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'Jawdropper:' Canada's economy shrinks in the second quarter in shocking miss – Financial Post

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First contraction since the depths of the pandemic last year

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Canada’s economy contracted in the second quarter, a decline that came as a shock to observers, as the country contended with a third wave that shuttered businesses, limited exports and reduced housing activity.

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Statistics Canada reported Tuesday that gross domestic product declined at an annual rate of 1.1 per cent in the three-month period, the first contraction since the second quarter last year. The decrease follows a disappointing first quarter.

Economists had predicted GDP would rise 2.5 per cent in the second quarter, in the second wide miss this year. The consensus for the first-quarter had forecasted growth to be at seven per cent, but it came in at  5.6 per cent.

“It’s a jaw-dropper,” BMO chief economist Douglas Porter told Reuters. “Completely different from what Statistics Canada was estimating and what every economist was predicting… It reflects that Canada went through some restraints in Q2 – simply put, more of the spending went into rising prices and rising volumes.”

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The federal agency reported that a decline in housing resale activities and export sectors caused growth to contract. Increases in investment in business inventories, government final consumption expenditures, business investment in machinery and equipment, and investment in new home construction and renovation were not enough to offset the declines.

Though the report focuses on Canada’s output in the second quarter, many economists had their eyes on the preliminary July estimate in hopes of getting a sense of how well the economy responded to broader business openings amid lifting health restrictions. The early figure shows July GDP dropped 0.4 per cent, with declines in retail trade, manufacturing and construction being the biggest contributors to the drop.

The quarterly report clashes with Bank of Canada’s projections, which forecast two-per-cent growth for the second quarter.

Additional reporting by Reuters

• Email: bbharti@postmedia.com | Twitter:

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Netflix’s subscriber growth slows as gains from password-sharing crackdown subside

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Netflix on Thursday reported that its subscriber growth slowed dramatically during the summer, a sign the huge gains from the video-streaming service’s crackdown on freeloading viewers is tapering off.

The 5.1 million subscribers that Netflix added during the July-September period represented a 42% decline from the total gained during the same time last year. Even so, the company’s revenue and profit rose at a faster pace than analysts had projected, according to FactSet Research.

Netflix ended September with 282.7 million worldwide subscribers — far more than any other streaming service.

The Los Gatos, California, company earned $2.36 billion, or $5.40 per share, a 41% increase from the same time last year. Revenue climbed 15% from a year ago to $9.82 billion. Netflix management predicted the company’s revenue will rise at the same 15% year-over-year pace during the October-December period, slightly than better than analysts have been expecting.

The strong financial performance in the past quarter coupled with the upbeat forecast eclipsed any worries about slowing subscriber growth. Netflix’s stock price surged nearly 4% in extended trading after the numbers came out, building upon a more than 40% increase in the company’s shares so far this year.

The past quarter’s subscriber gains were the lowest posted in any three-month period since the beginning of last year. That drop-off indicates Netflix is shifting to a new phase after reaping the benefits from a ban on the once-rampant practice of sharing account passwords that enabled an estimated 100 million people watch its popular service without paying for it.

The crackdown, triggered by a rare loss of subscribers coming out of the pandemic in 2022, helped Netflix add 57 million subscribers from June 2022 through this June — an average of more than 7 million per quarter, while many of its industry rivals have been struggling as households curbed their discretionary spending.

Netflix’s gains also were propelled by a low-priced version of its service that included commercials for the first time in its history. The company still is only getting a small fraction of its revenue from the 2-year-old advertising push, but Netflix is intensifying its focus on that segment of its business to help boost its profits.

In a letter to shareholder, Netflix reiterated previous cautionary notes about its expansion into advertising, though the low-priced option including commercials has become its fastest growing segment.

“We have much more work to do improving our offering for advertisers, which will be a priority over the next few years,” Netflix management wrote in the letter.

As part of its evolution, Netflix has been increasingly supplementing its lineup of scripted TV series and movies with live programming, such as a Labor Day spectacle featuring renowned glutton Joey Chestnut setting a world record for gorging on hot dogs in a showdown with his longtime nemesis Takeru Kobayashi.

Netflix will be trying to attract more viewer during the current quarter with a Nov. 15 fight pitting former heavyweight champion Mike Tyson against Jake Paul, a YouTube sensation turned boxer, and two National Football League games on Christmas Day.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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All Magic Spells (TM) : Top Converting Magic Spell eCommerce Store

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