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Hedge Fund Darlings vs. MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) In 2019 – Yahoo Finance

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<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="Many investors, including Paul Tudor Jones or Stan Druckenmiller, have been saying before last year’s Q4 market crash that the stock market is overvalued due to a low interest rate environment that leads to companies swapping their equity for debt and focusing mostly on short-term performance such as beating the quarterly earnings estimates. In the first half of 2019, most investors recovered all of their Q4 losses as sentiment shifted and optimism dominated the US China trade negotiations. Nevertheless, many of the stocks that delivered strong returns in the first half still sport strong fundamentals and their gains were more related to the general market sentiment rather than their individual performance and hedge funds kept their bullish stance. In this article we will find out how hedge fund sentiment to MGIC Investment Corporation (NYSE:MTG) changed recently.” data-reactid=”11″>Many investors, including Paul Tudor Jones or Stan Druckenmiller, have been saying before last year’s Q4 market crash that the stock market is overvalued due to a low interest rate environment that leads to companies swapping their equity for debt and focusing mostly on short-term performance such as beating the quarterly earnings estimates. In the first half of 2019, most investors recovered all of their Q4 losses as sentiment shifted and optimism dominated the US China trade negotiations. Nevertheless, many of the stocks that delivered strong returns in the first half still sport strong fundamentals and their gains were more related to the general market sentiment rather than their individual performance and hedge funds kept their bullish stance. In this article we will find out how hedge fund sentiment to MGIC Investment Corporation (NYSE:MTG) changed recently.

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="Is MGIC Investment Corporation (NYSE:MTG) an outstanding investment today? The smart money is turning bullish. The number of bullish hedge fund positions rose by 4 recently. Our calculations also showed that MTG isn’t among the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds (click for Q3 rankings and see the video at the end of this article for Q2 rankings). MTG was in 39 hedge funds’ portfolios at the end of the third quarter of 2019. There were 35 hedge funds in our database with MTG positions at the end of the previous quarter.” data-reactid=”12″>Is MGIC Investment Corporation (NYSE:MTG) an outstanding investment today? The smart money is turning bullish. The number of bullish hedge fund positions rose by 4 recently. Our calculations also showed that MTG isn’t among the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds (click for Q3 rankings and see the video at the end of this article for Q2 rankings). MTG was in 39 hedge funds’ portfolios at the end of the third quarter of 2019. There were 35 hedge funds in our database with MTG positions at the end of the previous quarter.

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="To most shareholders, hedge funds are perceived as unimportant, old investment vehicles of years past. While there are more than 8000 funds trading at present, Our experts choose to focus on the masters of this club, around 750 funds. These money managers oversee bulk of the hedge fund industry's total asset base, and by tracking their finest equity investments, Insider Monkey has come up with several investment strategies that have historically outrun the S&amp;P 500 index. Insider Monkey's flagship short hedge fund strategy outpaced the S&amp;P 500 short ETFs by around 20 percentage points per annum since its inception in May 2014. Our portfolio of short stocks lost 27.8% since February 2017 (through November 21st) even though&nbsp;the market was up more than 39% during the same period. We just shared a list of 7 short targets&nbsp;in our latest quarterly update .” data-reactid=”13″>To most shareholders, hedge funds are perceived as unimportant, old investment vehicles of years past. While there are more than 8000 funds trading at present, Our experts choose to focus on the masters of this club, around 750 funds. These money managers oversee bulk of the hedge fund industry’s total asset base, and by tracking their finest equity investments, Insider Monkey has come up with several investment strategies that have historically outrun the S&P 500 index. Insider Monkey’s flagship short hedge fund strategy outpaced the S&P 500 short ETFs by around 20 percentage points per annum since its inception in May 2014. Our portfolio of short stocks lost 27.8% since February 2017 (through November 21st) even though the market was up more than 39% during the same period. We just shared a list of 7 short targets in our latest quarterly update .

Steven Cohen of Point72 Asset Management

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="We leave no stone unturned when looking for the next great investment idea. For example Discover is offering this insane cashback card, so we look into shorting the stock. One of the most bullish analysts in America just put his money where his mouth is. He says, "I’m investing more today than I did back in early 2009." So we check out his pitch. We read hedge fund investor letters and listen to stock pitches at hedge fund conferences. We even check out this option genius’ weekly trade ideas. This December, we recommended Adams Energy as a one-way bet based on an under-the-radar fund manager’s investor letter and the stock already gained 20 percent. With all of this in mind we’re going to go over the new hedge fund action surrounding MGIC Investment Corporation (NYSE:MTG).” data-reactid=”31″>We leave no stone unturned when looking for the next great investment idea. For example Discover is offering this insane cashback card, so we look into shorting the stock. One of the most bullish analysts in America just put his money where his mouth is. He says, “I’m investing more today than I did back in early 2009.” So we check out his pitch. We read hedge fund investor letters and listen to stock pitches at hedge fund conferences. We even check out this option genius’ weekly trade ideas. This December, we recommended Adams Energy as a one-way bet based on an under-the-radar fund manager’s investor letter and the stock already gained 20 percent. With all of this in mind we’re going to go over the new hedge fund action surrounding MGIC Investment Corporation (NYSE:MTG).

Hedge fund activity in MGIC Investment Corporation (NYSE:MTG)

At Q3’s end, a total of 39 of the hedge funds tracked by Insider Monkey held long positions in this stock, a change of 11% from the previous quarter. By comparison, 30 hedge funds held shares or bullish call options in MTG a year ago. With hedgies’ capital changing hands, there exists a few noteworthy hedge fund managers who were upping their stakes significantly (or already accumulated large positions).

Is MTG A Good Stock To Buy?

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="According to publicly available hedge fund and institutional investor holdings data compiled by Insider Monkey, Steve Cohen's Point72 Asset Management has the biggest position in MGIC Investment Corporation (NYSE:MTG), worth close to $100.9 million, corresponding to 0.6% of its total 13F portfolio. The second largest stake is held by AQR Capital Management, managed by Cliff Asness, which holds a $84.8 million position; the fund has 0.1% of its 13F portfolio invested in the stock. Other hedge funds and institutional investors that hold long positions consist of Renaissance Technologies, Noam Gottesman’s GLG Partners and Israel Englander’s Millennium Management. In terms of the portfolio weights assigned to each position Almitas Capital allocated the biggest weight to MGIC Investment Corporation (NYSE:MTG), around 2.04% of its 13F portfolio. Factorial Partners is also relatively very bullish on the stock, dishing out 1.75 percent of its 13F equity portfolio to MTG.” data-reactid=”58″>According to publicly available hedge fund and institutional investor holdings data compiled by Insider Monkey, Steve Cohen’s Point72 Asset Management has the biggest position in MGIC Investment Corporation (NYSE:MTG), worth close to $100.9 million, corresponding to 0.6% of its total 13F portfolio. The second largest stake is held by AQR Capital Management, managed by Cliff Asness, which holds a $84.8 million position; the fund has 0.1% of its 13F portfolio invested in the stock. Other hedge funds and institutional investors that hold long positions consist of Renaissance Technologies, Noam Gottesman’s GLG Partners and Israel Englander’s Millennium Management. In terms of the portfolio weights assigned to each position Almitas Capital allocated the biggest weight to MGIC Investment Corporation (NYSE:MTG), around 2.04% of its 13F portfolio. Factorial Partners is also relatively very bullish on the stock, dishing out 1.75 percent of its 13F equity portfolio to MTG.

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="With a general bullishness amongst the heavyweights, specific money managers have jumped into MGIC Investment Corporation (NYSE:MTG) headfirst. Marshall Wace, managed by Paul Marshall and Ian Wace, assembled the biggest position in MGIC Investment Corporation (NYSE:MTG). Marshall Wace had $20.2 million invested in the company at the end of the quarter. Gregg Moskowitz’s Interval Partners also initiated a $6.2 million position during the quarter. The following funds were also among the new MTG investors: Carl Goldsmith and Scott Klein’s Beach Point Capital Management, John Overdeck and David Siegel’s Two Sigma Advisors, and David Andre and Astro Teller’s Cerebellum Capital.” data-reactid=”59″>With a general bullishness amongst the heavyweights, specific money managers have jumped into MGIC Investment Corporation (NYSE:MTG) headfirst. Marshall Wace, managed by Paul Marshall and Ian Wace, assembled the biggest position in MGIC Investment Corporation (NYSE:MTG). Marshall Wace had $20.2 million invested in the company at the end of the quarter. Gregg Moskowitz’s Interval Partners also initiated a $6.2 million position during the quarter. The following funds were also among the new MTG investors: Carl Goldsmith and Scott Klein’s Beach Point Capital Management, John Overdeck and David Siegel’s Two Sigma Advisors, and David Andre and Astro Teller’s Cerebellum Capital.

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="Let's also examine hedge fund activity in other stocks similar to MGIC Investment Corporation (NYSE:MTG). We will take a look at Blackbaud, Inc. (NASDAQ:BLKB), J2 Global Inc (NASDAQ:JCOM), Spire Inc. (NYSE:SR), and CVR Energy, Inc. (NYSE:CVI). This group of stocks’ market values are similar to MTG’s market value.” data-reactid=”60″>Let’s also examine hedge fund activity in other stocks similar to MGIC Investment Corporation (NYSE:MTG). We will take a look at Blackbaud, Inc. (NASDAQ:BLKB), J2 Global Inc (NASDAQ:JCOM), Spire Inc. (NYSE:SR), and CVR Energy, Inc. (NYSE:CVI). This group of stocks’ market values are similar to MTG’s market value.

[table] Ticker, No of HFs with positions, Total Value of HF Positions (x1000), Change in HF Position BLKB,12,72983,2 JCOM,18,280780,-6 SR,13,80974,1 CVI,26,3273232,7 Average,17.25,926992,1 [/table]

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="View table here&nbsp;if you experience formatting issues.” data-reactid=”62″>View table here if you experience formatting issues.

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="As you can see these stocks had an average of 17.25 hedge funds with bullish positions and the average amount invested in these stocks was $927 million. That figure was $566 million in MTG's case. CVR Energy, Inc. (NYSE:CVI) is the most popular stock in this table. On the other hand Blackbaud, Inc. (NASDAQ:BLKB) is the least popular one with only 12 bullish hedge fund positions. Compared to these stocks MGIC Investment Corporation (NYSE:MTG) is more popular among hedge funds. Our calculations showed that top 20 most popular stocks among hedge funds returned 41.1% in 2019 through December 23rd and outperformed the S&amp;P 500 ETF (SPY) by 10.1 percentage points. Hedge funds were also right about betting on MTG, though not to the same extent, as the stock returned 37.4% during the same period and outperformed the market as well. Video: Click the image to watch our video about the top 5 most popular hedge fund stocks.” data-reactid=”63″>As you can see these stocks had an average of 17.25 hedge funds with bullish positions and the average amount invested in these stocks was $927 million. That figure was $566 million in MTG’s case. CVR Energy, Inc. (NYSE:CVI) is the most popular stock in this table. On the other hand Blackbaud, Inc. (NASDAQ:BLKB) is the least popular one with only 12 bullish hedge fund positions. Compared to these stocks MGIC Investment Corporation (NYSE:MTG) is more popular among hedge funds. Our calculations showed that top 20 most popular stocks among hedge funds returned 41.1% in 2019 through December 23rd and outperformed the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) by 10.1 percentage points. Hedge funds were also right about betting on MTG, though not to the same extent, as the stock returned 37.4% during the same period and outperformed the market as well. Video: Click the image to watch our video about the top 5 most popular hedge fund stocks.

5 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="Disclosure: None. This article was originally published at Insider Monkey.” data-reactid=”76″>Disclosure: None. This article was originally published at Insider Monkey.

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="Related Content” data-reactid=”77″>Related Content

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Economy

S&P/TSX composite down more than 200 points, U.S. stock markets also fall

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was down more than 200 points in late-morning trading, weighed down by losses in the technology, base metal and energy sectors, while U.S. stock markets also fell.

The S&P/TSX composite index was down 239.24 points at 22,749.04.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 312.36 points at 40,443.39. The S&P 500 index was down 80.94 points at 5,422.47, while the Nasdaq composite was down 380.17 points at 16,747.49.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.80 cents US compared with 74.00 cents US on Thursday.

The October crude oil contract was down US$1.07 at US$68.08 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up less than a penny at US$2.26 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$2.10 at US$2,541.00 an ounce and the December copper contract was down four cents at US$4.10 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 6, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 150 points, U.S. stock markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 150 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in technology, financial and energy stocks, while U.S. stock markets also pushed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 171.41 points at 23,298.39.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 278.37 points at 41,369.79. The S&P 500 index was up 38.17 points at 5,630.35, while the Nasdaq composite was up 177.15 points at 17,733.18.

The Canadian dollar traded for 74.19 cents US compared with 74.23 cents US on Wednesday.

The October crude oil contract was up US$1.75 at US$76.27 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up less than a penny at US$2.10 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$18.70 at US$2,556.50 an ounce and the December copper contract was down less than a penny at US$4.22 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Aug. 29, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Investment

Crypto Market Bloodbath Amid Broader Economic Concerns

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Breaking Business News Canada

The crypto market has recently experienced a significant downturn, mirroring broader risk asset sell-offs. Over the past week, Bitcoin’s price dropped by 24%, reaching $53,000, while Ethereum plummeted nearly a third to $2,340. Major altcoins also suffered, with Cardano down 27.7%, Solana 36.2%, Dogecoin 34.6%, XRP 23.1%, Shiba Inu 30.1%, and BNB 25.7%.

The severe downturn in the crypto market appears to be part of a broader flight to safety, triggered by disappointing economic data. A worse-than-expected unemployment report on Friday marked the beginning of a technical recession, as defined by the Sahm Rule. This rule identifies a recession when the three-month average unemployment rate rises by at least half a percentage point from its lowest point in the past year.

Friday’s figures met this threshold, signaling an abrupt economic downshift. Consequently, investors sought safer assets, leading to declines in major stock indices: the S&P 500 dropped 2%, the Nasdaq 2.5%, and the Dow 1.5%. This trend continued into Monday with further sell-offs overseas.

The crypto market’s rapid decline raises questions about its role as either a speculative asset or a hedge against inflation and recession. Despite hopes that crypto could act as a risk hedge, the recent crash suggests it remains a speculative investment.

Since the downturn, the crypto market has seen its largest three-day sell-off in nearly a year, losing over $500 billion in market value. According to CoinGlass data, this bloodbath wiped out more than $1 billion in leveraged positions within the last 24 hours, including $365 million in Bitcoin and $348 million in Ether.

Khushboo Khullar of Lightning Ventures, speaking to Bloomberg, argued that the crypto sell-off is part of a broader liquidity panic as traders rush to cover margin calls. Khullar views this as a temporary sell-off, presenting a potential buying opportunity.

Josh Gilbert, an eToro market analyst, supports Khullar’s perspective, suggesting that the expected Federal Reserve rate cuts could benefit crypto assets. “Crypto assets have sold off, but many investors will see an opportunity. We see Federal Reserve rate cuts, which are now likely to come sharper than expected, as hugely positive for crypto assets,” Gilbert told Coindesk.

Despite the recent volatility, crypto continues to make strides toward mainstream acceptance. Notably, Morgan Stanley will allow its advisors to offer Bitcoin ETFs starting Wednesday. This follows more than half a year after the introduction of the first Bitcoin ETF. The investment bank will enable over 15,000 of its financial advisors to sell BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC. This move is seen as a significant step toward the “mainstreamization” of crypto, given the lengthy regulatory and company processes in major investment banks.

The recent crypto market downturn highlights its volatility and the broader economic concerns affecting all risk assets. While some analysts see the current situation as a temporary sell-off and a buying opportunity, others caution against the speculative nature of crypto. As the market evolves, its role as a mainstream alternative asset continues to grow, marked by increasing institutional acceptance and new investment opportunities.

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