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In South Florida real estate, home prices reach new high despite big drop in sales

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Prices for homes sold in Miami-Dade County reached a new high in June, despite a sharp drop in sales amid higher interest rates. For would-be homebuyers on the sidelines, real estate experts offered a sour forecast — prices will remain steady or increase.

Total home sales fell steeply for the first six months of 2023 compared to the same period in 2022 in Miami-Dade and Broward, according to data from the Miami Association of Realtors. Miami-Dade had 12,605 closings, an approximately 33% drop from 18,925 closings in the first half of last year. Broward saw a similar trend with 15,500 transactions, down about 18% from 18,838 in 2022.

While sales fell, prices reached new peaks. As of June, Miami-Dade had a median sales price of $622,500 for single-family homes and $418,000 for condos — historic highs. That surpasses the county’s last peak of $620,000 for a single-family home in May. Prices increased from $579,000 for houses and $410,000 for condos in June 2022.

Broward also saw an uptick in home prices. It has a median sales price of $615,000 for a single-family home, up from $590,000 in June 2022, and $280,000 for condos, up from $265,000 a year ago.

Real estate experts said there are fewer buyers on the market due to higher interest rates. The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was 6.78% as of July, up from 5.54% a year ago. Those who are buying homes are willing to spend more due to the limited inventory.

“People thought this was going to be a bubble, things were going to crash. It hasn’t happened. Interest rates slowed things down for the entire country, but I feel like where we are today compared to other cities in the world is we are the place where everybody wants to be,” said Ron Shuffield, CEO of Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices EWM Realty. “Part of the long-term success of a community is perception. The perception is Miami is the future.”

South Florida still has a shortage of inventory. A balanced market consists of six to nine months of listings. Miami-Dade has 3.3 months of houses listed for sale and five months of condos. Broward has even fewer homes on the market, with 2.7 months of single-family homes and 3.4 months of condos.

People continue to move from across the country to South Florida. Dave Silver, 31, moved to the MiMo neighborhood in May 2023 for the Miami expansion of REC Philly, an entertainment incubator he co-founded. A cyclist, Silver wanted to be within biking distance of REC Miami’s location in Little Haiti.

“I was a little intimidated going in based on how pricey everything was said to be,” he said of a two-day shopping experience in which he toured 12 different properties. “Coming from Philly and being a startup entrepreneur, I was wondering if I could afford it and be safe with the budget that I have. I was happy with what I was able to find.”

Silver pays $2,400 a month in rent for his one-bedroom condo. In Philadelphia, he shared a three-bedroom apartment with two roommates and altogether they paid the same amount in rent. He said the new amenities such as a patio and gym and close proximity to Key Biscayne make the price worth it.

South Florida started to attract waves of out-of-state remote workers, executives and corporate expansions during the pandemic due to the region’s business-friendly environment, zero state income tax and warm climate. Shuffield said his real estate agents still see prospective buyers from California, Illinois and New York. More potential buyers are now calling from Latin America, especially with the arrival of international soccer star Lionel Messi.

Out-of-state buyers often beat long-time residents and natives in the housing market with higher salaries. Many South Floridians have waited years to buy, but continue to face stiff competition and out-of-reach prices. Another challenge for many buyers? Cash remains king. In Miami-Dade, 43.5% of all deals closed in cash, nearly double the national trend of 26%. Broward has 40.9% of its deals close in cash.

Real estate experts predict demand will remain high for South Florida homes. Miami Association of Realtors members reported 233,675 requests for showings in June across South Florida, up 7% from 218,973 showings last year.

Those thinking about buying might want to do so sooner rather than later, said Mariya Letdin, a business professor at Florida State University. Home prices are expected to remain high, given South Florida’s local job market.

Based on data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Miami, Fort Lauderdale and West Palm Beach metro areas have 2.89 million people employed and a 2% low unemployment rate, conditions South Florida hasn’t seen in nearly 20 years. Given the strong employment market, buyers are expected to have the stable job conditions to support a mortgage.

Shuffield said home prices in the region won’t go down to pre-pandemic levels anytime soon, if ever. “I feel like with the demand that we have right now and the quality of what we’re seeing, many neighborhoods are being improved with remodeling. Those are all pluses for people who want to come here,” Shuffield said, “You just need to get in the game.”

 

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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