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Is Apple Stock Overvalued?

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Apple‘s stock price is up nearly 60% this year, and it has doubled in the last 12 months. At $2.16 trillion, the company’s market capitalization is the largest on the U.S. exchanges; and until a recent pullback, shares were repeatedly hitting all-time highs.

Those data points might scare some investors away. After all, the company was already huge. Now, its market cap is roughly $400 billion more than the next two largest companies, fellow tech giants Amazon and Microsoft, which are both around $1.7 trillion.

Is Apple’s big run a result of overly exuberant investors who have sent it soaring too high? Or can this tech behemoth keep getting bigger and continue to produce market-smashing returns?

Apple unveiled its Apple Watch Series 6 in September. Image source: Apple.

The valuation has gone up — a lot

Here’s a look at some of Apple’s key valuation metrics and how those compare to a year ago:

Date P/E Ratio P/S Ratio P/FCF Ratio
October 2020 35.7 7.6 29.0
October 2019 19.2 4.1 17.9

Data source: YCharts. Data through market close Oct. 9. P/E = price-to-earnings; P/S = price-to-sales; P/FCF = price-to-free-cash-flow.

Those numbers illustrate that investors have gotten much more optimistic about Apple in the last year. A year ago, a dollar of sales was valued at $4.10 in the stock price. Today, that dollar is valued at $7.60. The same thing has happened with the company’s earnings and free cash flow. Put simply, Apple’s stock price has gone up much faster than its earnings, sales, and free cash flow.

How do these metrics compare to its largest tech company peers? Here’s a look.

Data source: YCharts. One-year change in valuation through the close of trading Oct. 9.

While Apple’s valuation has risen quickly, it remains lower than those of its peers. One reason is Amazon and Microsoft have higher growth rates. Amazon is forecast to grow adjusted earnings per share by 38% this year, and Microsoft just completed its fiscal year with 21% year-over-year growth. By comparison, Apple is expected to grow 9% in fiscal year 2020, which ended in September.

Reasons for investor optimism

In recent years, Apple’s iPhone sales growth stalled, and the device accounted for about two-thirds of the company’s total revenue. If iPhone sales weren’t growing, investors wondered, how would Apple grow?

That skepticism was reflected in the company’s relatively low valuation. In May 2016, when legendary investor Warren Buffett started scooping up Apple shares for Berkshire Hathaway, Apple’s P/E ratio was only about 11. It has since tripled, and a lot of that expansion has come in the last year. I believe there are two main reasons investors have changed their view of the company.

First, there’s optimism that iPhone sales could be in for a boost. On Oct. 13, Apple is expected to announce that its iPhones released this fall will support 5G connectivity, a technology that could significantly improve download speeds. That update could prompt many iPhone users — and there are about a billion of them — to upgrade to a new phone.

Second, Apple has been diversifying its revenue streams. In early 2017, CEO Tim Cook said he wanted the company to double its services revenue by 2020. That has happened, and in the quarter ended in June, the company set a record for services revenue ($13.2 billion). Apple has an installed user base of more than 1.5 billion devices, and if it can get those customers to increase their use of services like Apple Music and the App Store, that will fuel growth.

The company also has grown its wearables, home, and accessories segment, which includes products like AirPods, Apple Watch, and Beats. When Apple reports full-year earnings on Oct. 29, it will have more than doubled the segment’s revenue in just three years.

Those two segments are having a much more meaningful impact on revenue. In 2016, they accounted for just 16% of Apple’s revenues. Through the first nine months of fiscal year 2020, they produced $62 billion, accounting for 30% of total revenue. Even with that growth, the iPhone still accounts for more than half the company’s revenue.

Is Apple overvalued?

Valuation is in the eye of the beholder. That means the question of whether Apple is overvalued can only be answered by each investor. After all, the market is built on people taking opposite sides of trades: buyers and sellers.

For investors who emphasize traditional valuation metrics, Apple probably looks scary. It hasn’t had valuations this high in more than 10 years.

For investors who look at Apple as one of the most innovative companies of all time, the perspective could be different. The company’s innovation has helped build a massive and loyal customer base, which is why Forbes magazine ranks Apple as the world’s most valuable brand year after year.

With that track record of innovation and customer loyalty, I don’t think Apple is overvalued. Historically, there has never been a bad time to buy Apple stock, as long as you held those shares. As a $2.16 trillion company, Apple’s largest growth days are behind it, but I think it can continue to provide long-term investors with market-beating returns for years.

Source: – Motley Fool

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Ottawa orders TikTok’s Canadian arm to be dissolved

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The federal government is ordering the dissolution of TikTok’s Canadian business after a national security review of the Chinese company behind the social media platform, but stopped short of ordering people to stay off the app.

Industry Minister François-Philippe Champagne announced the government’s “wind up” demand Wednesday, saying it is meant to address “risks” related to ByteDance Ltd.’s establishment of TikTok Technology Canada Inc.

“The decision was based on the information and evidence collected over the course of the review and on the advice of Canada’s security and intelligence community and other government partners,” he said in a statement.

The announcement added that the government is not blocking Canadians’ access to the TikTok application or their ability to create content.

However, it urged people to “adopt good cybersecurity practices and assess the possible risks of using social media platforms and applications, including how their information is likely to be protected, managed, used and shared by foreign actors, as well as to be aware of which country’s laws apply.”

Champagne’s office did not immediately respond to a request for comment seeking details about what evidence led to the government’s dissolution demand, how long ByteDance has to comply and why the app is not being banned.

A TikTok spokesperson said in a statement that the shutdown of its Canadian offices will mean the loss of hundreds of well-paying local jobs.

“We will challenge this order in court,” the spokesperson said.

“The TikTok platform will remain available for creators to find an audience, explore new interests and for businesses to thrive.”

The federal Liberals ordered a national security review of TikTok in September 2023, but it was not public knowledge until The Canadian Press reported in March that it was investigating the company.

At the time, it said the review was based on the expansion of a business, which it said constituted the establishment of a new Canadian entity. It declined to provide any further details about what expansion it was reviewing.

A government database showed a notification of new business from TikTok in June 2023. It said Network Sense Ventures Ltd. in Toronto and Vancouver would engage in “marketing, advertising, and content/creator development activities in relation to the use of the TikTok app in Canada.”

Even before the review, ByteDance and TikTok were lightning rod for privacy and safety concerns because Chinese national security laws compel organizations in the country to assist with intelligence gathering.

Such concerns led the U.S. House of Representatives to pass a bill in March designed to ban TikTok unless its China-based owner sells its stake in the business.

Champagne’s office has maintained Canada’s review was not related to the U.S. bill, which has yet to pass.

Canada’s review was carried out through the Investment Canada Act, which allows the government to investigate any foreign investment with potential to might harm national security.

While cabinet can make investors sell parts of the business or shares, Champagne has said the act doesn’t allow him to disclose details of the review.

Wednesday’s dissolution order was made in accordance with the act.

The federal government banned TikTok from its mobile devices in February 2023 following the launch of an investigation into the company by federal and provincial privacy commissioners.

— With files from Anja Karadeglija in Ottawa

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Here is how to prepare your online accounts for when you die

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LONDON (AP) — Most people have accumulated a pile of data — selfies, emails, videos and more — on their social media and digital accounts over their lifetimes. What happens to it when we die?

It’s wise to draft a will spelling out who inherits your physical assets after you’re gone, but don’t forget to take care of your digital estate too. Friends and family might treasure files and posts you’ve left behind, but they could get lost in digital purgatory after you pass away unless you take some simple steps.

Here’s how you can prepare your digital life for your survivors:

Apple

The iPhone maker lets you nominate a “ legacy contact ” who can access your Apple account’s data after you die. The company says it’s a secure way to give trusted people access to photos, files and messages. To set it up you’ll need an Apple device with a fairly recent operating system — iPhones and iPads need iOS or iPadOS 15.2 and MacBooks needs macOS Monterey 12.1.

For iPhones, go to settings, tap Sign-in & Security and then Legacy Contact. You can name one or more people, and they don’t need an Apple ID or device.

You’ll have to share an access key with your contact. It can be a digital version sent electronically, or you can print a copy or save it as a screenshot or PDF.

Take note that there are some types of files you won’t be able to pass on — including digital rights-protected music, movies and passwords stored in Apple’s password manager. Legacy contacts can only access a deceased user’s account for three years before Apple deletes the account.

Google

Google takes a different approach with its Inactive Account Manager, which allows you to share your data with someone if it notices that you’ve stopped using your account.

When setting it up, you need to decide how long Google should wait — from three to 18 months — before considering your account inactive. Once that time is up, Google can notify up to 10 people.

You can write a message informing them you’ve stopped using the account, and, optionally, include a link to download your data. You can choose what types of data they can access — including emails, photos, calendar entries and YouTube videos.

There’s also an option to automatically delete your account after three months of inactivity, so your contacts will have to download any data before that deadline.

Facebook and Instagram

Some social media platforms can preserve accounts for people who have died so that friends and family can honor their memories.

When users of Facebook or Instagram die, parent company Meta says it can memorialize the account if it gets a “valid request” from a friend or family member. Requests can be submitted through an online form.

The social media company strongly recommends Facebook users add a legacy contact to look after their memorial accounts. Legacy contacts can do things like respond to new friend requests and update pinned posts, but they can’t read private messages or remove or alter previous posts. You can only choose one person, who also has to have a Facebook account.

You can also ask Facebook or Instagram to delete a deceased user’s account if you’re a close family member or an executor. You’ll need to send in documents like a death certificate.

TikTok

The video-sharing platform says that if a user has died, people can submit a request to memorialize the account through the settings menu. Go to the Report a Problem section, then Account and profile, then Manage account, where you can report a deceased user.

Once an account has been memorialized, it will be labeled “Remembering.” No one will be able to log into the account, which prevents anyone from editing the profile or using the account to post new content or send messages.

X

It’s not possible to nominate a legacy contact on Elon Musk’s social media site. But family members or an authorized person can submit a request to deactivate a deceased user’s account.

Passwords

Besides the major online services, you’ll probably have dozens if not hundreds of other digital accounts that your survivors might need to access. You could just write all your login credentials down in a notebook and put it somewhere safe. But making a physical copy presents its own vulnerabilities. What if you lose track of it? What if someone finds it?

Instead, consider a password manager that has an emergency access feature. Password managers are digital vaults that you can use to store all your credentials. Some, like Keeper,Bitwarden and NordPass, allow users to nominate one or more trusted contacts who can access their keys in case of an emergency such as a death.

But there are a few catches: Those contacts also need to use the same password manager and you might have to pay for the service.

___

Is there a tech challenge you need help figuring out? Write to us at onetechtip@ap.org with your questions.

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Google’s partnership with AI startup Anthropic faces a UK competition investigation

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LONDON (AP) — Britain’s competition watchdog said Thursday it’s opening a formal investigation into Google’s partnership with artificial intelligence startup Anthropic.

The Competition and Markets Authority said it has “sufficient information” to launch an initial probe after it sought input earlier this year on whether the deal would stifle competition.

The CMA has until Dec. 19 to decide whether to approve the deal or escalate its investigation.

“Google is committed to building the most open and innovative AI ecosystem in the world,” the company said. “Anthropic is free to use multiple cloud providers and does, and we don’t demand exclusive tech rights.”

San Francisco-based Anthropic was founded in 2021 by siblings Dario and Daniela Amodei, who previously worked at ChatGPT maker OpenAI. The company has focused on increasing the safety and reliability of AI models. Google reportedly agreed last year to make a multibillion-dollar investment in Anthropic, which has a popular chatbot named Claude.

Anthropic said it’s cooperating with the regulator and will provide “the complete picture about Google’s investment and our commercial collaboration.”

“We are an independent company and none of our strategic partnerships or investor relationships diminish the independence of our corporate governance or our freedom to partner with others,” it said in a statement.

The U.K. regulator has been scrutinizing a raft of AI deals as investment money floods into the industry to capitalize on the artificial intelligence boom. Last month it cleared Anthropic’s $4 billion deal with Amazon and it has also signed off on Microsoft’s deals with two other AI startups, Inflection and Mistral.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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