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Economy

How Canada Makes Its Money

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Economic diversity is the key to Canada’s success at making money—when one part of the country is suffering economically, another is booming. Canada is the second-largest country in the world with a surface area of over 3.8 million square miles.1 There are about 38 million people living in Canada, and with a gross domestic product (GDP) of over $1.73 trillion, it’s the tenth largest economy in the world.2

3 Four industries that bring in a good portion of the revenue for Canada are 1) oil and gas, 2) energy, 3) manufacturing, and 4) tourism.

Oil & Gas

The oil and gas industry is a large part of the Canadian economy, and it suffered immensely when the price of oil fell in late 2014. While the price-per-barrel has rebounded somewhat since hitting a low in early 2016, the myriad of factors that impact the price of oil (and can cause it to fluctuate dramatically) have given Canada the incentive to diversify into other energy revenue sources.7https://76821752109848969f7570b823586b33.safeframe.googlesyndication.com/safeframe/1-0-38/html/container.html

Canada’s Oil Provinces

Canada currently has the third-largest oil patch in the world, most of it in oil sands and crude. Oil is found throughout Canada, with the largest onshore reserves being in the western provinces of Alberta, and Saskatchewan. There is also oil offshore near the provinces of Newfoundland and Nova Scotia.8https://76821752109848969f7570b823586b33.safeframe.googlesyndication.com/safeframe/1-0-38/html/container.html

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Alberta is an oil province. The Athabasca Oil Sands are still far from their peak production, yet, with the province collecting royalties on each barrel sold, almost 30% of the province’s revenue comes from oil.9 10 This figure is alarming to some, and, as can be expected, a fall in the price of oil can lead to a budgetary crisis.

Other Oil Industries

In addition to oil production, the western provinces are also home to oil-related industries. From exploration to petrochemicals to plastics, Canada earns a lot of money from oil. The two largest cities in Alberta—Edmonton and Calgary—are home to hundreds of oil headquarters and laboratories. In the north, cities have been built for the sole purpose of supporting the oil and gas industry.https://76821752109848969f7570b823586b33.safeframe.googlesyndication.com/safeframe/1-0-38/html/container.html

Canada exports about 3.7 million of the 4.6 million barrels of crude oil it produces a day. Most of these exports go to the United States through various pipelines. Canadian oil companies are hoping to begin exporting oil to new markets—provided they can get pipelines built to ferry the oil away from the landlocked, northern oil patches.https://76821752109848969f7570b823586b33.safeframe.googlesyndication.com/safeframe/1-0-38/html/container.html

Energy

Oil and gas aren’t the only energy revenue sources in Canada. The country has huge coal deposits in the western provinces of British Columbia an Alberta that are exported to Asian countries.11 The province of Quebec has uranium and other mineral mines, and Alberta, Quebec, Nova Scotia, and Prince Edward Island are home to many wind farms.12 13

The big energy earner, though, comes from a mostly renewable, alternative energy source: hydroelectricity. Hydro plants are found in every province except Prince Edward Island, and while a lot of it is cheaply sold to and used by Canadians, several provinces export a much larger percentage than they consume.14 Quebec, for example, exports hydro-electricity to Vermont, Massachusetts, and New York, in addition to selling it to other provinces. The Pacific Northwest and northern Midwest also import Canadian hydro-electricity.15

Manufacturing

The Canadian dollar has been declining at a rapid pace: $1 USD could buy $1.07 CAD in July 2014; it can fetch $1.33 CAD as of Feb. 2020.16 While Canadians now have to pay more for imports, the weak dollar is great news for the Canadian manufacturing sector, which produces food, machinery, motor vehicles, and aerospace manufacturing.

The central province of Ontario has been building cars for General Motors (GM), Ford (F), and Chrysler for at least 50 years, and the Ambassador Bridge, which connects Detroit to the Canadian automotive city of Windsor, carries 30% of Canada’s exports by road.17 18 Quebec is home to Bombardier, a company that designs and builds snowmobiles, buses, aircraft, and trains that are sold internationally.19

Tourism

Canada is the second-largest country in the world and has a very diverse geography, history, and culture, making it a prime tourist destination.1 The country’s diversity, as well as hosting three Olympic Games and having 20 UNESCO World Heritage Sites, means there is something for everyone in Canada.20 21 In the northern territories, visitors can see the Northern Lights and explore the polar ice fields. They can check out Vancouver, the Rocky Mountains, dinosaur parks, festivals, and museums in the western provinces.

In the central and eastern provinces, tourists can visit historical sites, Niagara Falls, Montreal, Quebec City, and Ottawa, as well as hundreds of museums and festivals. There are national parks throughout the country that are worth a trip for the nature-loving traveler.

The tourism industry in Canada employs 1.7 million people and is supported by 22.1 million international visitors each year.22 5 With $92 billion in annual revenue, tourism accounts for a $34 billion increase to the Canadian GDP.22

About 70% of the overseas tourists to Canada came from the United States in 2019, spending $10.6 billion during their stay according to the most recent estimates from 2018.23 5

Other Revenue Sources

Agriculture

Farms cover the Canadian countryside with the obvious exception of the northern territories. Canadian farms grow grain, fruits, and vegetables, along with raising cattle for dairy and meat. Crops are also transformed into a variety of products, not limited to wine, beer, candy, and whiskey. Canada is also a big producer of honey and of maple syrup, and large percentages of the country’s agricultural products and by-products are exported.24 25 26

Fishing

Despite fishing being the sole economic resource for many coastal communities, the fishery industry is not well-known to most Canadians. The fishing industry employs approximately 75,000 people and adds about $6 billion to the economy.27 28

Government

Lastly, the government is the main provider of education and health care in the country. Education until high school is, more or less, free, and post-secondary education is relatively low, and often subsidized.29 Medically necessary health care is provided free of charge by the government.30 As a major employer in each province, the federal government ensures a steady income for about 288,000 Canadians.6

The Bottom Line

If visitors were to come to Canada to view the ways that Canada makes money, they would be overwhelmed with the stops on the tour. However, despite a diversified economy and strong economic plans for the future, the Canadian economy has shown modest growth. Real GDP gained only 1.65% in 2019 and is forecasted to grow by 1.8% in 2020.31

For Canada to continue to make money and improve its prospects, experts say more money will need to be spent on business investment.32 The Canadian government, on the other hand, is under pressure to maintain fiscal responsibility, which could put a damper on efforts to grow the economy through various business sectors.

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Economy

Biden's Hot Economy Stokes Currency Fears for the Rest of World – Bloomberg

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As Joe Biden this week hailed America’s booming economy as the strongest in the world during a reelection campaign tour of battleground-state Pennsylvania, global finance chiefs convening in Washington had a different message: cool it.

The push-back from central bank governors and finance ministers gathering for the International Monetary Fund-World Bank spring meetings highlight how the sting from a surging US economy — manifested through high interest rates and a strong dollar — is ricocheting around the world by forcing other currencies lower and complicating plans to bring down borrowing costs.

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Economy

Opinion: Higher capital gains taxes won't work as claimed, but will harm the economy – The Globe and Mail

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Open this photo in gallery:

Canada’s Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland hold the 2024-25 budget, on Parliament Hill in Ottawa, on April 16.Patrick Doyle/Reuters

Alex Whalen and Jake Fuss are analysts at the Fraser Institute.

Amid a federal budget riddled with red ink and tax hikes, the Trudeau government has increased capital gains taxes. The move will be disastrous for Canada’s growth prospects and its already-lagging investment climate, and to make matters worse, research suggests it won’t work as planned.

Currently, individuals and businesses who sell a capital asset in Canada incur capital gains taxes at a 50-per-cent inclusion rate, which means that 50 per cent of the gain in the asset’s value is subject to taxation at the individual or business’s marginal tax rate. The Trudeau government is raising this inclusion rate to 66.6 per cent for all businesses, trusts and individuals with capital gains over $250,000.

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The problems with hiking capital gains taxes are numerous.

First, capital gains are taxed on a “realization” basis, which means the investor does not incur capital gains taxes until the asset is sold. According to empirical evidence, this creates a “lock-in” effect where investors have an incentive to keep their capital invested in a particular asset when they might otherwise sell.

For example, investors may delay selling capital assets because they anticipate a change in government and a reversal back to the previous inclusion rate. This means the Trudeau government is likely overestimating the potential revenue gains from its capital gains tax hike, given that individual investors will adjust the timing of their asset sales in response to the tax hike.

Second, the lock-in effect creates a drag on economic growth as it incentivizes investors to hold off selling their assets when they otherwise might, preventing capital from being deployed to its most productive use and therefore reducing growth.

Budget’s capital gains tax changes divide the small business community

And Canada’s growth prospects and investment climate have both been in decline. Canada currently faces the lowest growth prospects among all OECD countries in terms of GDP per person. Further, between 2014 and 2021, business investment (adjusted for inflation) in Canada declined by $43.7-billion. Hiking taxes on capital will make both pressing issues worse.

Contrary to the government’s framing – that this move only affects the wealthy – lagging business investment and slow growth affect all Canadians through lower incomes and living standards. Capital taxes are among the most economically damaging forms of taxation precisely because they reduce the incentive to innovate and invest. And while taxes on capital gains do raise revenue, the economic costs exceed the amount of tax collected.

Previous governments in Canada understood these facts. In the 2000 federal budget, then-finance minister Paul Martin said a “key factor contributing to the difficulty of raising capital by new startups is the fact that individuals who sell existing investments and reinvest in others must pay tax on any realized capital gains,” an explicit acknowledgment of the lock-in effect and costs of capital gains taxes. Further, that Liberal government reduced the capital gains inclusion rate, acknowledging the importance of a strong investment climate.

At a time when Canada badly needs to improve the incentives to invest, the Trudeau government’s 2024 budget has introduced a damaging tax hike. In delivering the budget, Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland said “Canada, a growing country, needs to make investments in our country and in Canadians right now.” Individuals and businesses across the country likely agree on the importance of investment. Hiking capital gains taxes will achieve the exact opposite effect.

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Economy

Nigeria's Economy, Once Africa's Biggest, Slips to Fourth Place – Bloomberg

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Nigeria’s economy, which ranked as Africa’s largest in 2022, is set to slip to fourth place this year and Egypt, which held the top position in 2023, is projected to fall to second behind South Africa after a series of currency devaluations, International Monetary Fund forecasts show.

The IMF’s World Economic Outlook estimates Nigeria’s gross domestic product at $253 billion based on current prices this year, lagging energy-rich Algeria at $267 billion, Egypt at $348 billion and South Africa at $373 billion.

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