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Highlights from Berkshire Hathaway’s annual report and Warren Buffett’s letter By Investing.com

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© Reuters.

By Daniel Shvartsman

Investing.com — Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:) (NYSE:), the Warren Buffett-led insurance and industrial conglomerate, reported record operating earnings in 2022 even as its net income line showed deep losses due to the bear market on Wall Street last year.

Berkshire Hathaway’s operating earnings, which is Buffett’s preferred figure to measure the company’s growth as it is adjusted to remove net capital gains or losses during the year, was $30.79B, 12.2% above 2021’s figure. GAAP net income came in as a loss of $22.8B. In his annual letter to shareholders that came out Saturday, Buffett reiterated his preference to focus on operating earnings, saying that capital gains’ “quarter-by-quarter gyrations, regularly and mindlessly headlined by media, totally misinform investors.”

Indeed, Berkshire Hathaway’s book value also dropped in 2022, with the drop in Berkshire’s equity securities’ value amounting to more than the book value drop.

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Berkshire Hathaway’s annual report, Buffett’s annual letter, and Berkshire’s annual shareholder meeting in May are all hotly followed as indicators of the state of the economy, both given Buffett’s accumulated insight into the state of the economy – with his partner and Berkshire Hathaway vice chairman Charlie Munger – and Berkshire Hathaway’s conglomerate nature, which offers read-throughs to the wider economy.

Here are some highlights from Buffett’s letter and the report:

In defense of capitalism, the U.S., and Berkshire’s corporate citizenship

Buffett’s letter was short on comments about his portfolio, the post-Buffett future of Berkshire Hathaway, or whether the market is more fairly valued after saying ‘little excites us’ a year ago.

Instead, he seemed to make a philosophical and political argument. Buffett made clear the value of share buybacks, noting that Berkshire Hathaway reduced the share count 1.2% from the 2021 annual report to the 2022 annual report (buying back $7.85 billion in shares in 2022) to the benefit of shareholders. But he also stated that, “When you are told that all repurchases are harmful to shareholders or to the country, or particularly beneficial to CEOs, you are listening to either an economic illiterate or a silver-tongued demagogue (characters that are not mutually exclusive),” pushing back on criticism but also perhaps the calls for .

Buffett also spent a section of the letter pointing out that Berkshire paid $32 billion in corporate taxes in the decade ending 2021, amounting to .1% of all federal taxes collected in that period, as a reminder that Berkshire is doing its part. This, combined with his praise of Berkshire Hathaway shareholders who tend to donate their wealth to charity, amounted to defense of Berkshire’s position in the U.S. social fabric.

He coupled that with his continued defense of America, however, saying, “I have yet to see a time when it made sense to make a long-term bet against America. And I doubt very much that any reader of this letter will have a different experience in the future.

A turning point for GEICO?

Berkshire’s insurance businesses ended up posting a $90 million loss for the year, but Q4 marked a gain of $234 million. GEICO has been the main cause of the loss as compared to past years, struggling with pricing amidst increased claims severity (in part related to used car price inflation).

The auto insurer still lost $440M in Q4, but this was a narrowing compared to Q3. The report cited a reduction in underwriting expenses related to less advertising, an 8.9% drop in policies in force for the year, and an 11.3% increase in average premium pricing for the year. This suggests GEICO is competing less for less-profitable business and adjusting to the increased severity. Throw in any moderation for used car inflation – claims severities were up 14-16% for collision and 21-22% for property damage – and GEICO may have a stronger 2023.

Berkshire at least thinks so, saying it expects an underwriting profit for the year from the unit.

Inflation Vs. Recession

Berkshire’s various businesses struggled with cost inflation and lessening volumes while also benefiting from price inflation. The question is whether those dynamics continue, or whether a recession or conversely a soft landing plays out.

Berkshire’s railroad segment grew revenues 11.9% but operating earnings drop 2.4% and net earnings drop .7% due to this prices up but costs up and volumes down dynamic. The energy and utilities business grew earnings by 9.3%, and the manufacturing segment grew earnings 12.5%. But in regard to the latter, the firm wrote that, “demand began to weaken in the second half of the year at certain of our businesses.”

The importance of long-term investing

While Buffett didn’t comment much on Berkshire Hathaway’s portfolio positions, he talked about the secret sauce to their investment strategy: long-term thinking, and focus.

Buffett cited Berkshire’s positions in Coca-Cola (NYSE:) and American Express (NYSE:), where the buying was mostly done in 1994 and 1995 for $1.3 billion each, and which now return dividends to Berkshire of a combined $1 billion (a 38.5% yield on cost). Pleasing, but “far from spectacular”, Buffett wrote. The key is the capital appreciation, as he noted that each position amounts to 5% of Berkshire’s current net worth, at $25 billion (Coke) and $22 billion (Amex) respectively.

Buffett’s conclusion: “The lesson for investors: The weeds wither away in significance as the flowers bloom. Over time, it takes just a few winners to work wonders. And, yes, it helps to start early and live into your 90s as well.”

This might explain why the firm’s most recent form 13F filing didn’t contain : not everything happens in a given quarter.

Catch up on historic statistics about Berkshire Hathaway.

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Private equity gears up for potential National Football League investments – Financial Times

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Investment Opportunities With Hot Inflation, Higher-for-Longer Interest Rates – Bloomberg

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Like a bad houseguest, hotter-than-expected inflation continues to linger in the US.

Traders had hoped by now the Federal Reserve would be free to start cutting interest rates — boosting rate-sensitive stocks and unlocking a largely frozen real estate market. Instead, stubborn price growth has some on Wall Street rethinking whether the central bank will lower rates at all this year.

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Want to Outperform 88% of Professional Fund Managers? Buy This 1 Investment and Hold It Forever. – The Motley Fool

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You don’t have to be a stock market genius to outperform most pros.

You might not think it’s possible to outperform the average Wall Street professional with just a single investment. Fund managers are highly educated and steeped in market data. They get paid a lot of money to make smart investments.

But the truth is, most of them may not be worth the money. With the right steps, individual investors can outperform the majority of active large-cap mutual fund managers over the long run. You don’t need a doctorate or MBA, and you certainly don’t need to follow the everyday goings-on in the stock market. You just need to buy a single investment and hold it forever.

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That’s because 88% of active large-cap fund managers have underperformed the S&P 500 index over the last 15 years thru Dec. 31, 2023, according to S&P Global’s most recent SPIVA (S&P Indices Versus Active) scorecard. So if you buy a simple S&P 500 index fund like the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO -0.23%), chances are that your investment will outperform the average active mutual fund in the long run.

Image source: Getty Images.

Why is it so hard for fund managers to outperform the S&P 500?

It’s a good bet that the average fund manager is hardworking and well-trained. But there are at least two big factors working against active fund managers.

The first is that institutional investors make up roughly 80% of all trading in the U.S. stock market — far higher than it was years ago when retail investors dominated the market. That means a professional investor is mostly trading shares with another manager who is also very knowledgeable, making it much harder to gain an edge and outperform the benchmark index.

The more basic problem, though, is that fund managers don’t just need to outperform their benchmark index. They need to beat the index by a wide enough margin to justify the fees they charge. And that reduces the odds that any given large-cap fund manager will be able to outperform an S&P 500 index fund by a significant amount.

The SPIVA scorecard found that just 40% of large-cap fund managers outperformed the S&P 500 in 2023 once you factor in fees. So if the odds of outperforming fall to 40-60 for a single year, you can see how the odds of beating the index consistently over the long run could go way down.

What Warren Buffett recommends over any other single investment

Warren Buffett is one of the smartest investors around, and he can’t think of a single better investment than an S&P 500 index fund. He recommends it even above his own company, Berkshire Hathaway.

In his 2016 letter to shareholders, Buffett shared a rough calculation that the search for superior investment advice had cost investors, in aggregate, $100 billion over the previous decade relative to investing in a simple index fund.

Even Berkshire Hathaway holds two small positions in S&P 500 index funds. You’ll find shares of the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF and the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEMKT: SPY) in Berkshire’s quarterly disclosures. Both are great options for index investors, offering low expense ratios and low tracking errors (a measure of how closely an ETF price follows the underlying index). There are plenty of other solid index funds you could buy, but either of the above is an excellent option as a starting point.

Adam Levy has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Vanguard S&P 500 ETF. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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