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K-Shaped Recovery to Worsen Inequities in Jobs to Real Estate – BNN

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(Bloomberg) — The U.S. economic recovery is wildly uneven. More than 13 million Americans are unemployed. At the same time, many others have been able to work from home and some are actually richer — thanks to a surging stock market and housing boom.

This conflict has been dubbed the “K-shaped” recovery. And it’s exacerbating racial, wealth, social and gender disparities, according to Peter Atwater, an adjunct lecturer at William and Mary, a university in Virginia, who has popularized the term.

It’s also compounding the challenges policy makers face as they consider additional stimulus measures to bolster growth.

Here are a dozen charts that show the divergence — or what Atwater describes as “stacked inequity on one side and stacked privilege on the other.”

Top of K

High-paid workers have fared much better than their low-wage counterparts. At the height of job losses in April, employees in financial and information services — bankers, real estate agents, telecommunications professionals — saw some of the fewest job losses.

These industries have recovered faster and typically pay more, with information workers making $1559 per week on average before the pandemic compared to $981 for all private-sector workers.

Bottom of the K

The leisure and hospitality industry has borne the brunt of pandemic shutdowns, with half of jobs in the sector vanishing in April.

Since then, only half of those jobs have come back. The industry employs one in nine people in America and pays some of the lowest wages in the country.

The Consumer

Job losses often lead to a slowdown in consumer spending, which makes up 70% of the economy. But at the start of the pandemic consumption remained steady, bolstered by unemployment insurance payments that allowed those without a job to keep shopping.

Those extra funds have since dried up and Congress is at a standstill in their talks to provide additional aid. As wealthy Americans have become more confident about the economy, the country’s lowest earners have become less optimistic as their jobless benefits shrink.

Americans with the lowest wages are having trouble affording normal household expenses.

Housing Market

The real estate market is surging, especially for affluent buyers and sellers as urbanites relocate to more-spacious suburbs amid the pandemic. But this hasn’t helped the two-thirds of low-income Americans, who don’t own their home.

And for those homeowners who have lost a job or are struggling, they are defaulting on their mortgages at the fastest pace since the previous financial crisis. Foreclosures are also seeing a sharp rise, despite government efforts to keep people in their homes during the pandemic.

Although President Donald Trump imposed a ban on evictions through the end of the year, it’s really delaying a ticking time bomb. Rent payments will still be due at some point and may be untenable for people who are still unemployed.

Stocks Surge

Record stock gains and surging housing prices have come amid unprecedented stimulus from the Federal Reserve, whose near-zero interest rates and bond purchases have kept mortgage rates low and encouraged investors to buy equities.

The rise in stocks has been propelled by companies that are benefiting from the pandemic, like Amazon.com Inc., and hurting companies like Macy’s Inc., which rely on in-store shopping. It’s also disproportionately impacting women and business owners of color.

The surge in equities, also driven by tech companies like Apple Inc. and Tesla Inc., is mostly benefiting America’s wealthy and top-earners who have extra income to invest and retirement accounts through their employers.

America’s richest people have seen their fortunes balloon, with Tesla’s Elon Musk, for example, at one point last month tripling his wealth to more than $100 billion.

Race, Gender

The pandemic has widened inequalities between men and women, and among races. More women have lost their job than men and fewer of them are returning to work as schools and daycare centers remain closed.

A decade of progress in the labor market for Black Americans has been erased, and this group is also dying from Covid-19 at twice the rate of White Americans. Latino Americans are nearly three times as likely to contract the virus compared to White people, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Corporate ‘Monopsony’

Corporate America has more monopolies, which has amplified racial and wealth inequalities during the pandemic. As more businesses consolidate, profits have surged for corporations but those proceeds aren’t trickling down to workers.

The net worth of the top 5% of households almost tripled between 1983 and 2016. A term some economists use to describe these companies’ influence over workers and wages is monopsony.

Monopsony has caused problems in industries where one large company overwhelmingly dictates employee earnings. That’s resulted in stagnant wages, especially for the lowest-income workers. The federal minimum wage, at $7.25, hasn’t kept up with inflation let alone the pace of house prices.

©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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