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Lack of fibre at heart of B.C.'s 'vicious' forestry cycle – Vancouver Is Awesome

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A dwindling supply of wood fibre and the B.C. government’s move to create a “paradigm shift” in the forestry industry is leading to a “vicious cycle” that is scaring investment away from the province, warned private equity experts and industry leaders Thursday. 

The comments, made at the BC Council of Forest Industries annual meeting in Vancouver, came following a year in which about 32 million cubic metres of wood was harvested — nearly half of what it was five years ago, said COFI’s president and CEO Linda Coady.

“There’s been too much change happening at the same time,” Coady said. “We need certainty.” 

B.C.’s forestry sector has received an estimated $15.8 billion in investments over the past decade and currently backs about 100,000 direct and indirect jobs across the province, according to a COFI report released earlier this week. 

Over the last four years, the B.C. government has moved to reorient the forestry industry so it prioritizes the health of forest ecosystems and long-term resilience of communities in line with recommendations from a 2020 Old Growth Strategic Review. The policy shift is meant to reignite a struggling industry while adapting forestry practices to an era of climate change, drought and the mega-fires that come with them. 

Andrew Mercier, who was appointed as B.C. Minister of State for Sustainable Forestry Innovation about three months ago, said he has been relentlessly touring the province to understand what is ailing forestry. 

He said he has stepped into burnt forests where companies are struggling to wade through red tape to salvage what wood is left and boost the province’s fibre supply. 

“There’s a short-term crunch here,” he conceded. 

Duelling narratives on why fibre is in short supply

While industry says bad policy pushed B.C.’s forest industry to suffer unnecessary losses, others have suggested the situation is of their own making.  

Forestry experts, like Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives’s Ben Parfitt, have described signs of the “falldown effect” — in which B.C. forests have been exhausted by decades of over-harvesting to the point where trees have not had a chance grow back to maturity. The result: industry cannot sustain itself.

In line with the 2020 Old Growth Strategic Review, the B.C. government approved logging deferrals as a temporary pause to protect what’s left of the provinces oldest forests while it came up with a longer-term solution. 

Environmental groups, however, have criticized the government for failing to adequately protect old-growth trees under the deferral process. They say loopholes have allowed companies to log of tens of thousands of trees a year while subverting Indigenous consent. 

In one case last year, BC Timber Sales (BCTS) — the B.C. government-run corporation responsible for auctioning off 20 per cent of the province’s annual allowable cut — gave a green light to companies looking to log certain old-growth forests slated for deferral, documents show. The May 2023 memo gave direction for logging to proceed in certain old-growth forests where First Nations haven’t responded or where road building elsewhere is deemed not economically feasible.

“That scares me,” said Spô’zêm First Nation Chief James Hobart after reviewing the memo last spring. “Our expectation is that they were not going to log as the talks were going on.”

The Sierra Club BC calculated that in 2023, 45,700 hectares of old forest were logged, more than 19 per cent higher than originally claimed by the Ministry of Forests, when it said logging rates had hit “record lows.”

And last month, a map leaked to the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives suggested B.C. had approved a pause in logging in less than half of the old-growth forests identified as being at risk of permanent biodiversity loss.

‘You can make money’

On Thursday, forest industry leaders presented a different narrative — one where government red tape, poor investment conditions and multiple years of devastating wildfires have eliminated thousands of jobs and crippled once thriving economic growth. 

Coady, who has worked for a number of large forestry companies in the past, questioned Minister of Forests Bruce Ralston over the inability of BC Timber Sales to meet its annual allowable cut in recent years. 

“It’s just a model that is not working anymore,” she said.  

Ralston responded saying BCTS had faced challenges but that he expected wood sales to increase the next fiscal year. He said he was “optimistic about the future.” 

“You’ve heard it from the minister,” Coady told the room. “It’s bottomed out. Nowhere to go but up.” 

Others at the conference cautioned B.C.’s industry would continue to struggle until private equity investors felt good about putting money into the province’s forestry sector.

Daryl Swetlishoff, the head of research at the global financial services firm Raymond James, said B.C.’s forest industry was facing a “death by a thousand cuts” in recent years, with investment having moved away from the province and toward places like the U.S. south. 

He said if fibre supply remains low and government keeps changing multiple forestry policies at once, saw mills will continue to close. 

“Slow down the policy so that, you know, you can kind of understand what the rules of the road are today,” said Swetlishoff. “Then you can make money.” 

Whatever the investment climate, change is coming to the forestry industry whether people wanted it or not, said Terry Teegee, regional chief of the British Columbia Assembly of First Nations and a member of Takla Nation. 

Speaking before hundreds of people from industry and government, he pointed to ongoing amendments to the Land Act that has allowed First Nations to take control of tenures and make decisions alongside government and industry. 

“We’re not going back to the way it was, and that’s a good thing,” Teegee said. “This is coming.”

With files from the Canadian Press

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Tesla shares soar more than 14% as Trump win is seen boosting Elon Musk’s electric vehicle company

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NEW YORK (AP) — Shares of Tesla soared Wednesday as investors bet that the electric vehicle maker and its CEO Elon Musk will benefit from Donald Trump’s return to the White House.

Tesla stands to make significant gains under a Trump administration with the threat of diminished subsidies for alternative energy and electric vehicles doing the most harm to smaller competitors. Trump’s plans for extensive tariffs on Chinese imports make it less likely that Chinese EVs will be sold in bulk in the U.S. anytime soon.

“Tesla has the scale and scope that is unmatched,” said Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, in a note to investors. “This dynamic could give Musk and Tesla a clear competitive advantage in a non-EV subsidy environment, coupled by likely higher China tariffs that would continue to push away cheaper Chinese EV players.”

Tesla shares jumped 14.8% Wednesday while shares of rival electric vehicle makers tumbled. Nio, based in Shanghai, fell 5.3%. Shares of electric truck maker Rivian dropped 8.3% and Lucid Group fell 5.3%.

Tesla dominates sales of electric vehicles in the U.S, with 48.9% in market share through the middle of 2024, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Subsidies for clean energy are part of the Inflation Reduction Act, signed into law by President Joe Biden in 2022. It included tax credits for manufacturing, along with tax credits for consumers of electric vehicles.

Musk was one of Trump’s biggest donors, spending at least $119 million mobilizing Trump’s supporters to back the Republican nominee. He also pledged to give away $1 million a day to voters signing a petition for his political action committee.

In some ways, it has been a rocky year for Tesla, with sales and profit declining through the first half of the year. Profit did rise 17.3% in the third quarter.

The U.S. opened an investigation into the company’s “Full Self-Driving” system after reports of crashes in low-visibility conditions, including one that killed a pedestrian. The investigation covers roughly 2.4 million Teslas from the 2016 through 2024 model years.

And investors sent company shares tumbling last month after Tesla unveiled its long-awaited robotaxi at a Hollywood studio Thursday night, seeing not much progress at Tesla on autonomous vehicles while other companies have been making notable progress.

Tesla began selling the software, which is called “Full Self-Driving,” nine years ago. But there are doubts about its reliability.

The stock is now showing a 16.1% gain for the year after rising the past two days.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 100 points, U.S. stock markets mixed

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 100 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in base metal and utility stocks, while U.S. stock markets were mixed.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 103.40 points at 24,542.48.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 192.31 points at 42,932.73. The S&P 500 index was up 7.14 points at 5,822.40, while the Nasdaq composite was down 9.03 points at 18,306.56.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.44 cents US on Tuesday.

The November crude oil contract was down 71 cents at US$69.87 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down eight cents at US$2.42 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$7.20 at US$2,686.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.35 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX up more than 200 points, U.S. markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 200 points in late-morning trading, while U.S. stock markets were also headed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 205.86 points at 24,508.12.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 336.62 points at 42,790.74. The S&P 500 index was up 34.19 points at 5,814.24, while the Nasdaq composite was up 60.27 points at 18.342.32.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.71 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was down 15 cents at US$75.70 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down two cents at US$2.65 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$29.60 at US$2,668.90 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents at US$4.47 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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