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High inflation 'is keeping us up at night,' says Bank of Canada senior deputy governor – Financial Post

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Carolyn Rogers does not rule out 75-basis-point hike in July

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The Bank of Canada’s senior deputy governor said inflation is keeping the central bankers “up at night” and did not rule out a three-quarter point hike after data revealed CPI has hit a near 40-year high.

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Carolyn Rogers reacted to the 7.7 per cent gain in the inflation rate hours after Statistics Canada released the data on Wednesday, calling it an “unwelcome number,” but not “an entirely unexpected number” at a Globe and Mail event.

Canadian consumer prices increased in May at rates not seen since January 1983, beating economists’ forecasts and turning up the pressure on the central bank to follow the U.S. Federal Reserve with a supersized 75-basis-point hike.

The inflation rate is higher than the 6.8 per cent reading in April and far above the Bank of Canada’s own forecast that it would average 5.8 per cent this quarter.

“Inflation is too high; it’s hurting Canadians,” Rogers said at the Toronto conference. “It’s keeping us up at night and we will not rest easy until we get it back down to target… That’s why we’re raising interest rates and as we say, we’re raising them quite aggressively.”

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Rogers echoed other executives at the bank, such as deputy governor Paul Beaudry, who have suggested interest rates may need to exceed the neutral rate — a range estimated at around two and three per cent — to neither boost nor restrain economic growth.

When asked if that meant a 75-basis-point hike at the bank’s next decision due on July 13, Rogers did not rule out the possibility.

“We’ll take the July decision when we get to July,” she said. “We’ve been clear all along, the economy is in excess demand, inflation is too high, rates need to go up.”

More economists, such as Royce Mendes, managing director and head of macro strategy at Desjardins Group, expect the central bank to unleash a “jumbo-sized” 75-basis point hike. The central bank should have made such a move earlier this month to get a handle on prices, Mendes said.

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Rogers pointed to rampant inflation as a risk and said the most important task right now is to get inflation back to target (between two and three per cent) with “the least amount of unintended consequences possible.”

  1. A vendor in Toronto's St. Lawrence Market shows off his produce. The cost of Statistics Canada's food basket rose 9.7 per cent in May from a year earlier.

    Inflation surges to 7.7%, fastest since 1983: What Canadians need to know

  2. Economists expect the Bank of Canada to raise interest rates by 75 basis points next month.

    What economists say about soaring inflation and the Bank of Canada

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    Milk prices are going up again as critics say dairy decisions too secretive

  4. Canadian Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance Chrystia Freeland, right, and U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen before a meeting in Toronto.

    Freeland says Ottawa ‘prepared to do more’ if inflation stays hot

“We see a path to do that. Our view is that we can take some of the excess demand out of the economy and bring it back into balance,” she said.

Hikes that have brought the bank’s benchmark rate from 0.25 per cent early this year to 1.5 per cent are already having an effect, she said.

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“We are seeing moderation in the housing market… We know the parts of the economy that are most sensitive to interest rate changes are where Canadians borrow, that’s how monetary policy works, it works in bringing borrowing costs up. The demand economy is dependent on borrowing, you’ll see a quick reaction…”

Rogers reiterated that while the central bank was watching this part of the economy very closely, monetary policy would focus on taming inflation that affects all Canadians through the cost of groceries, gasoline and other items.

The bank also thinks global inflation will start to ease as the lingering effects of the pandemic recede, she said.

Additional reporting by Reuters 

• Email: shughes@postmedia.com | Twitter:

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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