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Jump in unemployment rate puts Bank of Canada in a ‘tricky spot’. Here’s why – Global News

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The Canadian unemployment rate jumped up to 6.1 per cent in March amid rapid growth in the labour pool, Statistics Canada said Friday.

Canadian employers collectively shed 2,200 jobs last month but employment was little changed in the month, the agency said.

Canada’s unemployment rate was 5.8 per cent in February.

The spike in the unemployment rate – a full percentage point higher than where it stood a year ago – is tied to an additional 60,000 people looking for work or on temporary layoff in March, StatCan said. Last month the agency reported that, as of Jan. 1, Canada’s annual population growth hit its fastest rate since 1957.


Click to play video: 'Canada’s population hits 41M, seeing fastest growth in more than 60 years'

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Canada’s population hits 41M, seeing fastest growth in more than 60 years


The consensus of economist expectations called for 25,000 jobs gained last month and a more modest increase in the unemployment rate to 5.9 per cent.

Youth aged 15-24 bore the brunt of contraction with 28,000 jobs lost in March.

StatCan said the food and accommodation services, wholesale and retail trade, and professional, scientific and technical industries led job losses in the month, offset by gains in healthcare and social assistance.

Average hourly wages were up 5.1 per cent year-over-year, a slight acceleration from 5.0 per cent in February.

‘Cracks’ in the labour market put Bank of Canada in a ‘tricky spot’

The latest employment data comes days before the Bank of Canada’s next interest rate announcement, which is set for April 10.


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The central bank has been looking for signs that the labour market is cooling, and by extension taking some steam out of inflation, as it debates how long to keep interest rates elevated.

BMO chief economist Doug Porter said in a note to clients on Wednesday that while the rising unemployment rate suggests a slackening in the labour market, still-hot wage growth puts the Bank of Canada in a “tricky spot.”

“With productivity barely moving, these (five per cent) gains will feed right into costs and threaten to keep inflation sticky,” he wrote.

Inflation has also surprised economists with softer than expected reports for two months in a row, most recently cooling to 2.8 per cent annually in February. Real gross domestic product data has meanwhile come in hotter than anticipated to start 2024, suggesting the economy is holding up under the weight of higher interest rates.


Click to play video: 'Canada likely to avoid recession, begin recovering later in 2024: Deloitte'

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Canada likely to avoid recession, begin recovering later in 2024: Deloitte


But economists weighing in on Friday said that the weak job report, which noted a tick down in total hours worked for March, could be a sign that Canada’s economy is set for a more pronounced slowdown.

TD Bank senior economist James Orlando said in a note that the March jobs report “casts a cloud over the Canadian economy.”

To date, the Bank of Canada’s decision to be patient on its pivot to rate cuts has been validated by relatively strong economic results, he said, giving the central bank “extra time” to ensure inflation cools back to its two per cent target. But a weak jobs report might challenge that approach.

“This throws some cold water on expectations that the recent string of hot economic data prints to start 2024 will be sustained,” he wrote.

CIBC senior economist Andrew Grantham said in a note Friday that the “cracks that had been emerging within the Canadian labour market suddenly got a lot wider.”

While strong GDP data had pushed markets to expect policy rate cuts from the Bank of Canada to begin in July, Grantham said the weaker than expected jobs report should affirm CIBC’s call for a decrease in June.

Porter also said that a June rate cut is “looking a bit more likely now.” He said that the Bank of Canada could sound more “dovish” – opening the door to rate cuts in the future – at its April 10 decision.


Click to play video: 'Bank of Canada says it’s still ‘too early’ to cut interest rates'

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Bank of Canada says it’s still ‘too early’ to cut interest rates


Money markets raised their odds for a June rate cut after Friday’s jobs release, according to Reuters, and expect the central bank will hold at its decision next week. The Bank of Canada will also release fresh forecasts for inflation and the economy alongside the rate announcement on Wednesday.

Grantham said the expected economic softening in the second quarter of the year will continue to drive up the unemployment rate, which he expects to peak close to 6.5 per cent.

“However, interest rate cuts starting in June should bring a reacceleration in growth, which will help to stabilise the labour market in the second half of the year and into 2025.”

– with files from The Canadian Press and Reuters

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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