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Halloween supply issues could be haunted by ‘huge demand’

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The Halloween mood on Baruch Labunski’s Toronto street has been eerie the last two years — and not in a witches-and-goblins way.

“Throughout the pandemic nobody really put up decorations and there were hardly any kids,” he said.

This year, pumpkins have been sitting on his neighbours’ doorsteps since early September and his son has already picked out a costume.

“It feels like we’re getting back to normal,” he said. “I think Halloween is going to be bigger than ever.”

After two years of COVID-19 restrictions curbing Halloween, Canadians are expected to ramp up celebrations this year.

But the rising cost of goods and ongoing supply chain issues could put a kink in demand for costumes, candy and decorations.

New research by the Retail Council of Canada suggests 86 per cent of Canadians will spend the same or more on Halloween this year compared with last year, with many making purchases a month ahead of time.

Consumers also appear willing to open their wallets for a trendy new costume or to stock up on candy, with more than half of Canadians celebrating planning to spend more than $50.

“I think Halloween will be met by huge demand,” said Tandy Thomas, an associate professor at Queen’s University’s Smith School of Business.

“Halloween spending will likely mimic the strong consumption behaviour we’ve seen on travel and restaurants in recent months. There’s a lot of kids that haven’t really been out trick-or-treating for two years that will be itching to get back out there.”

That being said, Canadians feeling the pinch of soaring inflation may give out fewer treats, turn off the porch lights early or opt out of Halloween altogether.

Shoppers may also feel squeezed by so-called shrinkflation in the candy aisle — manufacturers putting fewer chips in a bag or candies in a box but still charging the same price.

“You could see more dark houses if people are concerned about costs and decide not to participate,” retail analyst Bruce Winder said.

The potential strong demand paired with ongoing supply chain constraints could also lead to some empty store shelves — especially later in October.

Part of the issue facing manufacturers and retailers is that forecasts are unreliable, Winder said.

“The toughest part of supply chains is predicting demand,” he said. “But that’s especially difficult to do right now because every season is a new way that consumers are behaving as they navigate through the pandemic.”

Depending on how demand unfolds, the potential scarcity could be particularly acute in the candy aisle.

“I think there could be supply shortages,” Thomas said. “It’s going to be harder for retailers to procure the inventory, which means there’s probably not going to be as much excess and deep discounting on Nov. 1.”

Also, running to a drugstore Halloween night to replenish supplies might not be an option for people who underestimate the number of trick-or-treaters they’ll receive, she said.

The Hershey Co. CEO Michele Buck said recently that “capacity is constrained” in some parts of the company’s portfolio.

The maker of Reese’s Peanut Butter Cups has prioritized on-shelf availability of its everyday products to meet growing demand in that area, but has had to limit seasonal items, she said.

“We had opportunity to deliver more Halloween, but we weren’t able to supply that,” Buck said during an earnings call in July.

Hershey’s spokeswoman Allison Kleinfelter said despite capacity constraints, the company has made more Halloween candy this year than last year.

But she still recommends shopping early.

“For the past two years, consumers have been buying seasonal candy earlier than in the past,” Kleinfelter said. “This means that often a week before the actual holiday, seasonal packages can be harder to come by.”

Retail Council of Canada spokeswoman Michelle Wasylyshen said the best advice for consumers is to shop early.

“We have heard from some retailers that they’ve had a lot of supply chain challenges with this year’s Halloween products in that suppliers were not able to provide requested quantities,” she said.

“This means that there could be fewer quantities available for several key Halloween products.”

Labunski in Toronto said he isn’t concerned about shortages despite an expected Halloween rebound.

“I do think people are going to go all-out and so retailers may be sold out of some of the popular stuff,” he said. “But I can just buy something else.”

Spirit Halloween, one of the largest retailers of costumes, said it has a full assortment of costumes, decorations and accessories.

“We work year-round to develop must-have looks, and 2022 is shaping up to be an incredible year,” Steven Silverstein, CEO of Spirit Halloween, said in a statement.

When it comes to costumes and decorations, Canadians worried about inflation might come up with creative ways to cut costs this year.

“We’ll see some bargain hunting,” Thomas said. “People may sew a costume by hand or look for a used costume.”

People will also cut back on less essential items, Winder said.

“They might reuse decor from previous years or buy it at Dollarama to save money.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 2, 2022. 

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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