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The Bank of Canada’s senior deputy governor said inflation is keeping the central bankers “up at night” and did not rule out a three-quarter point hike after data revealed CPI has hit a near 40-year high.
Carolyn Rogers does not rule out 75-basis-point hike in July
The Bank of Canada’s senior deputy governor said inflation is keeping the central bankers “up at night” and did not rule out a three-quarter point hike after data revealed CPI has hit a near 40-year high.
Carolyn Rogers reacted to the 7.7 per cent gain in the inflation rate hours after Statistics Canada released the data on Wednesday, calling it an “unwelcome number,” but not “an entirely unexpected number” at a Globe and Mail event.
Canadian consumer prices increased in May at rates not seen since January 1983, beating economists’ forecasts and turning up the pressure on the central bank to follow the U.S. Federal Reserve with a supersized 75-basis-point hike.
The inflation rate is higher than the 6.8 per cent reading in April and far above the Bank of Canada’s own forecast that it would average 5.8 per cent this quarter.
“Inflation is too high; it’s hurting Canadians,” Rogers said at the Toronto conference. “It’s keeping us up at night and we will not rest easy until we get it back down to target… That’s why we’re raising interest rates and as we say, we’re raising them quite aggressively.”
Rogers echoed other executives at the bank, such as deputy governor Paul Beaudry, who have suggested interest rates may need to exceed the neutral rate — a range estimated at around two and three per cent — to neither boost nor restrain economic growth.
When asked if that meant a 75-basis-point hike at the bank’s next decision due on July 13, Rogers did not rule out the possibility.
“We’ll take the July decision when we get to July,” she said. “We’ve been clear all along, the economy is in excess demand, inflation is too high, rates need to go up.”
More economists, such as Royce Mendes, managing director and head of macro strategy at Desjardins Group, expect the central bank to unleash a “jumbo-sized” 75-basis point hike. The central bank should have made such a move earlier this month to get a handle on prices, Mendes said.
Rogers pointed to rampant inflation as a risk and said the most important task right now is to get inflation back to target (between two and three per cent) with “the least amount of unintended consequences possible.”
“We see a path to do that. Our view is that we can take some of the excess demand out of the economy and bring it back into balance,” she said.
Hikes that have brought the bank’s benchmark rate from 0.25 per cent early this year to 1.5 per cent are already having an effect, she said.
“We are seeing moderation in the housing market… We know the parts of the economy that are most sensitive to interest rate changes are where Canadians borrow, that’s how monetary policy works, it works in bringing borrowing costs up. The demand economy is dependent on borrowing, you’ll see a quick reaction…”
Rogers reiterated that while the central bank was watching this part of the economy very closely, monetary policy would focus on taming inflation that affects all Canadians through the cost of groceries, gasoline and other items.
The bank also thinks global inflation will start to ease as the lingering effects of the pandemic recede, she said.
Additional reporting by Reuters
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TOKYO (AP) — Japanese technology group SoftBank swung back to profitability in the July-September quarter, boosted by positive results in its Vision Fund investments.
Tokyo-based SoftBank Group Corp. reported Tuesday a fiscal second quarter profit of nearly 1.18 trillion yen ($7.7 billion), compared with a 931 billion yen loss in the year-earlier period.
Quarterly sales edged up about 6% to nearly 1.77 trillion yen ($11.5 billion).
SoftBank credited income from royalties and licensing related to its holdings in Arm, a computer chip-designing company, whose business spans smartphones, data centers, networking equipment, automotive, consumer electronic devices, and AI applications.
The results were also helped by the absence of losses related to SoftBank’s investment in office-space sharing venture WeWork, which hit the previous fiscal year.
WeWork, which filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in 2023, emerged from Chapter 11 in June.
SoftBank has benefitted in recent months from rising share prices in some investment, such as U.S.-based e-commerce company Coupang, Chinese mobility provider DiDi Global and Bytedance, the Chinese developer of TikTok.
SoftBank’s financial results tend to swing wildly, partly because of its sprawling investment portfolio that includes search engine Yahoo, Chinese retailer Alibaba, and artificial intelligence company Nvidia.
SoftBank makes investments in a variety of companies that it groups together in a series of Vision Funds.
The company’s founder, Masayoshi Son, is a pioneer in technology investment in Japan. SoftBank Group does not give earnings forecasts.
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The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.
Shopify Inc. executives brushed off concerns that incoming U.S. President Donald Trump will be a major detriment to many of the company’s merchants.
“There’s nothing in what we’ve heard from Trump, nor would there have been anything from (Democratic candidate) Kamala (Harris), which we think impacts the overall state of new business formation and entrepreneurship,” Shopify’s chief financial officer Jeff Hoffmeister told analysts on a call Tuesday.
“We still feel really good about all the merchants out there, all the entrepreneurs that want to start new businesses and that’s obviously not going to change with the administration.”
Hoffmeister’s comments come a week after Trump, a Republican businessman, trounced Harris in an election that will soon return him to the Oval Office.
On the campaign trail, he threatened to impose tariffs of 60 per cent on imports from China and roughly 10 per cent to 20 per cent on goods from all other countries.
If the president-elect makes good on the promise, many worry the cost of operating will soar for companies, including customers of Shopify, which sells e-commerce software to small businesses but also brands as big as Kylie Cosmetics and Victoria’s Secret.
These merchants may feel they have no choice but to pass on the increases to customers, perhaps sparking more inflation.
If Trump’s tariffs do come to fruition, Shopify’s president Harley Finkelstein pointed out China is “not a huge area” for Shopify.
However, “we can’t anticipate what every presidential administration is going to do,” he cautioned.
He likened the uncertainty facing the business community to the COVID-19 pandemic where Shopify had to help companies migrate online.
“Our job is no matter what comes the way of our merchants, we provide them with tools and service and support for them to navigate it really well,” he said.
Finkelstein was questioned about the forthcoming U.S. leadership change on a call meant to delve into Shopify’s latest earnings, which sent shares soaring 27 per cent to $158.63 shortly after Tuesday’s market open.
The Ottawa-based company, which keeps its books in U.S. dollars, reported US$828 million in net income for its third quarter, up from US$718 million in the same quarter last year, as its revenue rose 26 per cent.
Revenue for the period ended Sept. 30 totalled US$2.16 billion, up from US$1.71 billion a year earlier.
Subscription solutions revenue reached US$610 million, up from US$486 million in the same quarter last year.
Merchant solutions revenue amounted to US$1.55 billion, up from US$1.23 billion.
Shopify’s net income excluding the impact of equity investments totalled US$344 million for the quarter, up from US$173 million in the same quarter last year.
Daniel Chan, a TD Cowen analyst, said the results show Shopify has a leadership position in the e-commerce world and “a continued ability to gain market share.”
In its outlook for its fourth quarter of 2024, the company said it expects revenue to grow at a mid-to-high-twenties percentage rate on a year-over-year basis.
“Q4 guidance suggests Shopify will finish the year strong, with better-than-expected revenue growth and operating margin,” Chan pointed out in a note to investors.
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.
Companies in this story: (TSX:SHOP)
The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.
TORONTO – RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust says it has cut almost 10 per cent of its staff as it deals with a slowdown in the condo market and overall pushes for greater efficiency.
The company says the cuts, which amount to around 60 employees based on its last annual filing, will mean about $9 million in restructuring charges and should translate to about $8 million in annualized cash savings.
The job cuts come as RioCan and others scale back condo development plans as the market softens, but chief executive Jonathan Gitlin says the reductions were from a companywide efficiency effort.
RioCan says it doesn’t plan to start any new construction of mixed-use properties this year and well into 2025 as it adjusts to the shifting market demand.
The company reported a net income of $96.9 million in the third quarter, up from a loss of $73.5 million last year, as it saw a $159 million boost from a favourable change in the fair value of investment properties.
RioCan reported what it says is a record-breaking 97.8 per cent occupancy rate in the quarter including retail committed occupancy of 98.6 per cent.
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.
Companies in this story: (TSX:REI.UN)
The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.
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