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It’s not just London-St. Thomas: real estate heating up in nearby counties – Global News

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Housing prices have been climbing steadily in London-St. Thomas since even before the pandemic, but now homes in neighbouring counties are also selling well above asking price.

Royal LePage realtor Cory Hamilton, based in Kincardine, says realtors in Huron-Perth and Grey-Bruce counties started to see multiple offers, with no conditions, more often last year, and by the end of 2020 it was commonplace.

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“And then starting off this year, it seems like it’s just on steroids,” he says.

“We’re seeing probably almost double the amount of offers coming in. On average, probably somewhere between seven to 15 offers on most properties, especially on the lower-end-price stuff.”

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Hamilton believes several factors are involved, including refurbishments at Bruce Power increasing employment and the pandemic pushing some people to move out of larger city centres.

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“Traditionally in the Kincardine, Huron-Kinloss area, we’re accustomed to seeing people coming in from the Waterloo, KW, Cambridge, that area, you know, occasionally London. But we are now seeing more and more people migrating a little bit more southwest from Toronto,” he says.

“And of course, they’re coming in with the mentality that they’re seeing in the GTA with how real estate’s been for probably almost a decade now and it’s certainly creating some challenges for the locals.”

Statistics Canada data shows that between the beginning of July 2019 and the start of July 2020, a period that includes the early months of the COVID-19 emergency, Toronto saw 50,375 more people leaving the city for other areas of Ontario than making the opposite move.

Climbing home prices are also forecast nationwide, with the Canadian Real Estate Association’s outlook forecasting a record number of sales this year.

Its outlook also suggests the national average home price could rise by 16.5 per cent on an annual basis to just over $665,000 in 2021 and $679,341 in 2022.

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Click to play video: 'Calgary housing market takes experts by surprise'



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Calgary housing market takes experts by surprise


Calgary housing market takes experts by surprise

For first-time home buyers, the situation can be especially frustrating.

Hamilton shared an example of prospective buyers who offered $50,000 more than the asking price, only to see the home go for almost $150,000 over. The vast majority of offers are also without conditions, he says.

Murtaza Haider, professor of data science and real estate management at Ryerson University, is concerned about how long the growth in prices can last, but he doesn’t know if there’s a bubble set to burst.

“I haven’t seen a bubble burst in housing markets since 1991 when prices really fell and in that time, the fundamentals were very different. The mortgage rate was around 18, 20 per cent. Right now, it’s actually an entirely different scenario, your mortgage rates are under two per cent right now.”

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A huge drop in pricing is unlikely, he says, because little change is anticipated in the supply and demand.

Not enough homes are listed, he says, so whatever is listed is driven up by market demand. At the same time, not enough new homes are being built to account for the increase in demand and growing population.

“The odds of a bubble bursting — that everything collapses and you’re saying, ‘what will I do? My home is half the value that I bought’ — that kind of a scenario is unlikely,” he says.

The most likely scenario, he says, is that prices stop accelerating or potentially drop just three to five per cent.

–With files from Global News’ Erica Alini and The Canadian Press

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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