali, the founder of the One Group, part of Real Brokerage, said she’s seen condo sales slow down in particular, especially when compared with the longer term.

“For the past few years, minus a few months during COVID, condos were selling immediately, within one day or within a week,” she said.

“Now they’re just sitting there waiting for any takers and there’s barely any showings. We used to have 100 showings maybe in a week. Now we’re lucky if we have two to three showings a week.”

In the City of Toronto, there were 1,607 sales last month, a 10.2 per cent drop compared with the same time in 2022. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales declined 3.2 per cent to 2,629.

Ali said some neighbourhoods are taking a big hit, especially for homes where potential buyers see red flags like nearby construction.

“Buyers have no urgency because if anything, prices will be maybe down next month,” she said.

“When you look at urban neighbourhoods, like High Park, Roncesvalles, Leslieville, obviously it’s not like what it was at the peak and the price has also come down from the peak.”

Overall, new listings rose 16.5 per cent to 10,545 in November compared with 9,053 during the same month last year.

“Home prices have adjusted from their peak in response to higher borrowing costs,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer in a statement.

“As mortgage rates trend lower next year and the population continues to grow at a record pace, expect demand to increase relative to supply. This will eventually lead to renewed growth in home prices.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Dec. 5,2023.

 

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Real eState

Mortgage rule changes will help spark demand, but supply is ‘core’ issue: economist

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TORONTO – One expert predicts Ottawa‘s changes to mortgage rules will help spur demand among potential homebuyers but says policies aimed at driving new supply are needed to address the “core issues” facing the market.

The federal government’s changes, set to come into force mid-December, include a higher price cap for insured mortgages to allow more people to qualify for a mortgage with less than a 20 per cent down payment.

The government will also expand its 30-year mortgage amortization to include first-time homebuyers buying any type of home, as well as anybody buying a newly built home.

CIBC Capital Markets deputy chief economist Benjamin Tal calls it a “significant” move likely to accelerate the recovery of the housing market, a process already underway as interest rates have begun to fall.

However, he says in a note that policymakers should aim to “prevent that from becoming too much of a good thing” through policies geared toward the supply side.

Tal says the main issue is the lack of supply available to respond to Canada’s rapidly increasing population, particularly in major cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17,2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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National housing market in ‘holding pattern’ as buyers patient for lower rates: CREA

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OTTAWA – The Canadian Real Estate Association says the number of homes sold in August fell compared with a year ago as the market remained largely stuck in a holding pattern despite borrowing costs beginning to come down.

The association says the number of homes sold in August fell 2.1 per cent compared with the same month last year.

On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, national home sales edged up 1.3 per cent from July.

CREA senior economist Shaun Cathcart says that with forecasts of lower interest rates throughout the rest of this year and into 2025, “it makes sense that prospective buyers might continue to hold off for improved affordability, especially since prices are still well behaved in most of the country.”

The national average sale price for August amounted to $649,100, a 0.1 per cent increase compared with a year earlier.

The number of newly listed properties was up 1.1 per cent month-over-month.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Two Quebec real estate brokers suspended for using fake bids to drive up prices

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MONTREAL – Two Quebec real estate brokers are facing fines and years-long suspensions for submitting bogus offers on homes to drive up prices during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Christine Girouard has been suspended for 14 years and her business partner, Jonathan Dauphinais-Fortin, has been suspended for nine years after Quebec’s authority of real estate brokerage found they used fake bids to get buyers to raise their offers.

Girouard is a well-known broker who previously starred on a Quebec reality show that follows top real estate agents in the province.

She is facing a fine of $50,000, while Dauphinais-Fortin has been fined $10,000.

The two brokers were suspended in May 2023 after La Presse published an article about their practices.

One buyer ended up paying $40,000 more than his initial offer in 2022 after Girouard and Dauphinais-Fortin concocted a second bid on the house he wanted to buy.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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