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HSBC says worst over for China real estate as Q3 profit disappoints

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HONG KONG/LONDON Oct 30 (Reuters) – The worst may be over for China’s shaky commercial real estate market, HSBC (HSBA.L) said on Monday, as a further $500 million charge from the sector helped drag third quarter profits at Europe’s biggest bank below market forecasts.

While HSBC announced a new $3 billion share buyback and said profits for July-September more than doubled amid higher interest rates, its shares reacted with a shrug as investors took in the China impairment and increased cost forecasts.

“I do think the major correction (in China’s property market) is over and it’s now a case of a progressive work over an extended period of time,” HSBC Chief Executive Noel Quinn told reporters.

Fears about the debt-laden sector have weighed on foreign banks that lend to developers in China, especially after rival Standard Chartered (STAN.L) reported an unexpected plunge in profit due to a nearly $1 billion hit from real estate and banking.

All eyes are on China’s embattled property giant Evergrande Group (3333.HK) which has more than $300 billion of liabilities after it defaulted on its offshore debt in late 2021.

Hong Kong’s High Court said on Monday the next hearing on Dec. 4 would be the last before a decision is made on liquidating the company.

HSBC finance chief Georges Elhedery said the bank still expected “a couple of quarters of difficulty as the sector adjusts,” but that the longer term outlook was more positive.

Commenting on HSBC’s exposure to China, Hargreaves Lansdown equity analyst Matt Britzman said: “There’s still a cloud of uncertainty hovering over the market, but investors will be happy to see no nasty surprises”.

A man walks past a logo of HSBC at its headquarters in Kuala Lumpur

A man walks past a logo of HSBC at its headquarters in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia August 6, 2019. Picture taken August 6, 2019. REUTERS/Lim Huey Teng/File Photo Acquire Licensing Rights

The bank’s overall results show the hurdles it faces in delivering the consistent returns its investors expect amid high inflation and pressure on borrowers, even as it showers them with cash from dividends and buybacks.

HSBC said costs would increase by up to 5% this year excluding the acquisition of Silicon Valley Bank’s British unit, more than its previous goal of a 3% rise, as spending grows and it considers bigger bonuses for bankers in the fourth quarter.

The bank posted a pretax profit of $7.7 billion for the July to September quarter, versus $3.2 billion a year earlier, but the result trailed the $8.1 billion mean average estimate of brokers compiled by HSBC.

“Costs are likely to be the area of controversy”, said London-based Jefferies analyst Joe Dickerson, though he added the share buyback was $1 billion larger than his forecast.

The London-headquartered bank with a market value of $118.6 billion said it aimed to complete the share buyback by next February, lifting the total buybacks announced this year to $7 billion.

It also set the third interim dividend this year at 10 cents per share, bringing the total annual payout so far to 30 cents per share.

HSBC shares in London were broadly flat, underperforming a 0.7% gain in the benchmark FTSE 100 index (.FTSE).

Third-quarter revenues rose 2% in HSBC’s Global Banking and Markets division that houses its investment bank, a more robust performance than rival Barclays’ BARC.L 6% drop, as HSBC’s large payments business benefited from higher interest rates.

The bank’s wealth business, which it is prioritising for growth, attracted $34 billion of net new invested assets in the quarter and revenues have grown 12% so far this year as rate hikes let it reap bigger margins on lending.

Reporting by Selena Li in Hong Kong and Lawrence White in London
Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman and Mark Potter

 

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‘The Bidding War’ taps into Toronto’s real estate anxiety

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‘The Bidding War’ is a play skewering Toronto’s real estate market via a story about a one-day bidding war over the city’s last affordable home. The cast and crew say it exposes how the housing crisis brings out “the worst in people.” (Nov. 12, 2024)

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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