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How Higher Interest Rates Are Affecting Canadians (and How to Invest Accordingly)

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Since 2022, the Bank of Canada has increased the policy interest rate by 4.50-4.75%. Higher interest rates have made Canadians with variable interest rate debt experience a climb in interest expense over time.

Interestingly, Canadians are keeping up with their mortgage payments. A Ratehub article titled “Can your mortgage lender force you to sell your home through power of sale?” that was published on June 15 noted that “according to data from Equifax, 0.15% of mortgages are overdue by 90 days or more compared with 0.21% at the same time in 2021.”

Canadians may be prioritizing their mortgage payments over other loans, as no one wants to lose their home that they’ve worked so hard to get (and began building equity in). The article also wrote, “Other professional worriers are looking at the number of non-mortgage loans that are behind on payments. Excluding mortgages, 1.10% of Canadian loans are at least 90 days past due, an increase of more than 25% since this time last year.”

The capital tightening makes it harder for anyone to qualify for financing. For example, the article stated, “Rising interest rates have pushed home values down, made it harder to qualify for financing, and extended the time it takes to sell a home. Where overextended homeowners could quickly sell for a profit in previous years, that’s not always the case anymore.”

Get more monthly income from quality Canadian REITs

Higher interest rates have also weighed on stock valuations, including Canadian real estate investment trusts (REITs). Here are a couple of the top Canadian REITs Canadian investors can consider on the pullback for more monthly income. Compound interest could be more effective when you’re able to reinvest your cash distributions sooner.

Choice Properties REIT

Choice Properties REIT (TSX:CHP.UN) is a defensive REIT with a focus on grocery-anchored retail real estate properties that guarantee regular foot traffic. Specifically, across its 703 properties, about 82% is necessity-based retail properties. Based on net operating income, the portfolio has about 80% in this kind of defensive retail properties, 15% in industrial properties, and 5% in mixed-use and residential properties.

Its largest tenant is Loblaw, which contributed 57% of its gross rental revenue in the first quarter (Q1). Not surprisingly, its Q1 occupancy remained high at approximately 97.7%. Year over year, it also witnessed its same-asset net operating income rising 4.6%. The REIT currently has an investment-grade DBRS credit rating of BBB.

The stock is down about 16% from its 52-week high. At $13.17 per unit, the stock offers a cash-distribution yield of about 5.7%. The analyst consensus 12-month price target represents a discount of 17% or near-term upside potential of just north of 20%. If the REIT sector continues to be pressured, the stock could dip to roughly $12.50.

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Granite REIT

If you want greater exposure to the higher-growth market of industrial properties, you can explore Granite REIT (TSX:GRT.UN) on this pullback. The demand for industrial properties continues to be strong, as suggested by Granite REIT’s recent high occupancy of about 99.6%.

Its portfolio is diversified across 128 income-producing properties and 12 development properties or land. Additionally, it has a track record of increasing its cash distribution by 12 consecutive years with a 10-year cash-distribution growth rate of 4.5%.

The stock is 17% lower from its 52-week high. At $73.43 per unit, the industrial REIT offers a cash distribution yield of almost 4.4%. The analyst consensus price target implies a discount of 25% or near-term upside potential of 33%.

Investor takeaway

On the pullback from higher interest rates, investors should consider capturing shares from quality REITs opportunistically on pullbacks for greater monthly income.

 

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Japan’s SoftBank returns to profit after gains at Vision Fund and other investments

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TOKYO (AP) — Japanese technology group SoftBank swung back to profitability in the July-September quarter, boosted by positive results in its Vision Fund investments.

Tokyo-based SoftBank Group Corp. reported Tuesday a fiscal second quarter profit of nearly 1.18 trillion yen ($7.7 billion), compared with a 931 billion yen loss in the year-earlier period.

Quarterly sales edged up about 6% to nearly 1.77 trillion yen ($11.5 billion).

SoftBank credited income from royalties and licensing related to its holdings in Arm, a computer chip-designing company, whose business spans smartphones, data centers, networking equipment, automotive, consumer electronic devices, and AI applications.

The results were also helped by the absence of losses related to SoftBank’s investment in office-space sharing venture WeWork, which hit the previous fiscal year.

WeWork, which filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in 2023, emerged from Chapter 11 in June.

SoftBank has benefitted in recent months from rising share prices in some investment, such as U.S.-based e-commerce company Coupang, Chinese mobility provider DiDi Global and Bytedance, the Chinese developer of TikTok.

SoftBank’s financial results tend to swing wildly, partly because of its sprawling investment portfolio that includes search engine Yahoo, Chinese retailer Alibaba, and artificial intelligence company Nvidia.

SoftBank makes investments in a variety of companies that it groups together in a series of Vision Funds.

The company’s founder, Masayoshi Son, is a pioneer in technology investment in Japan. SoftBank Group does not give earnings forecasts.

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Yuri Kageyama is on X:

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Trump campaign promises unlikely to harm entrepreneurship: Shopify CFO

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Shopify Inc. executives brushed off concerns that incoming U.S. President Donald Trump will be a major detriment to many of the company’s merchants.

“There’s nothing in what we’ve heard from Trump, nor would there have been anything from (Democratic candidate) Kamala (Harris), which we think impacts the overall state of new business formation and entrepreneurship,” Shopify’s chief financial officer Jeff Hoffmeister told analysts on a call Tuesday.

“We still feel really good about all the merchants out there, all the entrepreneurs that want to start new businesses and that’s obviously not going to change with the administration.”

Hoffmeister’s comments come a week after Trump, a Republican businessman, trounced Harris in an election that will soon return him to the Oval Office.

On the campaign trail, he threatened to impose tariffs of 60 per cent on imports from China and roughly 10 per cent to 20 per cent on goods from all other countries.

If the president-elect makes good on the promise, many worry the cost of operating will soar for companies, including customers of Shopify, which sells e-commerce software to small businesses but also brands as big as Kylie Cosmetics and Victoria’s Secret.

These merchants may feel they have no choice but to pass on the increases to customers, perhaps sparking more inflation.

If Trump’s tariffs do come to fruition, Shopify’s president Harley Finkelstein pointed out China is “not a huge area” for Shopify.

However, “we can’t anticipate what every presidential administration is going to do,” he cautioned.

He likened the uncertainty facing the business community to the COVID-19 pandemic where Shopify had to help companies migrate online.

“Our job is no matter what comes the way of our merchants, we provide them with tools and service and support for them to navigate it really well,” he said.

Finkelstein was questioned about the forthcoming U.S. leadership change on a call meant to delve into Shopify’s latest earnings, which sent shares soaring 27 per cent to $158.63 shortly after Tuesday’s market open.

The Ottawa-based company, which keeps its books in U.S. dollars, reported US$828 million in net income for its third quarter, up from US$718 million in the same quarter last year, as its revenue rose 26 per cent.

Revenue for the period ended Sept. 30 totalled US$2.16 billion, up from US$1.71 billion a year earlier.

Subscription solutions revenue reached US$610 million, up from US$486 million in the same quarter last year.

Merchant solutions revenue amounted to US$1.55 billion, up from US$1.23 billion.

Shopify’s net income excluding the impact of equity investments totalled US$344 million for the quarter, up from US$173 million in the same quarter last year.

Daniel Chan, a TD Cowen analyst, said the results show Shopify has a leadership position in the e-commerce world and “a continued ability to gain market share.”

In its outlook for its fourth quarter of 2024, the company said it expects revenue to grow at a mid-to-high-twenties percentage rate on a year-over-year basis.

“Q4 guidance suggests Shopify will finish the year strong, with better-than-expected revenue growth and operating margin,” Chan pointed out in a note to investors.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:SHOP)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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RioCan cuts nearly 10 per cent staff in efficiency push as condo market slows

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TORONTO – RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust says it has cut almost 10 per cent of its staff as it deals with a slowdown in the condo market and overall pushes for greater efficiency.

The company says the cuts, which amount to around 60 employees based on its last annual filing, will mean about $9 million in restructuring charges and should translate to about $8 million in annualized cash savings.

The job cuts come as RioCan and others scale back condo development plans as the market softens, but chief executive Jonathan Gitlin says the reductions were from a companywide efficiency effort.

RioCan says it doesn’t plan to start any new construction of mixed-use properties this year and well into 2025 as it adjusts to the shifting market demand.

The company reported a net income of $96.9 million in the third quarter, up from a loss of $73.5 million last year, as it saw a $159 million boost from a favourable change in the fair value of investment properties.

RioCan reported what it says is a record-breaking 97.8 per cent occupancy rate in the quarter including retail committed occupancy of 98.6 per cent.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:REI.UN)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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