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Investment in Port Talbot cannot come soon enough, but it might be the last roll of the dice

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Sajid Javid, Jacob Rees-Mogg, Greg Clark, Rishi Sunak, Grant Shapps and Kemi Badenoch: the list of Tory chancellors and business secretaries who have sought to unlock the puzzle of the British steel industry’s future in recent years is almost as long as the number of active production facilities remaining in Britain.

And as the issue of steelmaking sovereignty has grown in prominence, so the need to identify a long-term solution to the financial troubles of the country’s biggest producers has grown in urgency.

The fate of Port Talbot, Tata Steel’s vast plant in South Wales, has hung in the balance for years.

Its Indian parent has tabled numerous proposals to secure government investment and made myriad threats (some veiled, others less so) to jettison the perennially loss-making UK business.

During his stint as business secretary in 2016, Mr Javid faced angry steelworkers at Port Talbot, telling MPs days later that “no option is off the table”.

Now, a favoured option at last looks to have emerged.

After months of talks with Tata Steel’s Indian parent about a £300m taxpayer support package, Whitehall appears to have blinked first.

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Blast furnace at Tata Steel, Port Talbot

Negotiations over a revised deal that would contribute £500m of public money are, apparently, close to a successful conclusion.

Sources say a deal could be reached within weeks, although given the stuttering nature of previous discussions aimed at reaching an agreement, it would be wise not to trumpet an agreement too optimistically until the ink is dry.

Any deal would be likely to commit Tata Steel to Port Talbot for as long as electric arc furnaces – a greener steelmaking process than the use of blast furnaces – are commercially viable, which in turn would take the question of the plant’s short-term survival off the table for the first time in many years.

It wouldn’t be without cost, though – and not only in terms of the nine-figure sum being provided from the public purse.

Sources close to the negotiations say the government has reluctantly accepted that in return for a long-term commitment to Port Talbot, thousands of job losses will, over time, become necessary.

These wouldn’t be immediate, but well-placed observers say that a reduction in Tata Steel’s UK workforce from 8,000 to around 5,000 is conceivable in the coming years.

That, some will say, is an acceptable price to pay for a key emblem of Britain’s manufacturing industry remaining operational. Others, particularly those affected by future changes, will vehemently disagree.

But with figures from UK Steel, the trade body, showing that last year crude steel production declined to its lowest level since the Great Depression of the 1930s, one thing is clear: an investment by the government in Port Talbot cannot come a moment too soon; but it might end up resembling a last roll of the dice for a proud part of Britain’s industrial heritage.

 

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Tesla shares soar more than 14% as Trump win is seen boosting Elon Musk’s electric vehicle company

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NEW YORK (AP) — Shares of Tesla soared Wednesday as investors bet that the electric vehicle maker and its CEO Elon Musk will benefit from Donald Trump’s return to the White House.

Tesla stands to make significant gains under a Trump administration with the threat of diminished subsidies for alternative energy and electric vehicles doing the most harm to smaller competitors. Trump’s plans for extensive tariffs on Chinese imports make it less likely that Chinese EVs will be sold in bulk in the U.S. anytime soon.

“Tesla has the scale and scope that is unmatched,” said Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, in a note to investors. “This dynamic could give Musk and Tesla a clear competitive advantage in a non-EV subsidy environment, coupled by likely higher China tariffs that would continue to push away cheaper Chinese EV players.”

Tesla shares jumped 14.8% Wednesday while shares of rival electric vehicle makers tumbled. Nio, based in Shanghai, fell 5.3%. Shares of electric truck maker Rivian dropped 8.3% and Lucid Group fell 5.3%.

Tesla dominates sales of electric vehicles in the U.S, with 48.9% in market share through the middle of 2024, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Subsidies for clean energy are part of the Inflation Reduction Act, signed into law by President Joe Biden in 2022. It included tax credits for manufacturing, along with tax credits for consumers of electric vehicles.

Musk was one of Trump’s biggest donors, spending at least $119 million mobilizing Trump’s supporters to back the Republican nominee. He also pledged to give away $1 million a day to voters signing a petition for his political action committee.

In some ways, it has been a rocky year for Tesla, with sales and profit declining through the first half of the year. Profit did rise 17.3% in the third quarter.

The U.S. opened an investigation into the company’s “Full Self-Driving” system after reports of crashes in low-visibility conditions, including one that killed a pedestrian. The investigation covers roughly 2.4 million Teslas from the 2016 through 2024 model years.

And investors sent company shares tumbling last month after Tesla unveiled its long-awaited robotaxi at a Hollywood studio Thursday night, seeing not much progress at Tesla on autonomous vehicles while other companies have been making notable progress.

Tesla began selling the software, which is called “Full Self-Driving,” nine years ago. But there are doubts about its reliability.

The stock is now showing a 16.1% gain for the year after rising the past two days.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 100 points, U.S. stock markets mixed

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 100 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in base metal and utility stocks, while U.S. stock markets were mixed.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 103.40 points at 24,542.48.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 192.31 points at 42,932.73. The S&P 500 index was up 7.14 points at 5,822.40, while the Nasdaq composite was down 9.03 points at 18,306.56.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.44 cents US on Tuesday.

The November crude oil contract was down 71 cents at US$69.87 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down eight cents at US$2.42 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$7.20 at US$2,686.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.35 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX up more than 200 points, U.S. markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 200 points in late-morning trading, while U.S. stock markets were also headed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 205.86 points at 24,508.12.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 336.62 points at 42,790.74. The S&P 500 index was up 34.19 points at 5,814.24, while the Nasdaq composite was up 60.27 points at 18.342.32.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.71 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was down 15 cents at US$75.70 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down two cents at US$2.65 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$29.60 at US$2,668.90 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents at US$4.47 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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