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Housing sales in London, Ont., hit ‘historic’ low in November

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Residential home sales in London, Ont., declined in November, with the number of transactions down to nearly half of what they were during the peak of the  pandemic three years ago, according to a local realtor.

It’s a ‘historic low’ — and a trend that’s expected to continue into the first quarter of 2024, as more home buyers feel cautious amid inflation and high interest rates on mortgages, said Marcus Plowright, owner of RE/MAX Hallmark A Team real estate brokerage in London.

“We had 420 transactions residentially in London in November of this year, and that was a pretty significant reduction to the historical average. We did over 800 transactions in November during the height of the intense real estate market that we were experiencing a few years ago,” he said.

“Looking back five years ago, it’s still significantly less than we were experiencing on an average pre-COVID volume in November, which would’ve been 20 per cent higher than this year.”

Plowright believes pent up demand and a year of continual interest rate hikes have left consumers feeling less confident in the real estate market altogether, he said.

On Wednesday, the Bank of Canada announced it will hold interest rates at a steady five per cent into the new year since raising them to the current rate in July, as Canada’s economy shows signs of cooling down.

“The fad has done it’s job of making everybody think around the verge of a recession. They’re trying to slow down the economy to slow inflation down — and it’s dramatically working,” said Plowright.

Dallas Martin, an agent with the Mortgage Firm in London, said he’s glad the central bank hasn’t raised interest rates because doing so would increase pressures that Canadians are already under, raising concerns that more people will default on their mortgages.

“The potential of people defaulting their mortgages is probably based on their affordability,” he said. “If their monthly mortgage payment is higher due to high interest rates and the cost of living that’s through the roof, then everything adds up. For a lot of people, it’s either the roof over their head or food on the table.”

Housing inventory not keeping up with immigration

Marcus Plowright is the owner at A Team London Real Estate Brokerage. He says transactions in November 2023 are less than half of what they were in November 2020
Marcus Plowright is the owner at RE/MAX Hallmark A Team real estate brokerage in London. He says transactions in November 2023 are less than half of what they were in November 2020. (Submitted by A Team London Real Estate Brokerage)

Median house prices in London last month were around $565,000, Plowright said, adding housing inventory above that number sits at around 1,500 but the amount of houses below the median is only about 400.

“We have about two months inventory of what we would term affordable — less than $565,000 — and we have seven months inventory of house listed above that,” he said. “The moral of that story is it’s much more challenging to find and buy the lower-end than it is the upper-end.”

Both Plowright and Martin predict if interest rates go down, house prices may increase. Another factor contributing to increased home prices is immigration levels, they both said.

“A lot of people are immigrating here from overseas and they’re going to need places to live too, but we don’t have enough houses. Right now, even rent is super expensive, especially in Ontario and London specifically,” said Martin.

The rental pool of housing has not grown enough to keep up with the pace of immigration to London, and policy makers need to consider when they talk about the housing crisis, said Plowright.

“Affordability won’t improve, simply because interest rate reductions will be offset by house price increases,” he said.

“We don’t desperately need million-dollar houses, we desperately need affordable rental housing.”

 

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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