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Jobs Reports supports aggressive Fed rate hikes, to reduce inflation, but other factors need to be resolved to solve the big global picture – Kitco NEWS

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The Bureau of Labor Statistics released some welcome news today. 431,000 Americans became gainfully employed in March and the jobless rate was within 0.1% of 3.5%, coming in at 3.6%. Economists polled had forecasted that over 500,000 jobs would be added, however, that has little relevance with today’s report indicating that the labor market in the United States is vibrant and strong. The strength of today’s report shows that America’s workforce is now only 1.6 million jobs or 1% of the levels that existed before the pandemic. It must be noted that higher employment is a byproduct of a tight labor market that has had to offer higher wages to attract new workers.

This solid report will give the Federal Reserve the necessary data to continue to raise rates, most likely at a much more aggressive rate. However, the Federal Reserve will have a near-impossible mission to have a soft landing as they reduce the current inflation rate to an acceptable target rate which is been 2%.

Today’s report had resulted in a strong decline in gold pricing with the most active June 2022 futures contract declining by $25.50 or 1.31% and is currently fixed at $1928.50. The vast majority of today’s decline was a direct result of selling pressure with 0.2% of today’s 1.31% decline the result of dollar strength.

Inflation is at its highest level since 1981. This exceedingly high level is the result of a series of events that occurred one after the other. Together these events and factors will result in an inflation level of 9.01% for the first quarter of 2022, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Their studies indicate that the CPI index will surge to 8.41% year-over-year in March.

The exceedingly high level of inflation which was the byproduct of the global pandemic and following recession has now been magnified due to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. This military action will greatly affect Europe more than the United States due to their dependence on importing agricultural products from both countries, and oil, natural gas, and gasoline from Russia.

Since the military action began Ukraine has long been considered to be the breadbasket supplying European countries with wheat and other agricultural products. Ukraine’s production has in essence come to a hard stop. While Russia still produces oil and its derivatives for exports the United States along with the European Union have for the most part boycotted Russian exports.

In a more normal crisis concerning inflation, the measures needed to reduce inflation could be accomplished with extremely aggressive rate hikes. However, the complex causes which have led to a 40 year high in inflation alone cannot resolve the issue. Without a resolution to the military conflict between Russia and Ukraine inflationary pressures in Europe will continue to grow. This leads us to the primary dilemma. Russia is maintaining an iron hand in terms of its demands to withdraw its troops and its barbaric military actions which have also focused on civilians targets. Their demands are simple first they demand that Ukraine surrenders. Although Russia has been negotiating the fact that they continue to bomb cities as they negotiate is a clear indication that negotiation is simply a tactic, to have the appearance that they wish to have a peaceful resolution, when the reality is they have used the process of negotiation to resupply their troops. Real negotiations require a cease-fire truce while talks are taking place and that is not the case. Ukraine also has a steadfast and simple demand which is that Russia withdraws its troops and stops the murders of their civilians and destruction of their cities.

The geopolitical tension coupled with exact spiraling levels of inflation has exacerbated solutions that would’ve been applicable in the past. Without a resolution to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, inflation will continue to grow in Europe. The current crisis of geopolitical tension in Europe and inflation levels in the United States approaching 9.1%, requires a perfect execution by central banks to create a soft landing and an end to Russia’s occupation of Ukraine. Simply put, you cannot resolve the crisis in its totality without resolving both the high level of inflation and the withdrawal of Russia’s military from Ukraine

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Canada Goose to get into eyewear through deal with Marchon

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TORONTO – Canada Goose Holdings Inc. says it has signed a deal that will result in the creation of its first eyewear collection.

The deal announced on Thursday by the Toronto-based luxury apparel company comes in the form of an exclusive, long-term global licensing agreement with Marchon Eyewear Inc.

The terms and value of the agreement were not disclosed, but Marchon produces eyewear for brands including Lacoste, Nike, Calvin Klein, Ferragamo, Longchamp and Zeiss.

Marchon plans to roll out both sunglasses and optical wear under the Canada Goose name next spring, starting in North America.

Canada Goose says the eyewear will be sold through optical retailers, department stores, Canada Goose shops and its website.

Canada Goose CEO Dani Reiss told The Canadian Press in August that he envisioned his company eventually expanding into eyewear and luggage.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 19, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GOOS)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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A timeline of events in the bread price-fixing scandal

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Almost seven years since news broke of an alleged conspiracy to fix the price of packaged bread across Canada, the saga isn’t over: the Competition Bureau continues to investigate the companies that may have been involved, and two class-action lawsuits continue to work their way through the courts.

Here’s a timeline of key events in the bread price-fixing case.

Oct. 31, 2017: The Competition Bureau says it’s investigating allegations of bread price-fixing and that it was granted search warrants in the case. Several grocers confirm they are co-operating in the probe.

Dec. 19, 2017: Loblaw and George Weston say they participated in an “industry-wide price-fixing arrangement” to raise the price of packaged bread. The companies say they have been co-operating in the Competition Bureau’s investigation since March 2015, when they self-reported to the bureau upon discovering anti-competitive behaviour, and are receiving immunity from prosecution. They announce they are offering $25 gift cards to customers amid the ongoing investigation into alleged bread price-fixing.

Jan. 31, 2018: In court documents, the Competition Bureau says at least $1.50 was added to the price of a loaf of bread between about 2001 and 2016.

Dec. 20, 2019: A class-action lawsuit in a Quebec court against multiple grocers and food companies is certified against a number of companies allegedly involved in bread price-fixing, including Loblaw, George Weston, Metro, Sobeys, Walmart Canada, Canada Bread and Giant Tiger (which have all denied involvement, except for Loblaw and George Weston, which later settled with the plaintiffs).

Dec. 31, 2021: A class-action lawsuit in an Ontario court covering all Canadian residents except those in Quebec who bought packaged bread from a company named in the suit is certified against roughly the same group of companies.

June 21, 2023: Bakery giant Canada Bread Co. is fined $50 million after pleading guilty to four counts of price-fixing under the Competition Act as part of the Competition Bureau’s ongoing investigation.

Oct. 25 2023: Canada Bread files a statement of defence in the Ontario class action denying participating in the alleged conspiracy and saying any anti-competitive behaviour it participated in was at the direction and to the benefit of its then-majority owner Maple Leaf Foods, which is not a defendant in the case (neither is its current owner Grupo Bimbo). Maple Leaf calls Canada Bread’s accusations “baseless.”

Dec. 20, 2023: Metro files new documents in the Ontario class action accusing Loblaw and its parent company George Weston of conspiring to implicate it in the alleged scheme, denying involvement. Sobeys has made a similar claim. The two companies deny the allegations.

July 25, 2024: Loblaw and George Weston say they agreed to pay a combined $500 million to settle both the Ontario and Quebec class-action lawsuits. Loblaw’s share of the settlement includes a $96-million credit for the gift cards it gave out years earlier.

Sept. 12, 2024: Canada Bread files new documents in Ontario court as part of the class action, claiming Maple Leaf used it as a “shield” to avoid liability in the alleged scheme. Maple Leaf was a majority shareholder of Canada Bread until 2014, and the company claims it’s liable for any price-fixing activity. Maple Leaf refutes the claims.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 19, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:L, TSX:MFI, TSX:MRU, TSX:EMP.A, TSX:WN)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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TD CEO to retire next year, takes responsibility for money laundering failures

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TORONTO – TD Bank Group, which is mired in a money laundering scandal in the U.S., says chief executive Bharat Masrani will retire next year.

Masrani, who will retire officially on April 10, 2025, says the bank’s, “anti-money laundering challenges,” took place on his watch and he takes full responsibility.

The bank named Raymond Chun, TD’s group head, Canadian personal banking, as his successor.

As part of a transition plan, Chun will become chief operating officer on Nov. 1 before taking over the top job when Masrani steps down at the bank’s annual meeting next year.

TD also announced that Riaz Ahmed, group head, wholesale banking and president and CEO of TD Securities, will retire at the end of January 2025.

TD has taken billions in charges related to ongoing U.S. investigations into the failure of its anti-money laundering program.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 19, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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