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Jennifer Keesmaat on the impact of the pandemic on the real estate market – Post City

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Jennifer Keesmaat is the City of Toronto’s former chief city planner. Recently, she partnered with real estate developer Jason Marks to launch Markee Developments. The new group’s first project is Tyndale Green, a purpose-built rental project at the site of Tyndale University near Bayview and Finch. Post City spoke with Keesmaat about the impact of the pandemic on the real estate market.

How has the pandemic changed development?

I do think one of the lasting legacies of that is a broader recognition that, no matter what twists and turns happen in the broader economy, if we’re not building purpose-built, affordable rental housing, there’s going to be a segment of the population that is excluded from the housing market.

Has this impacted affordability?

Back in March, everyone was, like, does this mean it’s going to be easier to access affordable housing? Or is it going to be worse? And one of the things that we’ve discovered is that, in fact, anything that isn’t part of the higher end of the market is still completely detached from wages. We would like to see the average rent to be in keeping with the average wage. That’s how you know you have some stability. But that hasn’t gotten any better. In fact, if anything, it’s gotten even worse. So I think a lasting impact for me is a recognition that, OK, no matter what kind of shifts we see in the global economy, it’s almost like affordable rental and rental in particular is in its own little bubble. And we need to be thinking about it as something that needs to be provided, particularly for essential workers.

Any second thoughts to planning a rental community?

I don’t think that’s a long-term impact, for a simple reason, which is that some of the key drivers behind the rental market are on hold right now. That’s kind of like saying you will no longer have restaurants because right now the restaurant industry is failing. The restaurant industry will come back. It absolutely will. But it’s on hold right now. And there’ll be a lot of damage done in the meantime, for sure.

What will drive the rebound?

When it comes to rental, if we look at some of the key drivers, one is immigration. Well, what’s happened during the pandemic? Immigration has been on hold. Is immigration going to be on hold for the long term? Absolutely not. In fact, the Canadian government has made it clear that it is going to double immigration targets, once we get out of lockdown, to catch up the lost ground. That is going to drive rental supply. Another is foreign students.

How do you see the rest of the year playing out in real estate?

My prediction is that the demand is going to be very strong, for a couple of reasons. One is the high level of disposable income that people have been accumulating… And so you’ll probably see more movement once the lockdown is lifted and once we do have a vaccine. Look, the supply challenges that we had before the pandemic haven’t gone away. We still have a shortage of supply. When you bring those factors together, it’s very likely; although, I will tell you, I’m always the one on the panel who kind of shrinks when you ask for the predictions because the real estate market is so unpredictable. But I think every indication is that we’re going to see a very strong rebound, you know. It’s going to be like the roaring ’20s.

For the full interview with Ms. Keesmaat check out our new real estate podcast out soon on Apple iTunes and on TRNTO.com. And to hear more of her thoughts, get your tickets to Post City’s 2021 Real Estate Roundtable virtual event taking place on Thursday, Feb. 25. Register for the event at trnto.link/rert2021.

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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